We enjoyed a nice night with last night’s FanDuel NHL DFS Picks as the combination of production from our players and lack of production from other prominent players on the slate worked in our favor.
Our Avalanche mini-stack gave us the foundation I desired as Gabriel Landeskog scored a goal and added an assist with three shots on goal while Nathan MacKinnon racked up a pair of helpers with four shots on goal. Players such as Bo Horvat and Elias Pettersson were held in check for the Canucks despite Vancouver scoring six goals, so that helped our lineup.
Our three-man Red Wings stack didn’t light the world on fire, but we did get a goal from Tyler Bertuzzi on one of his three shots while Dylan Larkin added an assist, two shots and a block. Unfortunately, Anthony Mantha posted a goose egg which hurt the lineup.
Our Blackhawks mini-stack missed the scoresheet all together, but both Alex DeBrincat and Duncan Keith each fired six shots on goal while Keith added a block as well. That’s essentially equivalent to each player notching an assist, so I’ll take that on a night where the ‘Hawks scored just once against a poor Red Wings defense.
The one change that needed to be made was with Rasmus Sandin as he was a healthy scratch in Anaheim, so perhaps that would have been a turning point in your lineup one way or another.
Finally, Jack Campbell didn’t get the win due to a lack of goal support, however he did turn aside 26 of the 28 shots he faced in the loss. Again, the Maple Leafs scoring just once aided our lineup as they saw some ownership in Anaheim.
It was a profitable lineup indeed, and we’ll look to make that two straight on tonight’s six-game main slate with a bevy of afternoon action on this Saturday.
FanDuel NHL DFS Picks & Breakdowns
C – Sean Couturier (PHI) – $7,600 vs. BUF
This lineup is going to see some ownership tonight so you could probably call it a cash lineup, but I’m comfortable with throwing it into a GPP or two as well.
Of course, the white-hot Flyers are likely to see some ownership against the visiting Sabres on home ice. The Flyers have rattled off eight straight wins to surge into a tie atop the Metropolitan Division alongside the Washington Capitals, and they should certainly be able to find some offense in a home matchup with the struggling Sabres.
The Sabres have improved defensively this season, but not so much on the road where they sit 27th with 3.42 goals against per game on the season and also where their power play has been atrocious to the tune of a 68.4% clip that has them dead last in the NHL in that department.
On the flip side, the Flyers rank third with 3.64 goals per game on home ice this season and 14th with a solid 21.4% mark on the power play at home as well, but that man advantage certainly gets a boost of upside against this Sabres road penalty kill.
Enter Couturier who is quietly having a big season in Philly, racking up 22 goals and 59 points in 67 games on the season to go along with 178 shots on goal. He’s also been more productive at home where he’s just one point shy of a point-per-game on the season and where he’s scored 13 of those 22 tallies. Add it up and he appears to be a foundation builder for this lineup tonight.
C – Aleksander Barkov (FLA) – $6,800 vs. MON
There’s no word on who will get the starting nod in the Canadiens’ crease tonight, but Carey Price has seen the NHL’s largest workload this season and with the Canadiens all but finished in the postseason race, it would be wise of Claude Julien to give his workhorse netminder some games off down the stretch, so I have an inkling backup Charlie Lindgren could get the nod in this one.
It’s a gut feeling however, but either way I like the high-octane Panthers to get some offense going and increase their postseason hopes in this one tonight as they look to hunt down the suddenly slumping Maple Leafs. I’m going with their big boys in this lineup and rolling our a 5v5 and PP1 stack, beginning here with Barkov.
The big center has done his part this season in notching 20 goals and 62 points in 64 games to go along with 170 shots on goal for a Panthers offense that sits sixth with a hefty 3.41 goals per game on home ice this season. The Canadiens actually haven’t been a terrible defense on the road at 11th in the league, but their road penalty kill slips to 21st with a 77.9% mark on the season, so there should be some power play chances for the home side in this one.
