One line did all the damage for the Penguins last night, unfortunately it wasn’t the Crosby/Hornqvist line. The Islanders and Oilers ended up in a close, low-scoring game, also not good for the lineup. Let’s put a poor night behind us and move on to tonight’s three-game slate.
C – Patrice Bergeron (BOS) – $7,300 vs. NYR
Despite his linemate Brad Marchand being out for tonight’s game in New York we will roll with Bergeron and hope Marchand’s absence brings down his ownership. Besides, he has an excellent young winger in David Pastrnak to work with as Bergeron carries eight points, 30 shots and 11 blocks with him into tonight’s contest. Clearly, he is a shot on goal machine and brings with him a solid floor with his cross-category production. That productions should be there tonight against a Rangers team that ranks 25th with 3.38 goals against per game.
C – Tyler Bozak (TOR) – $4,800 vs. MIN
The Maple Leafs will be without Auston Matthews tonight, which means all centers move up the depth chart and Bozak is in a nice spot tonight. He and Mitch Marner have played their best hockey over the last few games and the duo will line up together tonight on the Leafs’ third line and first power play unit. Toronto is the league’s second highest scoring team with 3.75 goals per game and average exactly four goals per game on home ice where they will be tonight against the Wild.
W – David Pastrnak (BOS) – $7,400 vs. NYR
As mentioned, Bergeron and Pastrnak should form a productive mini-stack tonight on Broadway. Pastrnak has already tallied eight goals in 13 games this season and has also averaged more than three shots per game with 40 shots in those 13 contests. He has added six helpers and three power play goals this season and could notch another power play marker for a Bruins’ group that ranks fourth with a 25.5% clip with the man advantage.
W – Mitch Marner (TOR) – $4,700 vs. MIN
At these prices I feel very confident in the Bozak/Marner duo to hit value tonight. As mentioned, Marner’s game has picked up a couple notches as of late as he has recorded three assists over his last two games and skated 18:12 in Monday’s win over Vegas, his second highest total of the season. With Matthews out tonight head coach Mike Babcock will rely heavier on his second and third lines and that means Marner could play a big role again tonight.
W – Rick Nash (NYR) – $6,200 vs. BOS
Let’s not forget about the Rangers tonight who have scored at least five goals in two of their last three and four of their last six games. Nash has five points over his last five games and continues to shoot the puck a ton with 15 shots in those five games. He now ranks ninth in the league with 56 shots on goal, but his 5.3% shooting percentage is the lowest among the top 18 shooters in the league this season. The Rangers have the league’s fifth best power play at 24.2%, so let’s look for some production tonight from Nash.
W – Mats Zuccarello (NYR) – $5,600 vs. BOS
I’m excited to get Nash and Zuccarello into the same lineup as the pair now skates together on the team’s second line. While it appears Nash has been moved to the Rangers’ second power play unit, having exposure to two productive groups isn’t a bad thing either. Zuccarello is logging tonnes of ice time with 19:27 of ice per game and will look to improve upon his 11 points in 16 gamers this evening.
D – Kevin Shattenkirk (NYR) – $6,100 vs. BOS
Shattenkirk has been simply lethal this season with 15 points in 16 games this season, eight of which have come on the power play which is tied for the second most power play points among defenseman and fourth overall. He is almost white-hot at the moment with eight points over his last five games with 14 shots on goal in that span as well. Hopefully this three-man Rangers stack can keep their recent production going tonight against the Bruins.
D – Morgan Rielly (TOR) – $4,800 vs. MIN
Another three-man stack is complete here with Rielly. The smooth skating defenseman teams up with Bozak and Marner on the Leafs’ top power play unit, a group that has clicked at 24.1% this season, the sixth best mark in the league. Rielly has been consistently productive through the young season for the Leafs with 12 points and 40 shots through 16 games on the campaign and no reason for them to stop tonight against a Wild team that has been uncharacteristically poor defensively this season.
G – Frederik Andersen (TOR) – $8,100 vs. MIN
Andersen is a GPP play tonight to be sure, but with the goaltending situation on tonight’s slate being far from predictable why not roll with Andersen at what should be fairly low ownership. He owns just an .895 save percentage for the season, but the Wild aren’t an offensive powerhouse as they rank 15th in goals and 20th on the power play. Andersen is more than capable of a stellar game and hopefully he can figure it out tonight on home ice.