Last night’s DraftKings picks didn’t exactly make it two profitable nights in a row as our value plays simply put up duds while our goaltender received zero goal support despite allowing just one goal. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl had good nights and Alex DeBrincat scored a goal at low ownership, but it just wasn’t enough to get us into the cash. Let’s move on to tonight’s busy 12-game slate!
C – Patrice Bergeron (BOS) – $6,900 vs. VGK
The Golden Knights will take their two-game losing streak into Boston tonight where the Bruins wait while licking their lips. Vegas has yielded a combined 12 goals over their last two games, thanks in large part to the fact they are down to fourth-string goaltender Maxime Lagace. After missing some time to begin the season, Bergeron has been a mammoth since getting back into the lineup. He has tallied two goals, four assists and a whopping 21 shots across just five games on the season. As per usual, Bergeron is averaging massive ice time, 21:27 per game to be exact, and is a big part of a Bruins’ power play that is clicking at 28.9% this season, the fourth best mark in the league.
C – Brayden Point (TB) – $4,800 vs. NYR
The Lightning will be a high owned team tonight, but I am going to go with a contrarian Lightning stack and avoid the big boys tonight beginning here with Point. It certainly appears Point is taking a solid step forward after a solid rookie season as he has tallied six goals and eight assists with 26 shots through 13 games this season. He is getting a very good opportunity from head coach Jon Cooper as evidenced by his 19:14 of average ice time per game, 2:36 of which comes on a power play that is clicking at 33.3% at home, third best in the NHL.
W – David Pastrnak (BOS) – $6,900 vs. VGK
It is a tough decision between Brad Marchand and Pastrnak but I simply decided to save some salary and go with Pastrnak. Although Marchand may end up with more points at the end of the season, we’re really not losing anything by going with the cheaper Pastrnak as he six goals, two power play goals, five assists and 28 shots through ten games despite not playing with Marchand and Bergeron for many of those games. The trio will be together tonight, however, at both five on five and on that lethal man advantage.
W – Ondrej Palat (TB) – $4,600 vs. NYR
Playing alongside Point at even strength and on the power play, Palat has quietly put together a real nice start to the season with nine points, 23 shots and 13 blocked shots through 13 games this season. He skates an average of 18:02 per game and is just shy of three minutes per game on the power play at 2:53. He has six points over his last seven games and will have a real good chance to continue that excellent production against a Rangers team that has yielded 3.54 goals per game, 26th in the league.
W – Tyler Toffoli (LA) – $5,200 vs. TOR
Toffoli is without his usual centerman Jeff Carter for tonight’s home contest against the Maple Leafs, but he is in a nice matchup nonetheless. Toronto is playing their second game in as many night’s tonight, and this is a team that already ranks 24th with 3.38 goals against per game on the season. Toffoli is a shot on goal machine with 43 shots in 12 games this season, tied for 18th league-wide in that category. He has found twine on five of those shots and has eight points in 12 contests this season. Look for Toffoli to keep shooting the puck tonight against a questionable Leafs’ back end.
D – Torey Krug (BOS) – $4,400 vs. VGK
With Krug we have a three-man Bruins’ stack and if their loaded power play can come up big tonight this lineup is in business. Krug isn’t having a Krug-like season yet with just three points and nine shots in nine games, but he has plenty of upside tonight against a struggling Vegas back end. This is a guy who tallied 51 points and 208 shots on goal last season, his third straight 200-shot season. It’s only a matter of time before his offensive game takes off and tonight is a perfect matchup for this to take place.
D – Mikhail Sergachev (MON) – $4,500 vs. NYR
The Montreal Canadiens most likely wish they had this guy back. Sergachev is having a brilliant start to his NHL career with four goals, 11 points and 26 shots on goal through 13 games on the season. What’s more is the fact he is only averaging 13:22 of ice time per game. He is seeing just shy of two minutes per game on the power play, and those power play minutes come alongside Point and Palat, so we have another high-upside three-man stack in play tonight.
G – Devan Dubnyk (MIN) – $7,700 vs. MON
With 24 goaltenders to choose from on tonight’s slate it’s certainly going to be a tough decision, but I like the dependable Dubnyk tonight on home ice against the Canadiens. Yes, Montreal is coming off an eight-goal explosion their last time out, but this is still an offensively-challenged team. Even with those eight goals in Ottawa Monday night, the Canadiens are averaging only 2.29 goals per game on the road this season, good for 28th. Their road power play is also brutal, sitting at 10.3%, good for 27th overall. On the flip side, Minnesota ranks 11th with 2.60 goals against per game at home this season and their 94.1% clip on the penalty kill ranks fourth. Dubnyk sports just a .905 save percentage on the season, but has allowed just one goal in two of his last three starts. I believe we have a nice concoction for success here.
UTIL – Patric Hornqvist (PIT) – $5,000 vs. CGY
The Penguins are also a team playing on back-to-back nights, but with Hornqvist playing alongside Sidney Crosby in all situations this is a good play. Hornqvist had a big game last night with a goal on a whopping seven shots and I expect rather similar production from the gritty winger tonight. He is up to 35 shots on goal in 11 games and skated more than 18 minutes in last night’s win. Let’s roll with Hornqvist again at a very optimal price.