Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers NHL Pick – Game 1

The NHL is set up with a strong night of action as the playoffs start. Four games are up on the board throughout May 2. One of these games will be between the Los Angeles Kings and the Edmonton Oilers. These two teams were strong throughout the regular season and will look to start this series strong. This game will drop the puck at around 10:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN2.

Los Angeles earned a record of 44-27-11 throughout the regular season, which had them in third place of the Pacific division. The Kings lost their last game of the regular season, which ended a five game winning streak. Los Angeles has been up and down throughout this season, but will look to get hot early. The Kings will look for fast start on the road in this one.

The Oilers put up a record of 49-27-6 during the regular season, which had them grab the second seed in the Pacific division. Edmonton has won three games in a row and seven of their last eight. The Oilers were one of the best teams in the NHL after their coaching change midseason. Edmonton will look to come out fast in Game 1 as they try to set the tone.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Oilers have been the better team under Jay Woodcroft. Los Angeles has surprised a lot of people making the postseason and will look to continue to impress. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Los Angeles Kings +1 ½ (-140) +165 Over 6 (-125)
Edmonton Oilers -1 ½ (+120) -195 Under 6 (+105)

 

Team Data Los Angeles Kings Edmonton Oilers
Overall Record 44-27-11 49-27-6
Away/ Home Record 23-11-7 28-12-1
Goals Per Game 2.87 3.48
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 2.83 3.68
Save Percentage .901 .905
Save Percentage Away/ Home .900 .908

Betting Trends

Los Angeles Kings

  • 2-4 when playing on three or more days rest
  • 12-24 against divisional opponents
  • 13-12 after a divisional game
  • 16-15 revenging loss to an opponent
  • 17-26 against team with a winning record

Edmonton Oilers

  • 9-4 when playing on two days rest
  • 21-5 against divisional opponents
  • 18-7 after a divisional game
  • 12-8 after three or more straight wins
  • 23-19 against team with a winning record

These two teams met up four times throughout the regular season. Drew Doughty had a goal and an assist in the first game as Los Angeles won 5-1. Connor McDavid had three goals and three assists over the next three meetings. Edmonton won the next three games, with one winning coming in a shootout and the other two in regulation.

Special Teams

The Kings have struggled on special teams throughout the regular season. Los Angeles has scored on 40 of their 248 power play opportunities, which is a 16.1 percent power play. The Kings have given up 53 power play goals on 227 penalties against, which is a 76.7 percent kill rate. Los Angeles was 27th on the power play and 22nd on the kill.

Edmonton was strong on the power play during the regular season. The Oilers have capitalized on 61 of their 234 power play attempts, which is a 26.1 percent success rate. Edmonton has killed off 198 of their opponents 250 power play chances, which is 79.2 percent penalty kill. The Oilers were 3rd on the man advantage and 17th on the penalty kill.

The Oilers have been the better team on special teams in the regular season. Edmonton’s power play was dominant throughout the season and their penalty kill improved greatly late in the season. The Oilers will look to come out hot on the power play in this series. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Jonathan Quick will likely get the Game 1 start for Los Angeles on Monday night. Quick started in 46 games this season, going 23-13-9 in those matchups. He has posted a .910 save percentage and a GAA of 2.59 in those games. Quick finished with 37 saves on 40 shots in his last start against the Seattle Kraken, which was enough for the win.

I expect Mike Smith to get the nod between the pipes for the Oilers in Game 1. Smith earned a record of 16-9-2 throughout his 27 starts on the season. He has put up a save percentage of .915 and a 2.81 GAA in his starts. Smith’s last start was against the Pittsburgh Penguins. He stopped 33 of 34 shots in route to the win.

These two goalies were strong throughout this season and will look to get going early in this one. Quick has won six starts in a row entering this series. Smith has won nine starts in a row on the season. Edmonton will look for Smith to remain red hot in this series. If either goalie can come out hot, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong throughout this season and will look for a big win in this series. The Oilers have been the hotter team and I think they will come out fast in this one. Edmonton has had back to back disappointing first round exits, including a sweep to Winnipeg last season. The Oilers will look to prove they are legit with a big win at home with fans back in the building in the postseason.

Bovada has Edmonton listed as a -195 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Oilers will win this game around 66.1 percent of the time. I agree with this line, but I do not see a lot of value in it. Edmonton is also listed at -1 ½ for +120. I think that the Oilers will come out fast as they try to earn a statement win. If Edmonton can grab an early lead, I think they can cover the spread.

The Bet
Edmonton Oilers -1.5
+120
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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