Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers NHL Pick – Game 4

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey throughout May 24. Two games are up on the board on Tuesday night. One of these games will be between the Calgary Flames and the Edmonton Oilers. These two teams have been strong throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 9:30 PM Eastern time.

Calgary has earned a record of 5-5 throughout the postseason as the top seed in the Pacific division. The Flames knocked off the Dallas Stars in seven games in the first round. Calgary earned a Game 1 win in this series, but have dropped the last two. The Flames will look to bounce back on the road as they look to tie this series back up.

The Oilers have put up a record of 6-4 so far in the playoffs as the second seed in the Pacific division. Edmonton eliminated the Los Angeles Kings in a tough seven game series in the first round. The Oilers have stepped up in their last two games and will look to keep it going. Edmonton will look for a big win to extend the series lead to 3-1.

These two teams have been strong in this series and will look to earn a huge win in Game 4. Edmonton has taken the series lead with back to back wins. The Flames will look to get another quick start in this one though and to hold off the Oilers offense. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Calgary Flames +1 ½ (-250) -105 Over 6 ½ (+100)
Edmonton Oilers -1 ½ (+210) -115 Under 6 ½ (-120)

 

Team Data Calgary Flames Edmonton Oilers
Playoff Record 5-5 6-4
Playoff Away/ Home Record 1-3 3-2
Playoff GF/GP 2.80 4.20
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 2.25 3.80
Playoff SV% .905 .921
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .912 .941

Betting Trends

Calgary Flames

  • 9-9 on Tuesday nights
  • 17-12 against divisional opponents
  • 16-12 after a divisional game
  • 1-0 when trailing in series
  • 15-11 after scoring four goals or more
  • 12-9 after a loss by two or more goals
  • 10-6 after scoring one goal or less
  • 27-24 against team with a winning record

Edmonton Oilers

  • 7-9 on Tuesday nights
  • 27-9 against divisional opponents
  • 24-11 after a divisional game
  • 0-1 when leading in series
  • 23-14 after a win by two or more goals
  • 29-17 after scoring four goals or more
  • 29-23 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up in a tight three games so far this series. Matthew Tkachuk had three goals in a wild Game 1 as the Flames earned a 9-6 win. Leon Draisaitl and Duncan Keith both had a goal and two assists in the second game as Edmonton won 5-3. Leon Draisaitl had three four assists in Game 3, while Evander Kane had a hat trick in route to a 4-1 win for the Oilers.

Special Teams

The Flames have been strong on the penalty kill throughout the postseason. Calgary has scored on 4 of their 36 power play chances, which is an 11.1 percent power play. The Flames have killed off 36 of their opponents 39 power play attempts, which is a 92.3 percent kill rate. Calgary is 7th on the power play and 1st on the kill in the remaining field of 8.

Edmonton has been strong on both sides of special teams in the playoffs. The Oilers have capitalized on 8 of their 34 power play opportunities, which is a 23.5 percent success rate. Edmonton has given up 5 power play goals on 36 penalties against, which is an 86.1 percent penalty kill. The Oilers are 5th on the man advantage and 3rd on the penalty kill.

The Oilers have the edge on special teams in this matchup with the better power play. The Flames have struggled to get their power play going in this series as well and will look to turn it around. The Oilers will look to attack Calgary’s penalty kill as well though. If either team can get a power play goal, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Jacob Markstrom will get the start in the crease for Calgary in this one. Markstrom has earned a record of 5-5 throughout the postseason. He has posted a .912 save percentage and a GAA of 2.65 in those games. Markstrom finished with 30 saves on 34 shots in Game 3 before getting pulled after two periods. He will look to bounce back after another tough performance.

Mike Smith will get the nod between the pipes for the Oilers in Game 4. Smith has started in all 10 games and has a record of 6-3 in those matchups. He has put up a save percentage of .933 and a 2.55 GAA in those starts. Smith stopped 32 of 33 shots in Game 3’s win and will look to carry that momentum into this matchup.

These two goalies have been solid throughout the playoffs and will look for a big win in this one. Markstrom has struggled in this series against Edmonton, posting a .853 save percentage. Smith has earned a save percentage of .916 in the first three games of this series. If either goalie can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

The Oilers have won the last two games of this series, but I think that Calgary will bounce back to tie it up in Game 4. The Flames have a strong team and I think they will step up after being held to only one goal. Markstrom will also look for a better start after getting pulled. If Calgary can get a quick start in this one, I think they can earn the win.

Bovada has the Oilers listed as a -115 against the money line in this one. This implies that Edmonton will win this game around 53.5 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with the Oilers at home and coming off two strong performances. Calgary will respond with some changes though, which could give them the edge. As underdogs, I like the value on the Flames.

The Bet
Calgary Flames
-105
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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