Tampa Bay Lightning vs Montreal Canadiens NHL Pick – December 7

The NHL is set up with another great slate of action throughout December 7. Ten games are up on the board on Tuesday night. One of these matchups will be between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Montreal Canadiens. These two teams have had opposite starts to the season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Tampa Bay has earned a record of 15-5-4 to start out this season, which has them sitting in third place of the Atlantic division. The Lightning have won three games in a row and six of their last eight. Tampa Bay is three points out of the top spot in the division. The Lightning will look to move up in the standings with a big win in this one.

The Canadiens have put up a record of 6-17-3 to open up the season, which has them in seventh place of the Atlantic division. Montreal has lost three games in a row and nine of their last eleven. The Canadiens will look to get back on track with a big win in this one. Montreal will look to earn a much needed win on Tuesday night.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings to start the season. Both teams met up in the Stanley Cup Final last season and will look for a win in this matchup. The Lightning have been on a roll recently, while Montreal has struggled to get going. If either team can come out hot in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Tampa Bay Lightning -1 ½ (+140) -180 Over 5 ½ (-108)
Montreal Canadiens +1 ½ (-160) +162 Under 5 ½ (-102)


Team Data Tampa Bay Lightning Montreal Canadiens
Overall Record 15-5-4 6-17-3
Away/ Home Record 7-2-2 4-8-1
Goals Per Game 3.29 2.27
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 3.55 2.23
Save Percentage .913 .894
Save Percentage Away/ Home .912 .890

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 3-0 in December
  • 2-4 on Tuesday nights
  • 4-3 against division opponents
  • 5-2 after a win by two or more goals
  • 7-2 after scoring four or more goals
  • 5-2 against team with losing record

Montreal Canadiens

  • 0-2 in December
  • 1-4 on Tuesday nights
  • 0-4 when playing with two days rest
  • 2-5 against division opponents
  • 3-8 after non-Conference game
  • 5-8 after allowing four goals or more
  • 3-7 against team with winning record

These two teams met up in a five game series throughout the Stanley Cup Final. Tampa Bay went up 3-0 in the series with some dominant performances. The Canadiens were able to earn a win in Game 4 of the series to stay alive. Tampa Bay won 1-0 in Game 5 to clinch their second straight Stanley Cup. Montreal will look for some revenge in this matchup.

Special Teams

The Lightning have been solid on special teams early in the season. Tampa Bay has scored on 14 of their 70 power play chances, which is a 20 percent success rate. The Lightning have killed off 61 of their opponents 73 power play attempts, which is an 83.6 percent penalty kill. Tampa Bay is 14th on the power play and 11th on the kill this season.

Montreal has struggled on both sides of special teams so far this season. The Canadiens have capitalized on 11 of their 81 power play opportunities, which is a 13.6 percent power play. Montreal has given up 23 power play goals on 80 penalties against, which is a 71.3 percent kill rate. The Canadiens are 29th with the man advantage and 30th on the penalty kill.

Tampa Bay has the edge on special teams entering this matchup. The Lightning have a much better power play and penalty kill. The Canadiens will look to step up early in this matchup as they try to keep pace on Tuesday night. If either team can grab a power play goal or two in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Andrei Vasilevskiy will likely get the start in the crease for Tampa Bay in this one. Vasilevskiy has earned a record of 12-4-3 throughout his 19 starts on the season. He has posted a .927 save percentage and a GAA of 2.13. Vasilevskiy’s last start was against the Boston Bruins. He finished with 37 saves on 39 shots in route to the win.

I expect Jake Allen to get the nod in net for the Canadiens on Tuesday night. Allen has started in 19 games this season, going 5-11-2 in those matchups. He has put up a save percentage of .907 and a 3.01 GAA in those games. Allen finished with 40 saves in 44 shots against the Nashville Predators in his last start, which ended in an overtime loss.

These two goalies have been solid early in the season. Vasilevskiy has won his last two games and four of his last five starts. Allen has lost three games in a row and will look to turn it around with a win in this matchup. Allen has a save percentage of .924 throughout those three starts. If either goalie can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These teams will look for a big win as they meet up in the Stanley Cup rematch. Montreal has not been able to get going in this one, but I think they will grab a big win as they look for revenge. The Lightning have been the better overall team in this one, but if Montreal can come out quick defensively, they could grab the win at home.

BetOnline has Tampa Bay listed as a -180 against the money line. This implies that the Lightning will win this game around 64.3 percent of the time. This seems a bit high with Tampa Bay on the road and it being a rematch of the Stanley Cup Final. Montreal has struggled early in the season, but I think they can get it going on Tuesday night.

The Bet
Montreal Canadiens
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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