DraftKings NHL Picks – March 28th

We had another solid DraftKings lineup going tonight, but a poor performance from John Gibson and the Ducks likely pushes us out of the money. Sidney Crosby and Kris Letang scored goals as part of the three-man Penguins stack, and Kyle Palmieri chipped in two goals and added an assists for the Devils. We even got a low-owned goal from Brett Ritchie of the Stars. A big performance from Gibson would have been enough to push us into the money, however we just didn’t get it. Let’s look to get into the money on tonight’s four-game slate!

C – Nathan MacKinnon (COL) – $7,700 vs. PHI

Of all the players on this four-game slate, it’s MacKinnon who sits at the top of my rankings. He is certainly a serious candidate for the Hart Trophy as he has notched 92 points in just 68 games this season. His 1.35 points per game leads the NHL, while that number jumps all the way to 1.78 per game at home thanks to his 64 points across 36 home games. He’s been a beast on home ice all season long where the Avalanche rank fifth in offense as they get set to take on a Flyers’ club that has their goaltending in shambles entering tonight’s game.

C – Nicklas Backstrom (WAS) – $6,400 vs. NYR

The Washington Capitals are scoring goals in bunches again and certainly have a favorable home matchup tonight against the visiting New York Rangers. The Rangers enter play sporting the league’s 28th-ranked road defense while the Capitals have crept into eighth in terms of home offense. For his part, Backstrom has tallied six points over his last two games and 14 points over his last nine. He will center the second line tonight as well as the top power play unit which had clicked at 50% over their last two games and 33.3% over their last seven games.

W – Mikko Rantanen (COL) – $6,500 vs. PHI

He has skated alongside Nathan MacKinnon for the vast majority of the season, which has certainly aided his point total, but that is of little concern tonight as we will stack the Avalanche in a favorable home matchup. Rantanen has notched 27 goals and an even 80 points in 75 contests this season, and like MacKinnon, his home/road splits are extremely favorable in this matchup. He’s notched 52 points in 37 home games compared to just 28 points in 38 road games.

W – Gabriel Landeskog (COL) – $5,700 vs. PHI

Landeskog has also enjoyed the ride alongside one of the league’s very best players this season. He’s potted 24 goals while added 33 helpers for the campaign. Again, Landeskog is sporting some real advantageous home/road splits as he’s notched 35 points in 34 home games, but just 22 points across 38 road games. This trio has some big-time upside tonight, especially as a three-man power play stack against the Flyers and their 28th-ranked penalty kill this evening.

W – Andre Burakovsky (WAS) – $3,700 vs. NYR

Burakovsky should provide real nice bang for our buck tonight against the visiting Rangers. I’ve already mentioned how poor the Rangers are defensively and how hot the Capitals are offensively, so it’s nice to see Burakovsky lining up on that second line with Backstrom while also netting some power play ice time, albeit on the second unit. He has scored nine goals and added 12 helpers this season, but given his spot in the lineup and all the factors above, he has real nice value upside tonight.

D – Dmitry Orlov (WAS) – $3,800 vs. NYR

John Carlson will see a ton of ownership on the Capitals’ blueline, so we will duck that ownership and go with Orlov who will form a 5v5 stack with Backstrom and Burakovsky as well as a PP2 mini-stack with Burakovsky. He’s a cross-category contributor as he’s scored nine goals, added 21 assists, taken 119 shots and blocked 111 shots in 76 games. Players with nice peripheral stats like Orlov make for real good plays against poor defensive clubs as their ceilings get raised to very attractive levels as a result.

D – Brady Skjei (NYR) – $3,300 vs. WAS

Skjei also brings some real nice value upside tonight and we will be able to snatch him at real low ownership. He’s logging a ton of ice time on the thin Rangers’ blueline these days while he is also the lone defenseman on the team’s top power play unit. The Capitals have been a good overall defense at home, but Braden Holtby has been roughed up for an .878 Sv% in March after posting an .873 mark in February. Skjei has 21 points on 139 shots with 110 blocks in 76 games this season.

G – Marc-Andre Fleury (VGK) – $8,500 vs. ARI

Marc-Andre Fleury is the clear-cut top option on the slate tonight so I am having no problem paying up for his services at home against the lowly Coyotes. Fleury has been lights-out lately, yielding just two goals over his last three starts and four appearances. In that time, he’s posted a rather unbelievable .981 Sv%. The Coyotes have picked up their play of late, but they still rank 26th in road offense and the Golden Knights are a top-10 home defense. Roster Fleury with confidence.

UTIL – Kevin Hayes (NYR) – $4,400 vs. WAS

Now one of the longest tenured Rangers, Hayes and Skjei form a PP1 mini-stack tonight against the Capitals. He has cracked the 20-goal plateau this season with 21 on the campaign while he’s also fired 160 shots on goal as well. He’s seeing plenty of ice time as well, hitting the 18-minute mark in seven of his last nine games, and will likely see a bunch more tonight in a tough road matchup. Hayes and Skjei would give this lineup a punch in the arm with a nice night at real low ownership.

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