Lightning vs. Flyers Pick – NHL December 16th

The New York Islanders ousted the Devils in a shootout to capture a 3-2 win to put them at 21-10 for the season. The troubles in New Jersey escalated even further with this loss, in a game that they very well could have won. I took the Isles -1.5 but I said if you felt more comfortable on the ML then to play that. If you had the ML congrats to you, but if you’re like me it is a frustrating loss. I was on a 8-1-1 run just a week ago, but regression has caught up to me lately. Like the New Jersey Devils I have been on a skid and need to break out of it quickly. A quick note before I get to my pick for tonight, I will have selective college football bowl picks on the blog here throughout bowl season. My first pick will be available on Saturday. I have turned in a profit in college football this season, and I look to continue on that path as we wind down the end of college football leading up to the first ever final 4 playoff. An exciting month of football awaits us soon.

Now on to tonight, where it will sure feel good to pick up a winning pick. We will examine the Tampa Bay Lightning and Philadelphia Flyers for our pick tonight. I don’t recall doing a Flyers game yet this season, so I am going in that direction tonight. The Flyers have been quite the disappointment the past few seasons. Expectations were there, but they haven’t succeeded in a while. The Flyers do have a good fan base and the team has a good history, so it has been sad for their supporters. They are just under.500 with a record of 11-13-1-4. With that said the Flyers aren’t completely out of the picture and with a good 2nd half of the season could squeeze into a playoff position. The Flyers have been playing good hockey at home, though, coming into tonight with a mark of 8-4-0-2. The Lightning fell to the Pittsburgh Penguins last night, 4-2, and will look to rebound tonight against a team that shouldn’t pose as much of a problem as the Pens did. We shall see.

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Philadelphia Flyers

A win against the Lightning tonight would go a long way for the Flyers. If they can build off that momentum is their choice, but a win like this should do great things for their confidence. If they are going to beat a team like the Lightning it would be at home catching them on a back-to-back against a tough team the previous night. After only scoring 2 goals last night, I think the Lightning offense is going to have different plans. Tampa Bay is 2nd in the NHL in scoring, accumulating 3.35 goals per game, just a shade behind the Maple Leafs who are at 3.37. Actually, the offense has been a little bit of a rut lately for their standards, they’ve only scored 2 goals in each of their last three games. Not awful, but not on their level. I believe they’ll break thru for a big night, which could come tonight against the Flyers.

The Flyers enter with the 23rd best defense in the NHL, allowing 2.83 goals a game. In their last ten games they have allowed 2.8 goals. But they aren’t very consistent. One game they will let in 1 but then they’ll go and get torched for 5 in the next game. Against a Lightning offense that has been held quiet lately, it might be closer to 5 allowed, because you rarely see them go four straight games without at least 4 goals scored in a game. The only thing keeping me off the Lightning is the fact that the Flyers are at home and the Lightning are on a back-to-back. I’ll look to go with the total, then, and see if we can get some goals come our way. This is a series that has notoriously flown over the number time and time again. Note that the OVER is 7-1-2 their last ten meetings. We’ll take it for Tuesday night.

Pick – OVER 5.5 GOALS (-115) @ (Best Odds)

Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.