Florida Panthers vs. Montreal Canadiens NHL Pick – March 24

The two teams at either end of the Atlantic division standings will face-off Thursday evening in Montreal, when the struggling Canadiens play host to the surging Florida Panthers.

The Panthers came out of nowhere this season to vault to the top of the Atlantic Division standings, and are looking for a solid final stretch to secure home ice in round one of the playoffs. They’ve blended great scoring depth with sturdy defense, and Russian netminder Sergei Bobrovsky has bounced back nicely in 2022. While their playoff experience is limited, this young group remains a force right now in the NHL. Adding both Ben Chiarot and Claude Giroux at the deadline, should only enhance this team’s skill at both ends of the ice.

The Habs are improving under recently appointed interim coach Martin St-Louis, but still are dead-last in the division. Montreal shipped out many key pieces in the lead-up to the NHL’s trade deadline, and will be focusing on youth from here on out. While results are secondary down the stretch for the Habs, they’ve been playing much better compared to earlier in the season. Jake Allen has returned and given Montreal solid goaltending, while Cole Caufield and Nick Suzuki have formed an impressive duo. Whether that tandem can continue their pace against a stingy Panthers squad, remains to be seen.

It’s always exciting when these two high-energy squads face-off, and Thursday night won’t be any different. For added insight, and all of the most up-to-date betting news, trends, and analysis – continue reading on beneath the posted odds. Despite the fact that nearly 50 points separate these teams in the standings, recent history indicates this should be a closely contested match-up. Enjoy the game!

Florida Panthers vs. Montreal Canadiens Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag

Spread:

  • Florida Panthers -1.5 (-105)
  • Montreal Canadiens +1.5 (+125)
Moneyline:

  • Florida Panthers (-275)
  • Montreal Canadiens (+250)
Total Points:

  • Over 6.5 (-110)
  • Under 6.5 (-110)
TEAM DATA PANTHERS CANADIENS
Overall Record 42-14-6 17-36-10
ATS Record 34-28 31-32
Home/Away Record 16-8-6 9-18-3
Goals Per Game 4.1 2.5
Goals Against Per Game 2.8 3.8
Shots On Goal Per Game 36.4 29.9
Shooting % 11.1 8.4

Florida Panthers vs. Montreal Canadiens Prediction:

While this year has definitely been a disappointing one for the Canadiens, this remains a young team on the rise. Their offense is showing some real signs of life over the past few weeks, and despite not finding too much success defensively and being so far removed from the playoff race, look for the exuberance of this Montreal squad to play a real spoiler down the stretch.

That said, the Panthers are in a different stratosphere and will be entering Montreal riding a real wave of excitement. With Claude Giroux being inserted onto the Panthers’ top-line alongside Sasha Barkov, that should offer Florida even more of an offensive punch to what is already the league’s strongest attack. Florida is scoring goals at an unprecedented rate, and even though Jake Allen is returning for the Habs, expect Florida to put on another offensive show come Thursday evening.

Though Florida has recently lost star defender Aaron Ekblad, the Panthers remain strong at either end of the ice. They’re 7-1-1 in the month of March, and remain top-5 in many key shot and chance generating metrics at even strength. This is as deep of a roster in the NHL as there is, and look for that depth to overwhelm a young and unproven Habs’ roster on Thursday. Moreover, with Florida still in the hunt for home-ice, first place, and even the President’s Trophy, expect the Cats to not lack any sort of motivation or hunger headed into their final stretch.

For the Habs, while there was definitely a competition bump with St-Louis taking over, shipping out numerous key pieces are going to impact this team down the stretch. Trading Tyler Toffoli, Ben Chiarot, Arturri Lehkonen, and Brett Kulak are really going to impact this team’s depth down the stretch, and it’s a tall ask to count on some of their younger and unproven pieces against a dominating squad like the Panthers. We’ve already begun to see a bit of a fading Montreal team, as the Habs have floundered to a 47% expected goals rate over their past ten games. Look for Florida to be keen to pounce on this group.

 

Panthers vs. Canadiens Trends To Know:

  • Panthers are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic.
  • Panthers are 8-1 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game.
  • Panthers are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a road favorite.
  • Canadiens are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Canadiens are 2-9 in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Over is 5-1-1 in Panthers last 7 vs. Atlantic.
  • Favorite is 22-5 in the last 27 meetings.

 

The trends all point to this being a Florida blowout, against a fading Habs team.  The Panthers will no doubt be excited to welcome some fresh faces to their lineup, and count on them pushing the pace from puck-drop on Thursday.  While backing the Cats straight-up on the money-line is too juicy, look for Florida to win this one in a rout.  Back the Cats on the road -1.5 goals for Thursday evening in Montreal.

My Pick
Panthers -1.5
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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