We have a tiny two-game schedule tonight in the NHL, but we will go ahead and try to rake in some profits nonetheless. Tonight’s lineup will be aimed more towards GPPs than cash games. Let’s go!
C – Nazem Kadri (TOR) – $5,600 vs. OTT
The Maple Leafs welcome the lowly Senators to the Air Canada Center tonight a night after the Sens were crushed 8-2 at home by Chicago last night. Rostering Kadri is a risky play in the sense that he amazingly has just one point over his last 15 games. However, with most leaning towards the Matthews or Bozak line tonight, we will go with Kadri who is clearly due at this point. His ice time is there, his advanced stats are there, and reversion to the mean is imminent. He will breakout very soon and I want to be there for that.
C – Nick Schmaltz (CHI) – $5,200 vs. MIN
Skating with Patrick Kane at 5v5 and on the power play has elevated Schmaltz’s numbers to star status. He has tallied five goals and two assists over his last four games including two power play goals last night in Ottawa. He doesn’t shoot the puck a ton, but who needs shots when the production at the moment is sky high? They will look to stay hot tonight against the Wild and Devan Dubnyk who owns a poor .896 Sv% on the road this season.
W – Patrick Marleau (TOR) – $5,500 vs. OTT
Marleau has been as advertised for the Maple Leafs. He enters play tonight with 15 goals on 114 shots, but has been held pointless over his last four games. That is in part to skating with Kadri, but Marleau also gets power play time alongside the Matthews/Nylander duo as opposed to Kadri who skates on the Maple Leafs other unit with Bozak and Marner, giving us exposure to both of the Maple Leafs’ power play groups. Nonetheless, we will also go for 5v5 production tonight from the Kadri/Marleau/Komarov trio.
W – Leo Komarov (TOR) – $3,600 vs. OTT
A value play, there’s no reason why Komarov wouldn’t be in on the action should Kadri bust out tonight against the Sens. He has actually been seeing plenty of ice time lately as he has skated 17+ minutes in each of his last three contests including more than 24 minutes in a win over the Sharks. He sees a lot of penalty killing ice, which could come in handy if he somehow managed to get on the board with the Leafs down a man tonight.
W – Patrick Kane (CHI) – $8,300 vs. MIN
Kane obviously isn’t a strict GPP play, but he does fit the Blackhawks stack we are rolling out tonight. He enters play tonight white-hot after a five-point night in Ottawa last night. He amazingly did that in less than 17 minutes of ice time too. He now has 45 points across 42 games with 148 shots on goal, the latter of which ranks him in an 11th place tie league-wide. Look for the veteran superstar to stay hot tonight against a poor Wild road defense.
W – Mark Stone (OTT) – $7,100 vs. TOR
As poor as the Senators have been, Stone has been on fire. Not only does he have 42 points in 41 games for one of the worst teams in the NHL, but Stone has rattled off three straight multi-point games with a whopping eight points over that stretch. He is also a Maple Leafs killer with nine goals and 24 points across 16 games against the Sens’ arch rivals.
D – Erik Karlsson (OTT) – $7,000 vs. TOR
Karlsson and Stone skate together on the Senators’ top power play unit, so a mini-stack can’t hurt here. I suppose 30 points in 36 games on 103 shots in considered a down season for the superstar, but the Sens’ power play could capitalize tonight against a Maple Leafs penalty kill that ranks 22nd on home ice. Karlsson has tallied five points over his last three games.
D – Jordan Oesterle (CHI) – $4,000 vs. MIN
Oesterle has come out of nowhere to become the top offensive threat on the Blackhawks’ blueline. In 17 games this season, he has tallied 10 points on 38 shots. He is on their top power play with Schmaltz and Kane while his ice time has increased to over 23 minutes per night in each of his last six games. Let’s look for a big night from the Chicago top power play unit.
G – Frederik Andersen (TOR) – $8,400 vs. OTT
You might be wondering why we are using the Leafs’ goalie while rostering two Sens, but that is why this is a GPP lineup. The truth is there aren’t any good bets on the board tonight aside from Andersen, so if he gives up one or two goals scored by the Stone/Karlsson combo and still gets the win backed by a Kadri line outburst, then we are in good shape. He isn’t as hot as he was in November and December, but Andersen is facing the league’s 22nd ranked offense and 30th ranked road offense tonight. Let’s use him and look to benefit from the aforementioned scenario.