We have a five-game Monday night slate to tackle this evening, so let’s grab some profits to get the week started on the right note!
C – Riley Nash (BOS) – $5,600 vs. CLS
David Backes moved up to the center the Bruins’ top line in Tampa Bay on Saturday, but a leg laceration ended that experiment. With Backes on the shelf, it should be Nash who moves back up to the first line tonight. Nash should also skate in the middle of the Bruins’ top power play unit. Boston ranks third in the league with 3.31 goals per game, a number that creeps up to 3.53 goals per game at home, good for sixth. They also have the league’s fourth-ranked home power play at an even 26% clip. Given all that, Nash look a real nice play on tonight’s short slate.
C – Kyle Turris (NSH) – $5,300 vs. BUF
Another team in a nice spot tonight is the Predators as they visit the lowly Sabres. Nashville sports the league’s seventh best offense with 3.20 goals per game and the league’s sixth best road offense with three goals per game. The Sabres check in with the league’s 29th-ranked defense as well as the league’s 27th-ranked home defense with 3.22 goals against per game. Turris has been playing better after a fairly quiet six weeks. He’s notched 11 points over his last 13 games and has four points over his last three. He should get plenty of looks tonight against a thin and weak Sabres’ back end.
W – Brad Marchand (BOS) – $8,300 vs. CLS
Marchand is likely the top player on this slate. He enters tonight’s contest with 73 points in 56 games with his 1.30 points per game clip ranking fourth in the league. Clearly, he is a very consistent point producer as he’s went pointless in just five of his last 25 games. The Blue Jackets are going to start backup Joonas Korpisalo this evening, a netminder who owns a 4.21 GAA and an .872 Sv% in six road starts this season. Marchand’s upside is big once again tonight.
W – David Pastrnak (BOS) – $7,300 vs. CLS
One of the league’s brightest young talents, Pastrnak is enjoying a big-time season for the Bruins. He’s notched 28 goals on the campaign while adding 41 assists on a very healthy 198 shots on goal. Pastrnak is white-hot entering tonight’s contest, scoring five times and adding six assists over his last seven games. He’s putting plenty of pucks on net as well with an average of 4.22 shots per game over his last eight. The Bruins stack is my top stack of the night.
W – Kevin Fiala (NSH) – $5,300 vs. BUF
Fiala is quietly enjoying a quality campaign for the Predators in his second full season in the NHL. He’s scored 23 goals and notched 22 assists entering tonight’s game with 167 shots for the season. He will flank Turris at 5v5 as well as on the second power play unit. He’s scored two goals and added an assist over his last three games with 11 shots in that span. He and Turris should be productive and will see lower ownership than the Predators’ top line.
W – Denis Malgin (FLA) – $3,400 vs. MON
Considering his spot on the Panthers’ depth chart and his opponent tonight, Malgin makes for a very nice value play. He is set to skate on Florida’s very productive second line alongside Jonathan Huberdeau and Vincent Trocheck while he should also see second unit power play time as well. Malgin has notched 10 goals and eight assists in 42 games this season as he gets set to take on the league’s 24th-ranked defense tonight in Montreal.
D – Ryan Ellis (NSH) – $5,700 vs. BUF
The Predators have a quality stable of defenseman, which is why Ellis can get lost in the shuffle at times. That said, he’s extremely productive and forms a three-man power play stack on the Predators’ second unit alongside Fiala and Turris. Ellis has scored seven goals and added 17 assists this season while taking 89 shots in 33 games. A defenseman that takes almost three shots a game against a weak opponent is very good bet in my books.
D – Aaron Ekblad (FLA) – $5,500 vs. MON
With Malgin and Ekblad we have a nice little mini-stack going tonight against the Canadiens. They skate on the second power play unit together where Ekblad has scored four of his 14 goals this season. He’s also added 17 assists and taken a very healthy 168 shots on goal while adding 107 blocks as well. With those stats, we have a very solid floor with Ekblad and let’s hope he and Malgin can connect for some power play offense tonight.
G – Devan Dubnyk (MIN) – $8,500 vs. LA
There are a few goalies that I like on this slate, but given the cost and Dubnyk’s numbers at home I will roll with the Wild’s top netminder tonight. Dubnyk enters play tonight sporting a 19-3-5 record at home to go along with a sparkling 2.24 GAA and a .927 Sv% on home ice. The Wild are the NHL’s best defensive team at home where they allow just 2.24 goals per game. The Kings are a solid road offense, but I still like Dubnyk at his price given his success on home ice.