Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Pick – March 4

The NHL is set up with another great night of action throughout March 4. Ten games are up on the board throughout Thursday night. One of these games will be between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Pittsburgh Penguins. These two teams have had solid starts to this season and will look for a big win. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN+.

The Flyers have started out this season with a record of 11-5-3, which has them in fourth place of the East Division. Philadelphia is coming off a loss in their last game, which ended a three game winning streak. The Flyers will look to get going in this one as they look to knock off their rival. I expect Philadelphia to try and set the pace in the first period on Thursday night.

Pittsburgh has put up a record of 12-8-1 to this point in the season, which has them sitting in fifth place of the East Division. The Penguins are coming off a win in their last game and have won five of their last seven. Pittsburgh will look to keep this win streak up as they meet up again with Philadelphia. I expect the Penguins to try and build off Tuesday night’s win early.

These two teams have put up the same amount of points throughout this season, which has helped them keep it close in the East Division. Pittsburgh has had more wins so far this season, but the Flyers have been able to force overtime more. These two teams have already met plenty this season, which should add to the intensity in this one.

Previous Matchups

The Flyers and the Penguins have met up three times throughout this season so far. Philadelphia hosted the first game on January 13. Mark Jankowski and Brandon Tanev both had a goal and an assist, but it was not enough. Joel Farabee had a goal and three assists, while Kevin Hayes each had a goal and an assist. Erik Gustafsson tallied two assists as the Flyers earned a 6-3 win.

The second game of the season series stayed in Philadelphia on January 15. Sidney Crosby and Brandon Tanev both had goals on the night, but it was not enough for the Penguins. Travis Konecny had three goals and an assist. Claude Giroux, James van Riemsdyk and Jakub Voracek all had two assists. Carter Hart stopped 31 of 33 shots as the Flyers earned a 5-2 win.

The third game of the season series shifted to Pittsburgh on March 2. Joel Farabee scored two goals on the night, but this time Philadelphia came up short. Kasperi Kapanen had two goals on the night as well, while Bryan Rust had a goal and an assist. Tristan Jarry finished with 40 saves on 42 shots as the Penguins were able to win 5-2 at home.

These two teams have met up three times to this point in the season, with the Flyers winning two of the three games. Philadelphia was able to sweep the first series of the season, but the Penguins grabbed a win in the last meeting. Pittsburgh will look to build off of that in this one, but they will meet a tough task trying to knock off the Flyers twice.

Special Teams

Philadelphia has struggled on both sides of special teams so far this season. The Flyers have capitalized on 12 of their 68 power play opportunities, which is a 17.7 percent success rate. Philadelphia has not been much better on the penalty kill. The Flyers have killed off 48 of the 66 penalties against them, which is a 72.7 percent penalty kill.

The Penguins have not been any better on special teams throughout this season. Pittsburgh has scored on 10 of their 63 power play chances, which is a 15.9 percent power play. The Penguins has given up 17 goals on their opponents 66 power play attempts, which is a 74.2 percent kill rate. Pittsburgh needs to get their special teams going in this one if they want a win.

The Flyers have a slight edge on special teams in this one, but they have not been great this season. Both teams will look to get their power plays going against a struggling penalty kill. If either team can get going on special teams in this one, it could give a big edge on Thursday night. I expect both teams to try and set the tempo early in this one.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Carter Hart to get the nod in the crease for the Flyers in this one. Hart has started in 13 games so far this season, going 6-4-3 in those games. He has put up a save percentage of .893 and a 3.49 GAA in his starts this season. Hart’s last start was against Penguins, where he stopped 22 of the 27 shots against him in the loss.

Tristan Jarry will likely get the start between the pipes for Pittsburgh on Thursday night. Jarry has earned a record of 8-6-1 throughout his 15 starts. He has posted a .900 save percentage and a GAA of 3.06 in his games played. Jarry finished with 40 of 42 shots in the Penguins win over Philadelphia on Tuesday night. Jarry will look to carry momentum into this one.

Pittsburgh has a slight edge in this one on special teams. Jarry has put up a better save percentage and GAA throughout this season. Carter Hart has struggled early in this season and the Flyers need him to find his groove this season if they want to move up the standings. I expect both goalies to try and get comfortable early to give their team the edge.

Pick Overview

Philadelphia has been the better team in this season series, but they are coming off a tough loss to the Penguins. I think that the Flyers can bounce back in this one though. I think Carter Hart will come out much better as he tries to bounce back from a poor performance on Tuesday night. Pittsburgh is without Sidney Crosby, which could give a big edge to Philadelphia.

BetOnline has the Flyers listed as a -116 against the money line in this one. This implies that Philadelphia will win this game around 53.7 percent of the time. I agree with this line, especially with multiple Penguins out in this one. I think that the Flyers will come out much quicker on Thursday night as they try to get a big win in this one.

The Bet
Philadelphia Flyers
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.