Flames vs. Leafs Pick – NHL December 9th

The San Jose Sharks looked downright ugly against the Edmonton Oilers on Sunday, seemingly not really caring about the game. I said if they were out all night partying then the Oilers would have a chance. It wouldn’t surprise me if they were playing hungover, because that is the way it looked to me. That was the Oilers first win in twelve attempts. The Sharks have now lost to the Sabres and Oilers who are both without a shadow of a doubt the two worst teams in the NHL. The Sharks are way too talented to let that happen, so in my opinion it comes to coaching in San Jose. You’re telling me if the Sharks had a Mike Babcock behind the bench that they would drop games like this? Too often they look disinterested and it showed on Sunday. Nothing looked attractive to me last night, so I took a pass until tonight where there is a play that looks quite good.

Say what you want about the Toronto Maple Leafs, but they sure do know how to bring their fans along for a roller coaster ride. After an unimpressive stretch of games, and jerseys being tossed on the ice from the fans, the Leafs have bounced back to look good of late. This team has done this same routine for the last several decades so I wouldn’t read into it too much other than the Leafs being Leafs. I’ll give the Leafs this though, they always find themselves playing in entertaining games that are worth a watch even if you’re not a Leafs fan. I can’t seem to hit a side in a Leafs game for the life of me. When they should look good they look like garbage, then they’ll come out and blow away a team. Too streaky, too inconsistent to be betting on them on a regular basis. However, the Leafs have become a solid bet on the total.

Calgary Flames @ Toronto Maple Leafs

If you are a religious watcher of the Leafs or just a casual fan, there is no secret to the Leafs’ problems. Sloppy turnovers in their own end results in terrible goals. Cut that out and the Leafs would be a quality team, but it is too much of an issue for them to be a good, consistence team in the NHL, because the goal scoring is there in Toronto. This is a team that is 2nd in the NHL in scoring, netting 3.42 goals a game. Over their last seven games, after that abomination against the Predators, they Leafs have averaged 4.4 goals. Again though, the problem is on defense, where they’re giving up 3 goals a game. The Leafs then are averaging 6.42 goals in their games in total.

The Flames have improved their scoring dramatically lately, and are now scoring over 3 goals per game at 3.07 goals per game. In their last ten games they’ve scored 4 or more goals in half of them. The Flames are allowing a pretty good average of 2.54 goals a game, but the Leafs should find some goals like they usually do at home in Toronto. The Leafs’ defense is unorganized and sloppy most of the time, but it provides us for a good angle on the OVER 5.5. Considering their defensive woes and the 2nd best offense in the NHL statistically, this bet has been profitable for bettors this season. The Leafs are 16-10 to the OVER. Look for more of the goals to cross the red line tonight at the ACC, as we look to cash in on it with the OVER 5.5.

Pick – OVER 5.5 GOALS (-125) @ 5dimes.eu (Best Odds)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.