As we enter the final full week of the NHL regular season, let’s make sure to grab some profits to get the week started on the right note!
C – Mark Scheifele (WPG) – $7,800 vs. OTT
The Jets are pretty much locked into their playoff position in second place in the Central Division, but that doesn’t mean they plan to stumble their way into the postseason. Winnipeg has an excellent matchup on tap tonight as they visit the lowly Ottawa Senators. The Sens are the league’s 30th-ranked home defense as well as the 30th-ranked home penalty kill, a tasty pair of numbers for the Jets’ upside tonight. Scheifele has dealt with injuries this season but has still notched 23 goals and 58 points in 57 games while centering the top line and top power play unit.
C – Jeff Carter (LA) – $7,000 vs. COL
The biggest game in terms of playoff implications tonight takes place in Los Angeles as Jeff Carter and the Kings host the Colorado Avalanche. The Avs are already the league’s 27th-ranked road defense, a number that will likely get worse now that Semyon Varlamov is out of the season. It’s a nice matchup for the Kings are the Avalanche are on back-to-back nights after dropping an overtime decision in Anaheim last night. Carter is hot right now, with five goals and an assist on 17 shots over his last four games. He’s also scored 13 goals in just 24 games this season
W – Blake Wheeler (WPG) – $7,200 vs. OTT
Wheeler has been one of the best playmakers in the NHL this season and should have the ability to do plenty of that tonight against one of the league’s worst clubs. His 67 assists this season has him sitting first in the league in that category while his 33 power play assists also paces the NHL. While he’s racking up plenty of those assists, Wheeler can still put the puck in the net with 20 goals on the campaign, six of which have come on the power play. The Jets power play is a lethal one and is up against a brutal penalty kill, so look for Wheeler to work more of his magic in this favorable matchup.
W – Kyle Connor (WPG) – $5,000 vs. OTT
I wouldn’t call him a value play at this price and as part of this three-man Jets stack, but Connor is a steal at $5K. You simply don’t see 29-goal scorers in this price range. Connor has fit seamlessly on this Jets’ top line as his 29 goals have been complemented by 22 assists and 179 shots on goal. Unfortunately, this isn’t a three-man power play stack, but Connor does give us exposure to both units as he was bumped down to the second group after the Jets’ acquisition of Paul Stastny at the trade deadline.
W – Tyler Toffoli (LA) – $5,900 vs. COL
One of the most underrated scorers in the league, Toffoli is surely loving life now that he has his center back in Jeff Carter. Toffoli’s 24 goals doesn’t stand out in a season that has seen plenty of 25+ goal scorers, but he has taken 248 shots, giving him a solid floor this evening. Toffoli has suffered some poor puck luck as his 9.7% shooting percentage is under his 11.1% career mark, so let’s look for some more goal scoring from the Kings’ sniper tonight.
W – Connor Brown (TOR) – $3,500 vs. BUF
We need to get some value into this lineup and I believe we have some upside tonight with Brown. He hasn’t scored a lot lately, but he does have 14 goals this season while skating in all situations for Mike Babcock. Brown skates on the Leafs’ third line with Tyler Bozak and James van Riemsdyk, skates on the second power play unit with Auston Matthews and William Nylander and as a bonus he gets almost two minutes of short handed ice where has scored a goal this season as well. Against a poor defense like Buffalo, Brown has plenty of upside, especially for this price.
D – Drew Doughty (LA) – $5,800 vs. COL
Doughty is having a big-time season as he brings his usual high floor and high ceiling into action tonight. Doughty has banged home 10 goals on 199 shots for the campaign, while adding 48 assists and 118 blocks to his resume across 79 contests. He logs a mammoth amount of ice time at 26:47 per game, which happens to be the highest mark in the NHL. With this stack we have a three-man 5v5 and PP1 stack, so plenty of upside against a weak Colorado road defense tonight.
D – Jake Gardiner (TOR) – $4,900 vs. BUF
With Brown and Gardiner we should get a low owned mini-stack on that Maple Leafs’ second power play unit. While he remains a high-risk, high-reward player, Gardiner has established himself as one of the league’s better point producers from the back end this season. He has 49 points in 79 games this season, 17th among NHL blueliners. He anchors that second power play unit while logging 22:32 of ice time per game for Mike Babcock. Against a poor penalty kill, I like the upside of this mini-stack this evening.
G – Curtis McElhinney (TOR) – $7,800 vs. BUF
I decided to spend down at goalie today to net ourselves two high-priced stacks up front. McElhinney is far from a dart throw though as he has been real good this season. He doesn’t play a lot, but he sports an elite 2.15 GAA and a .933 Sv% across 14 starts and 17 appearances this season. Furthermore, he sports a .948 Sv% across 10 appearances since the calendar flipped to 2018. The Sabres are the league’s 25th-ranked road offense, and although they do give the Leafs issues, McElhinney looks like a real nice place to spend down to spend up on skaters this evening.