Calgary Flames vs Edmonton Oilers NHL Pick – May 1

The NHL is set up with an action packed day of hockey on May 1. Fifteen games will be up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the Calgary Flames and the Edmonton Oilers. These two teams will look for a big two points in this one as the season nears its end. This game will drop the puck at around 10:00 PM Eastern time on NHL Network.

Calgary has earned a record of 22-24-3 throughout this season, which has them sitting in fifth place of the North Division. The Flames are coming off a win in their last game and have won three of their last four. Calgary is only four points behind the Montreal Canadiens and will look to catch them before the season ends. The Flames will need a big two points in this one if they want to close that gap.

The Oilers have put up a record of 29-17-2 to this point in the season, which has them sitting in second place of the North Division. Edmonton lost their last game, but has won four of their last six. The Oilers have a three point lead on the Winnipeg Jets and will look to hold onto that spot before the postseason comes around.

These two teams are in tight races, which should lead to another great addition in the Battle of Alberta. Edmonton is comfortably in a playoff spot as of right now, while the Flames are looking to snag the fourth seed. These two teams have been playing well as of late and will look to come out quickly in this one to control the pace.

Previous Matchups

The Flames and Oilers have met up nine times throughout this season. The first three games of the season series were back in February. Mikael Backlund had a goal and two assists as Calgary won the first game 6-4. Mike Smith stopped 20 of 21 shots in the second game to give Edmonton a 2-1 win. Connor McDavid had three goals and two assists to give the Oilers a 7-1 win in the third game.

The fourth, fifth and sixth game of the season series were in March. Connor McDavid had a goal and two assists in the fourth game to lift Edmonton to a 3-2 win. Dillon Dube, Elias Lindholm and Andrew Mangiapane all had a goal and an assist in the fifth game to give the Flames a 4-3 win. Tyson Barrie had four assists as the Oilers bounced back with a 7-3 win in the sixth game.

The next three games of the season series were all in April. Leon Draisaitl had two assists in the seventh game to lift Edmonton to a 3-2 win. Johnny Gaudreau and Mark Giordano both had a goal and an assist in the eighth game as the Flames won 5-0. Elias Lindholm had two goals in the most recent matchup as Calgary won 3-1 on the night.

Edmonton has gone 5-4 throughout this season series against the Flames so far. Calgary could tie up the season series with a big win in this one, while the Oilers will look to bounce back after losing their last two to the Flames. Edmonton will look for their offense to step up in this one after only scoring once over the last two games.

Special Teams

Calgary has been solid on both sides of special teams throughout this season. The Flames have capitalized on 30 of their 151 power play chances, which is a 19.9 percent power play. Calgary has killed off 122 of their opponents 151 power play attempts, which is an 80.8 percent kill rate. The Flames will look to keep it up in this one.

The Oilers have been strong on the power play so far this season. Edmonton has scored on 40 of their 152 power play opportunities, which is a 26.3 percent success rate. The Oilers have struggled on the penalty kill though. Edmonton has given up 27 power play goals on 132 penalties against, which is a 79.6 percent penalty kill.

These two teams have been solid on special teams, but I give the edge to Edmonton in this one. The Oilers have been much better on the power play, while their penalty kill is not far behind. Edmonton will look to get going on the power play in this one early to get a big edge on the Flames. I think the Oilers power play could get their offense going in this one.

Goaltending Comparison

Jacob Markstrom will likely get the start in the net for the Flames in this one. Markstrom has started in 37 games this season, going 18-17-2 throughout those games. He has posted a .905 save percentage and a GAA of 2.68. Markstrom’s last start was against the Oilers where he stopped 30 of 31 shots in route to the win.

I expect Mike Smith to get the nod between the pipes for Edmonton on Saturday night. Smith has earned a record of 17-6-2 throughout his starts this season. He has put up a save percentage of .922 and a 2.35 GAA in his games played. Smith finished with 27 saves on 30 shots in Thursday’s loss to Calgary. Smith will look to bounce back in this one.

These two goalies have been solid this season and will look to have a strong start in this one. Smith has been the better of the two netminders in this one. If the Oilers can put pressure on Markstrom early, it could give them a win in this one. I expect Mike Smith to bounce back early in this one after losing two of his last three starts.

Pick Overview

The Oilers have lost back to back games to Calgary, but I think that they will bounce back with a win in this one. Edmonton has been the better team throughout this season and I think they will prove it with a statement win in this one. The Oilers have the edge in net and on special teams, which I think will give them the win on Saturday night.

BetOnline has Edmonton listed as a -123 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Oilers will win this game around 55.2 percent of the time. I agree with this line, but I do not see a lot of value in it. I think Edmonton will take control of this game early, which makes -1 ½ at +180 look like a strong line to me.

Edmonton Oilers -1.5
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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