Lightning vs. Senators NHL Pick – November 4th

It was an ugly game put on display by the Ottawa Senators, as they got smacked 9-2 by the Buffalo Sabres. After defeating the Sabres in the first leg of a home-and-home, the Senators didn’t bother to show up in Buffalo. In what they likely anticipated to be easier than it was, the Sabres took advantage of it and blasted them into the ground. It won’t get any easier for them as they have to take on the Tampa Bay Lightning today.

All things considered, it’s been an okay start for the Senators who aren’t expected to amount too much. Their record of 5-6-2 isn’t going to get anyone excited, but for a team expected to be playing in the basement throughout the year, it’s been okay thus far. There is still a whole season left for them to fall into a hole, so that okay start may turn into not so okay.

The Lightning were in Montreal last night, so this is a short trip for them to Ottawa. There is only a 2-hour drive that separates Montreal and Ottawa, Montreal in Quebec and Ottawa in Ontario. Andrei Vasilevskiy allowed a quick goal to Max Domi right out of the gate, but that was all the offence of the night for the Canadiens. The Lightning responded with 4 straight goals to take a 4-1 win on Saturday evening. We’ll see if they have any kind of letdown in Ottawa after an easy win in Montreal. It can’t get any worse for the Senators, so they have that to tell themselves. Get our free Lightning vs. Senators pick below.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Ottawa Senators Pick

The Lightning will probably give Vasilevskiy the night off after a nice showing last night. His only problem was the opening goal by Domi, but settled down from there and stopped 34 shots from the Canadiens. Louis Domingue will step in the crease in the absence of Vasilevskiy. That is a significant step in the opposite direction. Domingue showed a glimmer of promise with the Coyotes in his rookie season, but he’s gotten rocked since.

Domingue posted a 3.08 GAA in 2016-17, and then fell off completely with a 4.33 GAA the following season. He was mauled by his former team for 7 goals on October 27th and he hasn’t seen the pipes since then. Domingue enters Sunday with a 4.00 GAA and shaky 0.887 save percentage.

To make matters worse for Domingue, he got shredded in three games against the Senators. He owns a 5.37 GAA and 0.862 save percentage against the Sens in his career. On the other side, the Senators will go with their starter Craig Anderson after he got the day off yesterday.

Actually, that would have been true if his backup, Mike McKenna, could have stopped a beachball. McKenna got wrecked with 6 goals allowed on 31 shots, and then Anderson went in to allow 3 goals on just 10 shots. As a team, they’ve allowed a league high 4.23 goals per game.

Not good news against a Tampa team lightning the lamp at a clip of 3.46 goals per game. Any relief from the scoring barrage might have to wait for the Senators. With Domingue likely on the other end of the rink, it’s tough for me to lay this price, though. I would consider the OVER on the total in Ottawa. If they do in fact give Vasilevskiy a back-to-back on the road, I’d go lighter with the bet size.

The Bet
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.