Islanders vs. Canucks NHL Pick – March 10, 2020

I remained hot with my free NHL picks last night as I went 2-1 and netted a nice profit while coming oh so close to a perfect 3 for 3 night.

My first winner of the night came in St. Louis where I had the Panthers to upset the Blues as +140 road underdogs.

While the Blues opened the scoring in the second, the Panthers would tie it and notch a go-ahead marker in the third. That was actually all the scoring in this one as the Panthers pulled within one point of a playoff spot with a 2-1 road victory.

For second win, I had the Jets as -123 home favorites to win a crucial clash with the visiting Coyotes.

This one didn’t look good early as the ‘Yotes took a 2-0 lead into the first intermission. That said, it was all Jets from there on out as they would score the next four goals of the game and Connor Hellebuyck shut the door at the other end from there on out in a 4-2 Jets victory.

We were set up for a big night at that point, and an Oilers win would have netted us 3.40 units in profit on the night as I had the Oilers as -119 home favorites to win a massive game over the Vegas Golden Knights.

It looked good throughout, as least from a scoreboard perspective. The Golden Knights were dominating the shot total, but yet the Oilers took leads of 1-0 and 2-1.

However, they didn’t deserve those leads and it caught up to them as Vegas tied it in the third and won it in overtime to put a damper on our night.

It also didn’t help that Connor McDavid was a late scratch with an illness. Not sure I would have taken Edmonton had I known that.

Nonetheless, I’ll take the 2-1 night and 1.21 units in profit and move onto this eight-game Tuesday night schedule!

Season Record: 112-94-1

Units: +16.93

Now let’s dive into this free NHL pick featuring the Islanders vs. Canucks from Rogers Arena in Vancouver!

Islanders vs. Canucks Betting Odds

  • Islanders (+109)
  • Canucks (-120)
  • Islanders +1.5 (-240)
  • Canucks -1.5 (+200)
  • Over 5.5 (+102)
  • Under 5.5 (-113)

Islanders vs. Canucks NHL Pick Breakdown

Now let’s check out each of these clubs before I get into my final pick!

Islanders

Have the Islanders been one of the most disappointing teams in the NHL this season?

Considered a Metropolitan threat at the beginning of the season, the Islanders currently sit outside of the playoff picture looking in thanks to their current six-game losing streak while they’ve won just twice over their last 10 games.

Grabbing four of a potential 20 points during a playoff race it not ideal, and they’ll be in tough against a hungry Vancouver team tonight.

One of the issues of late has been on offense which has been a big problem on the road all season long.

In mid-February the Islanders scored two goals across a four-game road trip and after scoring just five over their last two on the road they have now averaged a whopping 1.17 goals per game over their last six on the road.

Entering tonight’s contest, they sit tied for 29th with just 2.28 goals per game on the road where their power play ranks a decent 16th with a 19.2% clip.

As a result, their 5v5 road offense has been absolutely atrocious and ranks 30th with just 1.75 goals/60 on the road this season.

Their defense has been real good since the beginning of last season when Barry Trotz took over.

It’s kept them in many games and they rank third with 2.69 goals against per game on the road this season and seven with an 81.9% mark on the penalty kill away from home as well.

However, that defense has faltered of late, allowing at least three goals in six straight games and have averaged an even 4.00 goals against per game during that time.

Over their last two on the road, they’ve allowed seven goals, or 3.50 per game.

They’re also one of the worst possession teams in the NHL and you wonder if that is catching up with them at even strength.

At 5v5, the Isles rank 29th with a 45.49% Corsi For%, 25th with a 45.42% Scoring Chances For% and 23rd with a 44.27% High-Danger Chances For%.

Their eighth-ranked .927 Sv% at 5v5 on the road has been helpful to be sure, while they also rank eighth with an .845 Sv% on high-danger chances against.

Looking to keep up the yeoman’s work between the pipes will be Semyon Varlamov who has favorable road splits for this one tonight.

For the season, the former Avalanche netminder owns a 2.59 GAA and .915 Sv% in his first season with the Islanders, but has also turned in a 2.28 GAA and .925 Sv% across 17 starts and 20 appearances on the road.

Despite that excellent work away from home, he’s still gone just 8-8-1 thanks to a complete lack of goal support.

Canucks

The Canucks are another team that better shape up if they want to play spring hockey this year.

Vancouver has just three wins over their last 10 contests and have dropped five of their last six entering this one tonight.

It’s been clear that the team misses the superb goaltending they were getting from All-Star netminder Jacob Markstrom before he went down with an injury.

Since that injury, the Canucks have yielded an average of 3.71 goals per game, although they’ve been better in allowing just five over their last two games, both of which came at home.

For the season, the Canucks rank 10th with 2.68 goals against per game on home ice while their home penalty kill slips to 21st with a 79.6% mark on the year.

That said, this team’s offense is among the best in the business on home ice.

Vancouver’s 3.65 goals per game on home ice this season is the second-best mark behind only the Tampa Bay Lightning while their 25.2% clip on the man advantage at Rogers Arena ranks seventh.

That power play has gone 0 for 6 over their last two games, but gets a big piece back tonight in the form of Brock Boeser.

Originally feared to be out for the remainder of the season, Boeser is set to return from a rib injury tonight and will give a boost to an already-lethal Canucks home offense.

That said, this is indeed a battle of two teams that struggle in the possession game.

At 5v5 at home, the Canucks rank 27th with a 47.86% Corsi For%, 28th with a 47.71% Scoring Chances For% and 25th with a 49.91% High-Danger Chances For%.

With Markstrom still out of the lineup, tonight’s start in goal once again goes to Thatcher Demko who has started six of the seven games that Markstrom has missed.

In that time, Demko has put forth a .903 Sv%. That said, he owns a 2.72 GAA and .914 Sv% over three March outings, all of which have come at home.

For the season, he owns a 3.03 GAA and .904 Sv%, but also a 2.75 GAA and .909 Sv% on home ice across 13 appearances at Rogers Arena.

Final Pick

Both teams are slumping entering this one and both teams are desperate to improve their playoff hopes tonight.

That said, I really like the home side here.

That Islanders road offense is just flat-out pitiful.

They are scoring a hair more than one goal per game on the road of late, and that’s just not going to get it done against this Vancouver offense.

Considering the Islanders’ defense – both at home and on the road – has struggled mightily of late, facing a high-octane Canucks offense that’s getting perhaps their best pure goal-scorer back doesn’t seem like a favorable proposition for the road team here.

I mean, for the season the Isles have been excellent defensive and strong on the penalty kill on the road, it just hasn’t been the case with the way they are playing entering this matchup.

They probably do own the goaltending advantage here with Varlamov playing well on the road and Demko producing so-so numbers, albeit better ones at home, especially in March.

Still, this Canucks offense could very well hang a handful of goals on this struggling Islanders defense and with a 21-9-4 home record compared to a 15-14-3 road record for the Islanders, I think our best bet here is to roll with the home side on the moneyline tonight.

The Bet
CANUCKS
-120
Brenton Kemp / Author

Brenton is a lifelong sports fan who resides in Ontario, Canada. Brenton is a fan of most all sports but specializes in hockey, baseball, football, basketball, and golf. He’s a fierce researcher with a strong appetite to deliver accurate and relevant facts that in turn have led to past success with picks and DFS advice across the board. Brenton’s biggest goal is to deliver readers with the picks and advice that can build their bankroll. He takes great pride in his success and loves nothing more than to share that success for the benefit of everyone involved.