New York Islanders vs Detroit Red Wings NHL Pick – December 4

The NHL is set up with another great slate of action throughout Saturday. Ten games are up on the board throughout December 4. One of these matchups will be between the New York Islanders and the Detroit Red Wings. These two teams have had opposite starts to the season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

New York has earned a record of 5-10-3 to start out this season, which has them in last place of the Metropolitan division. The Islanders have been hit hard with injuries early in the season. New York has lost nine games in a row entering this one. The Islanders will look to get back on track with a much needed win on the road.

The Red Wings have put up a record of 12-9-3 to open up the season, which has them in fourth place of the Atlantic division. Detroit has won four games in a row entering play on Saturday night. The Red Wings have been one of the early season stories after projected to struggle again this season. Detroit will look to remain hot with a win at home.

These two teams are in opposite positions early in the season, but will look to grab a big two points in this one. The Islanders have only played once since their extended COVID-19 pause and lost in that one. Detroit has picked up their play to win four in a row as of late. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
New York Islanders +1 ½ (-255) -113 Over 5 ½ (+124)
Detroit Red Wings -1 ½ (+220) +102 Under 5 ½ (-137)

 

Team Data New York Islanders Detroit Red Wings
Overall Record 5-10-3 12-9-3
Away/ Home Record 5-6-2 8-2-2
Goals Per Game 1.83 2.75
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 2.23 3.08
Save Percentage .910 .907
Save Percentage Away/ Home .912 .925

Betting Trends

New York Islanders

  • 0-1 in December
  • 2-3 in Saturday games
  • 2-5 after non-Conference game
  • 1-6 after scoring one goal or less in previous matchup

Detroit Red Wings

  • 1-0 in December
  • 4-3 in Saturday games
  • 4-1 when playing on two days rest
  • 5-4 after a non-Conference game
  • 5-3 after scoring four goals or more
  • 4-6 against team with losing record

These two teams have met up during the 2019-20 season. The Islanders and Red Wings met up three times throughout that season, with New York sweeping the season series. The Islanders outscored Detroit 16-4 in those games as well. The Red Wings have been much improved and will look to snap their losing streak on Saturday night.

Special Teams

The Islanders have struggled on the power play, but have a solid kill this season. New York has scored on 5 of their 49 power play chances, which is a 10.2 percent power play. The Islanders have given up 9 goals on their opponents 53 attempts, which is an 83 percent kill rate. New York is 32nd on the man advantage and 13th on the penalty kill.

Detroit has struggled on both sides of special teams this season. The Red Wings have capitalized on 10 of their 64 power play opportunities, which is a 15.6 percent success rate. Detroit has killed off 54 of their 70 penalties against, which is a 77.1 percent penalty kill. The Red Wings are 24th on the power play and 25th on the kill.

Neither team has gotten their power play going so far this season, but New York has the edge on the penalty kill. The Red Wings will look to shut down the Islanders power play in this one though to force this game to be decided in 5-on-5 play. If either team can net a power play goal, it could be enough for the win in this one.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Ilya Sorokin will get the start in the crease for New York in this one. Sorokin has earned a record of 5-6-3 throughout his 14 starts this season. He has posted a .929 save percentage and a GAA of 2.39 in those outings. Sorokin’s last start was against the San Jose Sharks, where he stopped 33 of 35 shots in the overtime loss.

Alex Nedeljkovic will likely get the nod in net for the Red Wings on Saturday night. Nedeljkovic has started in 13 games this season, going 7-3-3 in those matchups. He has put up a save percentage of .923 and a 2.58 GAA in his starts. Nedeljkovic finished with 41 saves on 42 shots in his last start against the Boston Bruins, which was enough for the win.

These two goalies have been really strong throughout this season and will look to keep it going in this one. Sorokin has had slightly better stats, despite his struggling record. Both goalies are coming off hot starts in their last outing and will look to build on it in this one. If either goalie can control the pace in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

The Islanders are entering play on Saturday on a nine game losing streak, but I think they can turn it around with a win against Detroit. The Red Wings have won four in a row and have been sneaking out of some close games. New York will look to come out faster in this one as they try to finally get some offense going to earn a much needed two points.

BetOnline has the Islanders listed as a -113 against the money line in this one. This implies that New York will win this game around 53.1 percent of the time. This line makes sense with the Islanders getting healthier and having a chance to end this losing streak. New York feels like they are due for a win in this one and I think they have great value for a win.

The Bet
New York Islanders
-113
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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