With plenty to play for against a Canadiens team that is playing out the remainder of a disappointing season, the Panthers are good bet to get some offense going in this one tonight.
W – Claude Giroux (PHI) – $7,600 vs. BUF
Next man up in our three-man Flyers stack is Giroux who will skate alongside Couturier on the team’s top line and top power play unit for this one tonight.
It hasn’t been his best season as he’s notched 19 goals and 51 points in 67 games on 191 shots on goal, a pace that puts him well below his last couple of seasons in which he posted a 1.14 points-per-game pace. Nonetheless, he’s picked up his production of late and that’s what matters most at this point. Giroux enters this one having picked up a point in each of his last two games with nine shots in that time. If we go further back, Giroux has been productive for some time with six goals and 16 points over his last 13 games dating back to the second week of February. That’s more like it from a guy that exceeded 100 points as the NHL’s second-leading point-getter two seasons ago.
Giroux has actually been a little more productive on the road despite the Flyers scoring more at home, but nonetheless there’s very little to dislike about his opportunity tonight against a weak Sabres road defense and horrible Sabres road penalty kill this evening.
W – Jonathan Huberdeau (FLA) – $6,500 vs. MON
Panthers head coach Joel Quenneville has put his big boys back together after some line-juggling a little while ago, so Huberdeau makes for an obvious stacking partner alongside Barkov on the team’s top line and top power play unit tonight.
The 26-year-old winger has had a massive season and perhaps one of the more underrated ones in the NHL as he’s notched 22 goals and a whopping 77 points in 67 games this season on 147 shots on goal. His 55 assists on the year rank him seventh in the NHL just one year after posting a career-high 62 assists as part of a 92-point season.
Huberdeau has also been a beast on the power play this season where he has scored five goals but also added 24 assists for 29 power play points one season after posting 34 man advantage points. Clearly, he’s become one of the premier left wingers in the NHL and he’s a must in any Panthers stack tonight, at least in cash formats.
He’s been especially productive on home ice where he’s tallied 13 goals and 45 points in 34 games compared to his nine goals and 32 points in 33 road contests. He’s also shot the puck 85 times at home compared to just 62 times on the road.
Considering his work on the man advantage and the Canadiens’ struggles on the penalty kill away from home, Huberdeau needs to be in this stack tonight.
W – Evgenii Dadonov (FLA) – $5,200 vs. MON
Completing our three-man Panthers stack here is Dadonov who might have the least amount of points of these three players but also the most goals with 25 tallies on the season, benefitting from the playmaking abilities of Huberdeau on the left and Barkov down the middle at 5v5 and on the team’s top power play unit.
He’s added 21 assists to his resume this season which gives him 46 points in 67 games while he’s put a solid 164 shots on goal as well. If we want power play goals, Dadonov is the go-to guy on this Panthers club with 11 power play tallies on the season and 16 man advantage points on the whole. Interestingly, he’s been much more productive on the road where he’s scored 16 of his 25 goals and tallied 27 of his 46 points, but he’s shot the puck about even in both splits so it’s a shooting percentage difference at the end of the day.
Nonetheless, against this Canadiens road team we want the team’s top power play goal-scorer on board while he should be due to find the back of the net after going goalless in five straight now and missing on his last 10 shots in that time. Its a pretty simple decision to get these three together in a Panthers stack tonight.
W – Tyler Ennis (EDM) – $4,200 vs. CBJ
Even Ennis should see some ownership tonight as he’s riding shotgun to Connor McDavid these days on the Oilers’ top line, but his cost-efficiency really helps this lineup in a matchup with a Blue Jackets team that’s been rather leaky on the back end of late.
They’re still in a tie for 10th in terms of road defense where they’ve surrendered an even 3.00 goals per game on the season, and Ennis will only see second unit power play reps against a Blue Jackets penalty kill that’s mostly struggled with a 77.5% mark on the season away from home, good for 23rd in the league, but the Jackets have allowed at least three goals against in each of their last 10 games and have averaged 3.90 goals against per game during that time and 4.20 goals against per game over their last five on the road.
