Vegas Golden Knights vs Montreal Canadiens NHL Pick – Game 4

The NHL has another night of great Stanley Cup semifinal action on June 20. The Vegas Golden Knights and the Montreal Canadiens will both look for a huge win in Game 4 on Sunday night. These two teams have played a great series so far and I expect another good one on Sunday. This game will drop the puck at around 8:00 PM Eastern time on NBCSN.

Vegas earned a record of 40-14-2 throughout the regular season, which had them sitting in second place of the West Division. The Golden Knights were able to knock off the Minnesota Wild in seven games in the first round. Vegas then eliminated the Colorado Avalanche in six games. The Golden Knights have fallen down early in this series and will look to tie it up with a big win in Game 4.

The Canadiens have put up a record of 24-21-11 during the regular season, which had them earn the fourth seed in the North Division. Montreal came back from down 3-1 against the Toronto Maple Leafs and swept the Winnipeg Jets to make it here. The Canadiens have won two in a row to take the series lead. Montreal will look to take a commanding lead with a win in this one.

These two teams have been strong throughout this series and will look for a huge win in Game 4. Montreal could take a surprising 3-1 series lead, while the Golden Knights will took to tie this series up. Vegas dominated the shot category in Game 3, but were not able to earn the win. The Golden Knights will look to capitalize more on the scoresheet in this one.

Previous Matchups

The Golden Knights hosted the first game of this series on June 14. Cole Caufield scored the lone goal for Montreal, but it was not enough. Shea Theodore had a goal and an assist on the night, while Reilly Smith had two assists. Marc-Andre Fleury finished with 28 saves on 29 shots as Vegas earned a 4-1 win to take Game 1 at home.

The second game of this series stayed in Vegas on June 16. Alex Pietrangelo scored two goals for the Golden Knights, but it was not enough to come back and earn the win. Joel Edmundson had two assists in this matchup. Joel Armia, Tyler Toffoli and Paul Byron all had a goal for the Canadiens. Carey Price stopped 29 of the 31 shots against him as Montreal won 3-2 in Game 2.

Montreal hosted the third game of this series on June 18. Nicolas Roy and Alex Pietrangelo both scored for the Golden Knights on the night, but it was not enough. Cole Caufield added a goal, while Josh Anderson scored twice in this one. Carey Price finished with 43 saves on 45 shots as the Canadiens earned a 3-2 win in overtime.

These two teams have been strong throughout this series, but the Canadiens have bounced back with wins in their last two games. Montreal was outshot 45-27 in Game 3, but were still able to earn a big win. I expect the Canadiens to come out hot in this one as they try to build on that win. Vegas will look to get on the board more in this one as they try to tie this series up.

Special Teams

Vegas has put up the worst power play stats of this postseason so far. The Golden Knights have scored on 4 of their 38 power play opportunities, which is a 10.5 percent success rate. Vegas has been better on the penalty kill, but they have not been great. The Golden Knights have given up 9 power play goals on 33 penalties against, which is a 72.7 percent penalty kill.

The Canadiens have not been great on the power play throughout this playoff run. Montreal has capitalized on 7 of their 37 power play attempts, which is an 18.9 percent power play. The Canadiens penalty kill has been great though. Montreal has killed off 38 of their opponents 41 power play chances, which is a 92.7 percent kill rate.

Montreal has the edge on special teams entering this game. The Canadiens have had a much better power play and penalty kill and will look to use that to their advantage. Vegas needs to switch things up on their power play if they want to get back in this series. The Golden Knights will need to find a way to capitalize with the man advantage in Game 4.

Goaltending Comparison

Marc-Andre Fleury will get the nod in the crease for the Golden Knights in Game 4. Fleury has earned a record of 9-6 throughout his 15 starts this postseason. He has posted a .921 save percentage and a GAA of 1.97. Fleury finished with 24 saves on 27 shots in his last game, which was not enough to earn the win on the road.

Carey Price will get the start between the pipes for Montreal on Sunday night. Price has started all 14 games this postseason, going 10-4. He has put up a save percentage of .932 and a 2.10 GAA in those games played. Price stopped 43 of 45 shots in Game 3, which helped the Canadiens steal that game in overtime. He will look to repeat that performance in this one.

These two goalies have been strong throughout this postseason and will look to keep it up in this one. Price put up a great performance in Game 3, while Fleury had a mistake that allowed Montreal to tie it late. Fleury will look to put up a stronger performance in this one, while Price will look to stay locked in. If either goalie gets hot in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

Montreal will look to take over the series with a win at home in this one. The Golden Knights were the better team in Game 3, and I think they will tie it up with a bounce back performance in Game 4. If Vegas can push the pace early in this one, I think that they will earn a win to tie the series up. I think the Golden Knights will solve Price early to bounce back with a win.

BetOnline has Vegas listed as a -174 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Golden Knights will win this game around 63.5 percent of the time. I think that this line is too high for Montreal being at home, which leads to very little value. Vegas is also listed at -1 ½ for +164. I think that the Golden Knights can dominate this game early to cover this spread.

The Bet
Vegas Golden Knights -1.5
+164
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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