Yikes, another poor showing from our FanDuel NHL Picks. The thought yesterday was to mostly run with lower owned players in the hopes of GPP success, however that did not pan out. Aside from the Perron/Neal duo (1G, 2A) and Cam Ward’s win, our lineup did very little. Let’s look for some improvement on tonight’s three-game slate.
C – Auston Matthews (TOR) – $8,300 vs. CLS
Most of our players in this lineup will have high floors tonight and Matthews certainly fits that bill. The sophomore center has 26 goals across just 48 games this year on 146 shots on goal. He has tallied 14 points over his last 11 games and three goals and four assists over his last four games. The Blue jackets visit the Maple Leafs tonight playing their second game in as many nights which means backup Joonas Korpisalo most likely gets the nod and brings his .889 Sv% on the road with him into play tonight.
C – J.T. Compher (COL) – $4,400 vs. MON
Compher’s floor isn’t overly high, but he’s been a productive part of the Avs’ offense while he will also center breakout star Mikko Rantanen at both 5v5 and on the power play tonight. Colorado averages 3.63 goals per game which ranks fourth in the NHL while their 27.3% clip with the man advantage at home checks in at fourth. The Canadiens sport the league’s 27th-ranked defense and 29th-ranked road penalty kill, both of which provide opportunity for Compher to improve on his 11 goals and 20 points tonight.
W – William Nylander (TOR) – $7,000 vs. CLS
The Matthews/Nylander duo is back and once again one of the most dangerous duos the NHL has to offer. Nylander is on a tear right now, tallying 13 points over his last ten games and also has four goals and three assists over his last four. His floor is a high one with 45 points on 131 shots for the season as him and Matthews pose a big threat to Korpisalo and the Blue Jackets’ back end tonight.
W – Patrick Marleau (TOR) – $5,300 vs. CLS
While Marleau doesn’t skate with Matthews and Nylander at 5v5, he does flank the duo on the power play which is why I am taking him over Zach Hyman in this spot. I am looking at high floors tonight and Marleau provides that with his 18 goals on 147 shots for the season. He skates on the Maple Leafs’ second line which is also on fire at the moment with Toronto averaging five goals per game over their last four.
W – Mikko Rantanen (COL) – $6,500 vs. MON
Speaking of high floors, Rantanen certainly brings one with him to the table tonight. The breakout stud has 52 points in 54 games on the season, and although he will be without Nathan MacKinnon again tonight, he has tallied a point in back-to-back contests. Rantanen is now the top offensive player the Avalanche have to offer and considering their lethal offense on home ice I am liking Rantanen’s floor and ceiling in a favorable matchup tonight.
W – Tyson Jost (COL) – $4,000 vs. MON
Jost probably has the lowest floor in this lineup, but I have no problem using him considering his spot alongside Compher and Rantanen at both 5v5 and on the Avs’ top power play unit. He has tallied three points over his last four games to bring his season total to five goals and 13 points on 62 shots across 38 games. He’s seeing an increased amount of ice time with the Avs banged up up front so let’s look for him to exceed value tonight.
D – Tyson Barrie (COL) – $5,300 vs. MON
Barrie is going to see some ownership tonight on a short slate, however the Avalanche four-man stack as a whole will go lower owned than you might think. Barrie has tonnes of upside tonight as he has 31 points in 41 games this season to go along with 98 shots on goal. He is the lone defenseman on the top power play unit which makes this a four-man power play stack as well.
D – Seth Jones (CLS) – $5,600 vs. TOR
The high floor game continues tonight with Jones as he visits the Maple Leafs. Jones has really shown his offensive side this season as he has 36 points in 56 games, but also brings 182 shots and 86 blocks with him into play. The Blue Jackets are a low-scoring club, but they have been upped their offense as of late and Jones should continue to bring that floor with him tonight in Toronto.
G – Frederik Andersen (TOR) – $8,500 vs. CLS
Andersen is the steadiest goaltender on this slate tonight as the Maple Leafs face the Blue Jackets. Columbus comes into play tonight averaging just 2.59 goals per game on the season, good for 28th overall. For his part, Andersen sports a rock-solid .921 Sv% for the season and despite being one of the most relied upon goaltender in the league he has posted save percentages of .938, .924 .928 and .914 in the months of November, December, January and now February. He is the safest bet on tonight’s slate.