Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Pick – March 27

The Toronto Maple Leafs will look to shake off a disappointing loss to the Montreal Canadiens last night, as they play host to the first-place Florida Panthers on Sunday evening.

After losing to the worst team in hockey, the Leafs now need to turn around on short rest and take on the first-place Panthers, in what is very likely their stiffest test of the season. Though Toronto soundly dominated play last night, poor finishing and a lack of quality goaltending again spelled their demise. Look for Toronto to once again turn to Petr Mrazek in goal for Sunday’s crucial clash as they look to chase down Florida.

The Panthers enter Toronto riding a real wave of confidence. They’re currently atop the Eastern Conference, closing in on Colorado for a run at the President’s Trophy. After going down 3-0 to Ottawa last night, their high-octane attack stormed back to win 4-3 in a shootout. The Panthers’ offense is the league’s best right now, and will undoubtedly be a handful for Toronto on Sunday evening. With both clubs tight within the Atlantic division, this match-up could definitely have big-time playoff implications down the line.

Can Toronto prove that they can hang with the league’s best? Or will the Panthers continue their buzzsaw throughout the NHL? For answers, as well as the latest info and betting analysis, continue reading on beneath the posted odds for our pick and betting preview for this divisional showdown. Enjoy!

Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by BetOnline.ag


  • Florida Panthers +1.5 (-210)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+190)

  • Florida Panthers (+110)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs (-130)
Total Points:

  • Over 7 (+100)
  • Under 7 (-120)
Overall Record 44-14-6 40-19-5
ATS Record 34-30 26-38
Home/Away Record 18-8-6 23-7-2
Goals Per Game 4.0 3.8
Goals Against Per Game 2.8 3.0
Shots On Goal Per Game 37.0 34.6
Shooting % 10.9 10.3

Florida Panthers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction:

Despite the fact that the Panthers are without some key pieces to their lineup, including star defender Aaron Ekblad – this is still a team on the rise, and one getting results. They have excellent organizational depth, and its paying dividends at the moment. Coming off a big momentum-shifting win last night vs. Ottawa, you better believe the Panthers will be keen to show the Maple Leafs why they’re currently atop the Atlantic Division standings. In what is likely a first-round preview, the Panthers should be very motivated for this one.

Toronto however will enter a hungry group as well, losing in tough fashion to league-worst Montreal. The Leafs controlled long stretches of the game, but goaltending once again let them down. In goal on Sunday will be Czech netminder Petr Mrazek, currently in the midst of his worst season in the NHL. The veteran goalie even cleared waivers earlier in the week, and though he was fine mid-week vs. the Devils, the pace and offensive chances generated by Florida should overwhelm Toronto’s blue-line and Mrazek.

The Cats will be paced by a dominant top-line of Claude Giroux, Alexander Barkov, and Carter Verhaege. Their scoring and depth should overwhelm Toronto, controlling much of the possession and chances at 5-on-5. And while starting goalie Sergei Bobrovsky played last night in Ottawa, look for promising youngster Spencer Knight to fill the void for the Panthers in Toronto. Knight has proven he’s got a real ability to raise his game, and he should be up for a big challenge in a crucial match.

The Leafs are a good team, but do everything just a bit worse than Florida does right now. They don’t score as much, they don’t defend as well, and without Jake Muzzin and Ondrej Kase to their lineup – this team’s depth has taken a real hit of late. Devoid of trustworthy goaltending, the Leafs being favoured on Sunday night is confusing to me.


Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Trends To Know:

  • Panthers are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. Atlantic.
  • Panthers are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Panthers are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.
  • Maple Leafs are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Atlantic.
  • Maple Leafs are 4-12 in their last 16 Sunday games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games as a road underdog.


These teams haven’t played against one another since before the pandemic, but given what’s at stake there should be intensity from the puck drop. Expect the Panthers to continue their solid road play, and Spencer Knight to give them a real advantage over the Leafs’ Petr Mrazek.  Toronto’s depth is not near what Florida can possess, and expect the Panthers to further extend their Atlantic Division lead at a juicy underdog price.



My Pick
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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