Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Pick – February 22

The NHL is set up with another great Monday night of hockey. Eight games are up on the board throughout February 22. One of these games will be between the Calgary Flames and the Toronto Maple Leafs. These two teams have had opposite starts to this season, but will both look to grab a much needed win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Calgary has started out this season with a record of 8-9-1, which has them sitting in fifth place of the North Division. The Flames have lost three games in a row and four of their last five. Calgary will look to get back in the win column in this one. The Flames are coming off a huge loss on Saturday night and will look to get some revenge in this one.

The Maple Leafs have put up a record of 14-3-2 to this point in the season, which has them in the top spot of the North Division. Toronto have won three games in a row and have won seven of their last nine games. The Maple Leafs are coming off a strong stretch of games and will look to keep it up in this one. If Toronto can come out strong in this one, they should be able to grab a win in this one.

These two teams are sitting in opposite spots of the North Division. Toronto has jumped out to a quick start to grab the top spot. The Flames are still in the playoff race, but need to grab a win in this one. I expect Calgary to try and get the offense going early in this game. If either team can put a couple of goals in early, it could be enough for a big win.

Previous Matchups

The Flames and the Maple Leafs have met up twice to this point in the season. Calgary hosted the first game on January 24. Sean Monahan and Matthew Tkachuk both had a goal on the night, but it was not enough for the win. Morgan Rielly had three assists on the night and Mitch Marner had two assists. Jack Campbell finished with 31 saves on 33 shots as Toronto grabbed a 3-2 win.

The second games of the season series stayed in Calgary on January 26. Johnny Gaudreau had two goals and Sean Monahan had two assists on the night. The Flames came up short again though. Mitch Marner and Auston Matthews both had a goal and an assist. Morgan Rielly had two assists to help lead the Maple Leafs to a 4-3 win on the road.

Toronto has been able to grab a win in their first two games of this season’s series, but it was the Flames who won both games against the Maple Leafs last season. Calgary has lost both games to open up this season series by one goal and will look to break through in this one. I expect both teams to try and come out strong in this one as they try to break through offensively.

Special Teams

Calgary has been strong on the power play this season, but their penalty kill has struggled a bit. The Flames have capitalized on 14 of their 69 power play opportunities, which is a 20.3 percent power play. Calgary has killed off 47 of the 61 penalties against them, which is a 77.1 percent kill rate. The Flames will need to turn around their penalty kill in this one.

The Maple Leafs have been doing really well on both sides of special teams so fa this season. Toronto’s power play has scored on 21 of their 56 power play chances, which is a 37.5 percent success rate. The Maple Leafs have given up 12 goals on their opponents 61 power play attempts, which is an 80.3 percent penalty kill.

Toronto has the edge on special teams entering this matchup. The Maple Leafs have been lethal on the power play this season and if Calgary cannot step up on the kill, it could turn this one into a mismatch. The Flames have been solid on the power play this season and will look to break through on Toronto’s penalty kill to take away the edge in this one.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Jacob Markstrom to get the start between the pipes for the Flames in this one. Markstrom has gone 8-6-1 throughout his 15 starts this season. He has put up a .909 save percentage and a GAA of 2.87. Markstrom’s last start was against Edmonton Oilers on Saturday night, where he stopped 10 of 15 shots before behind pulled in the loss.

Frederik Andersen will likely get the nod in the net for Toronto on Monday night. Andersen has started in 16 games this season, earning a record of 11-3-2 in those games. He has posted a save percentage of .905 and a 2.69 GAA this season. Andersen finished with 30 saves on 33 shots in his last start against the Montreal Canadiens on Sunday.

These two goalies have put up similar numbers throughout this season so far. Markstrom’s save percentage has been slightly better this season, but Andersen has the better GAA. Both goalies will look to step up early in this one. Markstrom got pulled in his last start and will look to come out hot in this one to try and help Calgary bounce back from their blowout loss.

Pick Overview

Calgary is coming off an embarrassing performance against the Oilers, which saw them lose 7-1 to their biggest rival. The Flames will look to finally take down the Maple Leafs with a win in this one. These two teams have been solid this season, but I expect a good matchup on Monday night. If Calgary can slow down Toronto’s power play and Markstrom can bounce back, I think the Flames can grab a win in this one.

BetOnline has the Maple Leafs listed as a -148 against the money line. This implies that Toronto will win this game around 59.7 percent of the time. I think that this line is a little high. The Maple Leafs are the better team this season, but I think that the Flames will be able to knock off Toronto in this one on Monday night. As big underdogs in this one, I really like the value on Calgary after the blowout loss.

The Bet
Calgary Flames
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.