As a result, the Oilers strong offense at home should be able to get something going tonight, and Ennis has been productive so far in his brief Oilers tenure with a goal and three points in six games to this point. He was having a solid season with the low-scoring Senators prior to the trade deadline deal, posting 14 goals and 33 points in 61 games for Ottawa in mostly third-line duties. Of course, his value potential skyrockets alongside McDavid and considering the Jackets’ lengthy stretch of allowing goals, I have faith he’ll deliver us some value tonight.
D – Ivan Provorov (PHI) – $4,600 vs. BUF
Against the NHL’s worst road penalty kill we certainly want to get a three-man PP1 stack in for the Flyers tonight, and while Jakub Voracek accomplishes that as well while skating with Giroux and Couturier at 5v5, I think we can save a few bucks here and go with Provorov who seemingly has nice value potential in this matchup.
After all, he’s logging just shy of 25 minutes per game and has been wildly productive on the power play where he’s scored seven goals and 16 points on the season, so he certainly has the ability to contribute at both even strength and on the man advantage this evening.
For the season, the 23-year-old has tallied 13 goals and 36 points in 67 games, but also brings some strong peripheral numbers to the table in the form of 146 shots on goal and another 107 blocked shots to boot. As a result, we’re getting some real nice cross-category potential here for a guy in the lower-tier of the mid-price range.
Furthermore, he’s been more productive on home ice with eight goals and 21 points in 33 home games compared to five goals and 15 points in 34 road contests while he shoots the puck more at home as well.
Finally, he’s on a tear right now with goals in back-to-back games and five points over his last four games with two power play helpers in that time. Add it up and there’s significant value potential in this play tonight.
D – Oscar Klefbom (EDM) – $5,300 vs. CBJ
I’m hoping Klefbom’s ownership will be lowered tonight by the fact that he will make his return to the lineup after missing a few weeks, but regardless I really like this play alongside Ennis.
We get exposure to both power play units with this mini-stack as Klefbom will surely return to the top unit of a power play that ranks first with a 32.4% power play clip at home against that weak Jackets road penalty kill, but also keep in mind that Klefbom is averaging a whopping 25:36 of average ice time per game this season, so he’s going to see notable time at 5v5 alongside Ennis in this one tonight.
For the season, Klefbom has tallied five goals and 33 points in 59 games, but his peripherals are fantastic in the form of 151 shots on goal and another 172 blocked shots to boot, the latter of which leads the NHL despite him missing 10 games.
He also has 18 power play points despite missing time and should be able to take advantage of this slumping Blue Jackets penalty kill that’s been atrocious in posting a unsightly 58.3% mark over their last eight games.
G – Chris Driedger (FLA) – $7,000 vs. MON
The lowest-priced goaltender on the slate, I think we have a real nice play here with Driedger who will get the starting nod in this one tonight with Sergei Bobrovsky sidelined at the moment.
Driedger missed significant time himself recently, but played well in his first start in more than six weeks against the Bruins on Thursday, turning aside 26 of 28 shots in a tough-luck 2-1 overtime loss.
He’s almost greatly outplayed Bobrovsky this season.
Entering this one tonight, Driedger has worked to a stout 2.29 GAA and .932 Sv% across his 10 NHL appearances (nine starts), going 5-2-1 in the process. In one of the more interesting stats I’ve seen all season, he also posted that identical 2.29 GAA and .932 Sv% in the AHL this season across his 15 games at that level, but somehow that earned him just a 6-9-0 record.
The Canadiens have been able to score on the road this season have a real good road power play, but they could be without the trio of Brendan Gallagher, Jonathan Drouin and Tomas Tatar, the latter of which is out for sure while Gallagher and Drouin are listed as questionable.
At the end of the day, he’s been excellent at both levels this season and with the Panthers listed as -143 favorites on the moneyline, he should be able to get the win with the team’s season on the line each and every night.