FanDuel NHL Picks – March 26th

We have a heavier than normal nine-game slate on this Monday evening, so let’s not waste any time and get into the money right from the get go!

C – Auston Matthews (TOR) – $7,600 vs. BUF

The Maple Leafs have rattled off 13 straight wins on home ice and you have to like their chances of making that 14 tonight against the visiting Sabres. Matthews returned from a month-long absence last Thursday in Nashville, scoring a goal in that contest before notching an assist in Saturday’s win over the Red Wings. He’s now scored 29 goals in just 55 games while he’s also fired 166 shots on goal in that span as well. The Maple Leafs are now the league’s second highest scoring team so it won’t hurt to roster their top scorer in a matchup against the league’s 29th-ranked defense tonight.

C – Jean-Gabriel Pageau (OTT) – $4,500 vs. CAR

We have some expensive players in this lineup, so we can to find to mid-to-low priced assets as well, so we will begin a mini-stack here with Pageau. With a depleted Senators roster, Pageau now skates at the team’s second line center while he has also earned himself some first unit power play time as well. He’s scored just 12 goals this season, but also has taken 123 shots and is regularly skating over 17 minutes these days. He will see some real low ownership to boot.

W – William Nylander (TOR) – $5,700 vs. BUF

Nylander is at his best when skating to the right of Matthews at both 5v5 and on the power play, so we will roster him at an attractive price tonight. Nylander scored for the second straight game since Matthews’ return on Saturday against the Red Wings, his 17th of the season. He is an excellent playmaker at well with 37 helpers on the year to go along with his 165 shots on goal. Look for the Maple Leafs’ offense to be carried by this dynamic duo tonight.

W – Mitch Marner (TOR) – $6,600 vs. BUF

Although I expect the Matthews line to dominate tonight, it’s tough to stack the Leafs without Marner involved. He is on fire right now, having notched at least one point in eight straight games with 11 points over that stretch. He’s now up to 20 goals and 44 helpers on the season 180 shots as well. Marner is essentially the quarterback of the Maple Leafs’ top power play unit, giving us exposure both units, where he has notched 26 of his 64 points on the campaign.

W – Tyler Johnson (TB) – $5,600 vs. ARI

Steven Stamkos is set to miss tonight’s contest with a lower-body injury, so it looks like Johnson will step into his spot as the team’s first line center as well as first unit power play center. Johnson is enjoying a quality campaign, notching 21 goals and 28 assists on the season on 169 shots on goal. Of course, he doesn’t bring the same floor as Stamkos does, but his ceiling is rather high considering the increased ice time and skating alongside Nikita Kucherov as well.

W – J.T. Miller (TB) – $6,200 vs. ARI

Although they’ve come in bunches, Miller has scored five goals in six games as a member of the Lightning’s first line, so it makes sense to roll with him alongside Johnson and Kucherov tonight. He’s also scored three of those five goals on the power play, and could perhaps get some more touches on that man advantage without Stamkos in the lineup. It’s nice to get exposure to a few of the Lightning’s best player at a reasonable cost tonight.

D – Victor Hedman (TB) – $6,500 vs. ARI

Hedman gives us a three-man 5v5 as well as a first unit power play stack tonight against the Coyotes. Tampa Bay is the highest scoring team in the league and obviously they have a lethal power play, so we are getting cost-effective coverage with this trio. Hedman’s been a beast lately, scoring three times and adding an assist over his last four games to go with 10 shots on goal. He’s up to 14 goals and 55 points on the season with 195 to boot.

D – Thomas Chabot (OTT) – $3,600 vs. CAR

Erik Karlsson isn’t travelling with the Sens to Carolina for tonight’s game, so it looks like Chabot will get the nod on the Senators’ top power play unit. This gives us a two-man mini-stack on that group as they take on a Hurricanes club that is killing penalties at just a 79.1% clip at home, good for 23rd. Carolina also now sits in 25th in terms of home defense at 3.05 goals against per game, so don’t sleep on the Senators tonight at low ownership.

G – Frederik Andersen (TOR) – $8,300 vs. BUF

Andersen hasn’t had a great March, however he has stopped 61 of his last 66 shots against over the last two games, good for a .924 Sv% in that span. It’s not a massive number, but he is clearly regaining his form after a tough month to date. He gets the lowly Sabres tonight on home ice, a club that is tied for 30th in road offense at just 2.42 goals per game. Andersen should also get the goal support require for the win, so we will use him at a real nice price tonight.

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