Flyers vs. Leafs Pick – NHL December 20th

I had no picks the last couple of nights, but back tonight looking to break out of a funk. I had no play on Thursday and intended on having one last night but had internet issues and wasn’t able to handicap. Maybe it was for the best that I had a couple of days away from the NHL to be able to clear my mind and start fresh today. Sometimes that is the best recipe to flip the script and get on a roll. How ‘bout them Leafs? Even though they dropped their last game against the Carolina Panthers, the Toronto Maple Leafs have showed the doubters the middle finger and put themselves in a position as one of the best teams in the east. Don’t get me wrong, if the Leafs lost 5 in a row here it wouldn’t surprise me, nor would it any other Leaf fans. It won’t take much for jerseys to be chucked on the ice again and the players getting booed off the ice. Who really knows where the Leafs will be when the regular season is done. Trying to predict that is a little like playing roulette. However, the safe bet here has to be that they take a nose-dive in the second half of the season, after all, we’ve seen it many times before. Saturday nights in Toronto are always the number 1 ticket in town. Tonight they welcome the Philadelphia Flyers to the Air Canada Centre.

The Flyers have been in a funk of sorts lately. With a 11-14-1-5 record, the Flyers may want to start to win some hockey games before they dig themselves into a big hole they won’t be able to get out of. Philadelphia has hard their fair share of problems on the road this season. They come into Toronto with a record of only 3-9-1-2. They’ve been good at home with a record of 8-5-3, but unfortunately for the Flyers they need to play half of their games away. It isn’t so simple pointing fingers at a singular issue with this Flyers team. One night the offense fails to show up, and in another the defense doesn’t do much. There is one trend that the Flyers bring to this game that looks good for them. Read below for more.

Philadelphia Flyers @ Toronto Maple Leafs

The Flyers are awful on the road, but over the years they have had great success playing in Toronto. In their last eight games the Flyers are 6-2 over the Leafs. But the Leafs are hot, winners of 6 of their last 7 games. Additionally, Toronto is running the table on Saturday nights again this season. Even when the Leafs were a terrible team, they always came out for Saturday night. They have now won four straight on Saturday. The Leafs are 1st in the NHL in scoring, putting up 3.38 goals per game. Despite scoring only 1 in their last contest against the Hurricanes, they hold on to that spot. An argument could be made for both of these teams in this game, I tend to lean to the Leafs, but with a steep price of -160 I’m going to look elsewhere in this game.

There are some trends backing the OVER here as well. There is a reason this was set at 6. The OVER went 4-0 their last four meetings in Toronto. Furthermore, the OVER is 6-1 their last seven meetings in total. Lastly, it has gone 8-2 the last ten games between the Flyers and Leafs. In the Leafs last four Saturday night games they scored 4, 6, 5, and 4. The pucks always seem to find the back of the night in Toronto on Saturday nights. I foresee a 4-3 win, probably for the Leafs, which will put the game OVER the total.

Pick – OVER 6 GOALS (+100) @ (Best Odds)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.