Hopefully you followed last night’s DraftKings NHL Picks as it was one of the best lineups we’ve had all season. The Panthers stack did very well, the Namestnikov/Buchnevich duo combined for a goal and three assists for the Rangers, our value play Tomas Hyka produced an assist and Martin Jones grabbed us a win in goal. Let’s put that night nice in our back pocket and move onto tonight’s seven-game slate!
C – Steven Stamkos (TB) – $7,600 vs. OTT
The visiting Senators may have pulled an upset win last night in Florida, but they will be in tough on back-to-back nights against the Lightning this evening. Stamkos’ Lightning pace the NHL with 3.58 goals per game, a number that creeps up to 3.67 per game at home, good for third. Their 26.1% clip on the man advantage at home also checks in a third, so this is undoubtedly another nice matchup. Stamkos enters play with 27 goals and 79 points on the season on 193 shots. He should have plenty of space to manoeuver tonight against the league’s 30th-ranked defense.
C – Mikko Koivu (MIN) – $4,700 vs. COL
The Avalanche are a lot like the Wild. They are both excellent home teams, but very poor road teams. We will take advantage of both splits simultaneously tonight as the Wild host the Avalanche, a team that ranks 29th in road defense by surrendering 3.53 goals per game. Colorado also sports the league’s 26th-ranked road penalty kill at 75.8%. Enter Koivu who is still a productive player with 12 goals and 38 points on the season while he skates well over 18 minutes per night in all situations. He should be a lower-owned, mid-priced option on tonight’s slate.
W – Nikita Kucherov (TB) – $8,000 vs. OTT
You could probably see this coming. Kucherov and Stamkos are once again the top duo on the slate tonight against the visiting Senators. Kucherov is hanging onto the lead for the Art Ross trophy as his 88 points are one more than Evgeni Malkin’s 87 on the season. Kucherov brings a high floor in the form of those 88 points plus his 240 shots on goal. He’s notched six points over his last four games and should have a couple more tonight.
W – J.T. Miller (TB) – $5,500 vs. OTT
Miller is enjoying life on the league’s best team. Since coming over from the Rangers in a trade deadline deal, Miller as notched a pair of goals and four helpers across six games. The production has landed Miller a spot to the left of Stamkos on the Lightning’s top line while he should also get second unit power play time as well, giving us exposure to both of Tampa Bay’s production power play units. He is seeing just shy of 18 minutes per game with Tampa so roster Miller with confidence tonight.
W – Charlie Coyle (MNI) – $4,300 vs. COL
I’m thinking Coyle slides under the radar tonight in what I believe is an excellent matchup. Coyle and Koivu should skate together at both 5v5 and on the power play tonight where Minnesota clicks at 22.2% at home. The Wild are also the league’s ninth-ranked home offense with a real nice 3.37 goals per game. Coyle has notched two goals and two assists over his last three games and should provide some nice value at an attractive price tonight.
D – Matt Dumba (MIN) – $4,900 vs. COL
Dumba may fall behind Ryan Suter and Jared Spurgeon on the Wild’s defense depth chart, but he is an excellent two-way blueliner. He has notched 10 goals and added 28 assists on the season while logging over 23 minutes per game for head coach Bruce Boudreau. Dumba forms a three-man PP2 stack with Koivu and Coyle as he is the lone defenseman on that group. He has three assists in his last four games and brings nice peripheral numbers as well with 137 shots and 96 blocks on the season.
D – Mike Reilly (MON) – $3,100 vs. DAL
I really like Reilly as a value option on the blueline tonight. It’s nothing against the Dallas stars as they are a solid defense, but Reilly is seeing top-pair minutes as well as PP2 time with the Habs thanks to season-ending injuries to Shea Weber and Victor Mete. Reilly is averaging over 22 minutes per game on the Habs’ blueline after averaging just over 12 minutes per game with the Wild prior to his trade. Therefore, don’t hesitate to lock in the young blueliner at very low ownership tonight.
G – Andrei Vasilevskiy (TB) – $8,500 vs. OTT
The Sens scored five goals in their upset win last night, but it’s hard to see a repeat performance against the Lightning and Vasilevskiy tonight. After all, Ottawa averages just 2.32 goals per game on the road, good for 30th in the NHL. Vasilevskiy hasn’t been at his best lately, but he should get plenty of goal support from his teammates tonight, which should be enough to garner a victory against the low-scoring Senators.
UTIL – Paul Byron (MON) – $3,100 vs. DAL
Byron and Reilly form a 5v5 mini-stack while Byron has a nice spot in the Habs’ lineup on the top line next to Jonathan Drouin and Brendan Gallagher as well as the top power play unit with the duo. Byron has been semi-productive lately by picking up four points over his last seven games and enters play tonight with 16 goals for the season, a real nice number on a weak offense. This is set to be a very low owned mini-stack but with Byron’s spot in the lineup I don’t mind the roll of the dice tonight.