We had a solid lineup last night with our position players, however Jonathan Quick was torched for five goals on just 18 shots, which really hampered the performance of the overall lineup. Alexander Radulov led a real productive Stars stack while Vladimir Tarasenko scored a goal and the Alex Pietrangelo added an assist for a productive Blues stack. We also got a one-off goal with Travis Konecny. Still, Quick eliminated what could have been a profitable night for our FanDuel NHL Picks. Let’s try and grab some of those profits back on tonight’s tiny two-game slate.
C – Auston Matthews (TOR) – $7,800 vs. CHI
Matthews has been known to score goals in bunches during his brief NHL career so far, and he’s doing that as we speak. He has scored goals in back-to-back games, and would have three over his last two had he not been robbed of a goal on an inexplicable goalie interference review Monday against the Avalanche. Nonetheless, Matthews is playing off the charts right now as he has hit the 21-goal plateau across just 39 games for the season.
C – Jonathan Toews (CHI) – $7,100 vs. TOR
The Maple Leafs are real thin on the back end tonight and the Blackhawks are a strong offensive team at home, so I can see the Blackhawks notching a few goals tonight. Toews hasn’t tallied a point in five games, but I believe he and new linemate Anthony Duclair will go lower owned than the Patrick Kane line, so I don’t mind this play. He has 14 goals and 31 points for the season on 137 shots, so the production has still been there for the veteran pivot.
W – William Nylander (TOR) – $6,300 vs. CHI
The production hasn’t done justice to how dangerous Nylander has been lately. He has just one point over his last four games, but also has nine shots over his last two. He flanks Matthews at both 5v5 and on the power play where the Maple Leafs rank 11th at 20.3% for the season. Blackhawks’ goaltender Jeff Glass has played to an uninspiring 3.31 GAA and .902 Sv% on home ice this season, so some offense from the Leafs’ top line is certainly in the cards tonight.
W – Anthony Duclair (CHI) – $3,500 vs. TOR
I believe the value upside is very high for Duclair tonight against the Maple Leafs. He will skate on the Blackhawks’ top line (or 1B) alongside Toews at both 5v5 and on the man advantage tonight for the Blackhawks. Given the Maple Leafs are missing their top two defenseman for tonight’s game, I can see Duclair’s speed and skill giving the Leafs’ defense fits which could lead to Duclair eclipsing value with ease tonight.
W – Patrick Marleau (TOR) – $5,600 vs. CHI
If the Auston Matthews’ power play unit can score a goal or two tonight, this lineup should be in good hands. Marleau doesn’t skate with Matthews at 5v5, however he does flank him on the power play. Marleau got off an eight-game pointless skid with a goal on Monday against Colorado, his 16th of the season. He also has 121 shots on goal so look for Marleau to make it back-to-back games with a point tonight in Chicago.
W – Tyler Toffoli (LA) – $5,600 vs. CGY
I expect the Kings/Flames game to be a low-scoring one tonight, but I will roster a Kings mini-stack that has a solid floor for good measure. Toffoli has scored 18 goals this season and fired 149 shots on goal, producing that floor we covet. He skates on the team’s second line but also the first power play unit where he has scored five of those 18 goals this season. He’s got a fantastic shot so let’s hope he uses it tonight in a pivotal matchup against the Flames.
D – Duncan Keith (CHI) – $5,200 vs. TOR
We have a three-man Blackhawks stack completed here with the addition of Keith. He isn’t having his best offensive season as he has yet to score a goal, but Keith still has 22 assists and has taken 111 shots, so his first goal shouldn’t be too far away. He has also blocked 84 shots on the season as well. Keith mans the point on the same power play unit that Toews and Duclair will skate on, so let’s look for this stack to be a productive one against a weak Leafs’ back end.
D – Drew Doughty (LA) – $5,800 vs. CGY
With the addition of Doughty we have that two-man Kings stack knotted up. Doughty is a cross-category contributor has he has seven goals, 26 assists, 127 shots on goal and 70 blocked shots for the campaign. He is the lone defenseman on the Kings’ top power play unit and lines up right beside Toffoli in the process. The superstar blueliner has three points over his last two games after a five-game pointless drought.
G – Darcy Kuemper (LA) – $7,800 vs. CGY
After sizzling for their seven-game win streak, the Flames’ offense has scored just two goals over their last two games and will be in tough for offense tonight against the NHL’s second best defense in the form of the Kings. It’s possible the Kings go back to Quick tonight as he played just half of last night’s game, but Kuemper yielded just one goal compared to Quick’s five in similar minutes, so I bet he gets the nod. He brings a stout .931 Sv% into play tonight and could provide plenty of value with a low-scoring win in Calgary.