Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames NHL Pick – March 10

The NHL is set up with another great slate of hockey throughout March 10. Thirteen games are up on the board throughout Thursday night. One of these games will be between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Calgary Flames. These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 9:00 PM Eastern time.

Tampa Bay has earned a record of 37-13-6 throughout this season, which has them in second place of the Atlantic division. The Lightning are coming off a loss in their last game, but have won seven of their last nine. Tampa Bay is three points out of the top spot with a game in hand. The Lightning will look for a big win on the road in this one.

The Flames have put up a record of 34-15-7 so far this season, which has them in first place of the Pacific division. Calgary is coming off a loss in their last game, but have won eleven of their last fourteen. The Flames have a four point lead on the top spot in the division. Calgary will look for a big two points to extend that lead at home.

These two teams have been strong throughout this season and are looking playoff bound as we come down the stretch. Both teams are coming off a loss in their last game and will look to bounce back in this one. The Lightning have been a bit better on the season. If either team can come out quickly though, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Tampa Bay Lightning -1 ½ (+200) -106 Over 6 (-103)
Calgary Flames +1 ½ (-240) -104 Under 6 (-107)

 

Team Data Tampa Bay Lightning Calgary Flames
Overall Record 37-13-6 34-15-7
Away/ Home Record 18-8-2 16-5-5
Goals Per Game 3.46 3.48
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 3.79 3.62
Save Percentage .904 .915
Save Percentage Away/ Home .894 .915

Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 3-2 in March
  • 15-7 after a non-Conference game
  • 16-7 in non-Conference games
  • 11-7 after allowing four goals or more
  • 8-3 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 16-8 after scoring four goals or more
  • 16-12 against team with a winning record

Calgary Flames

  • 3-2 in March
  • 17-10 after a non-Conference game
  • 17-11 in non-Conference games
  • 9-7 after allowing four goals or more
  • 19-9 after scoring four goals or more
  • 17-12 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up once this season on January 6 in Tampa Bay. Dillon Dube scored for the Flames, but it was not enough. Nikita Kucherov and Ryan McDonagh both had two assists, while Alex Killorn, Ondrej Palat, Corey Perry and Brayden Point all scored. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 27 shots as the Lightning earned a 4-1 win at home.

Special Teams

The Lightning have been solid on special teams this season. Tampa Bay has scored on 36 of their 173 power play chances, which is a 20.8 percent success rate. The Lightning have killed off 129 of their opponents 162 power play attempts, which is a 79.6 percent penalty kill. Tampa Bay is 16th on the power play and 14th on the kill this season.

Calgary has been strong on special teams so far this season. The Flames have capitalized on 37 of their 161 power play opportunities, which is a 23 percent power play. Calgary has given up 25 power play goals on 167 penalties against, which is an 85 percent kill rate. The Flames are 11th on the man advantage and 3rd on the penalty kill.

These two teams have been solid on special teams on the season. The Flames have a slight edge on both sides of special teams. Tampa Bay will look of their special teams to step up in this one on the road. The Flames will look to continue to be strong quickly. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Andrei Vasilevskiy will likely get the start in the crease for Tampa Bay in this one. Vasilevskiy has started in 44 games this season, going 30-10-4 in those matchups. He has posted a .918 save percentage and a GAA of 2.39 in those outings. Vasilevskiy finished with 26 saves on 31 shots in his last start against the Winnipeg Jets, which was not enough for the win.

I expect Jacob Markstrom to get the nod between the pipes for the Lightning on Thursday. Markstrom has earned a record of 26-11-6 in his 44 starts. He has put up a save percentage of .926 and a 2.14 GAA in his games played. Markstrom’s last start was against the Edmonton Oilers. He stopped 27 of 28 shots in route to the win.

These two goalies have been strong throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Vasilevskiy is coming off a rough start and has lost two of his last three. He will look to bounce back in this one. Markstrom will look to build off his last win. If either goalie can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Lightning are coming off a tough loss in their last start and will look to avoid a loss in this one. The Flames are coming off a loss as well and will look to bounce back at home. If the Lightning can come out quick though, I think they can hand Calgary back to back losses.

BetOnline has Tampa Bay listed as a -106 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Lightning will win this game around 51.5 percent of the time. I think that this line could be a bit bigger in favor of Tampa Bay. The Lightning have been the better team throughout this season and I expect them to come out fast on the road. As slight favorites, I like the value on Tampa Bay.

The Bet
Tampa Bay Lightning
-106
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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