Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars NHL Pick – March 23

The NHL is set up with a solid night of action on Tuesday. Five games are up on the board throughout March 23. One of these games will be between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Dallas Stars. These two teams are on opposite sides of the division, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 8:30 PM Eastern time on ESPN+.

Tampa Bay has started out this season with a record of 23-6-2, which has them sitting in the top spot of the Central Division. The Lightning have won four games in a row entering this one. Tampa Bay will look to keep this going in this one. The Lightning have been strong throughout this season and they will look to stretch their lead in the division with a win in this one.

The Stars have put up a record of 10-10-8 to this point in the season, which has them in seventh place of the Central Division. Dallas is only five points out of the fourth seed in the Central and will look to climb the standings. The Stars are coming off a loss in their last game and have lost three of their last four. Dallas will look to get going again in this one with a much needed win.

These two teams have been strong throughout this season, but the Lightning have been much better throughout this season. Tampa Bay will look to keep it going in this one as they try to knock off the Stars once again. Dallas has not been able to get going throughout this season, but they will look to bounce back in this one. I expect a tight matchup between these two teams.

Previous Matchups

The Lightning and the Stars have met up three times throughout this season so far. Tampa Bay hosted the first game on February 27. Anthony Cirelli and Steven Stamkos each scored a goal and added an assist on the night. Tyler Johnson and Mikhail Sergachev each had two assists in this one. Andrei Vasilevskiy finished with a 20 shot shutout as the Lightning earned a 5-0 win.

Dallas hosted the second game of the season series on March 2. Anton Khudobin stopped 17 of 18 shots on the night, but the Stars still came up short. Ondrej Palat and Yanni Gourde each had a goal on the night. Andrei Vasilevskiy once again stopped all 28 shots he faced to help Tampa Bay earn a 2-0 win on the road.

The third game of the season series stayed in Dallas on March 16. Jamie Benn and Miro Heiskanen each had a goal and an assist as the Stars forced a shootout. Brayden Point had a goal and an assist in this one. Ross Colton and Brayden Point scored in the shootout as the Lightning were able to hold on for a 4-3 win in this one.

These two teams have met up three times throughout this season, but it has been Tampa Bay who has been dominant throughout those games. The Lightning were able to win two of the games with shutouts, but the third game was much closer. The Stars will look to play a more complete game again as they try to get some revenge against the team that beat them in the Stanley Cup Final last season.

Special Teams

Tampa Bay has been strong on both sides of special teams throughout this season. The Lightning have scored on 30 of their 105 power play chances, which is a 28.6 percent power play. Tampa Bay has killed off 90 of their opponents 108 power play attempts, which is an 83.3 percent kill rate. The Lightning will look to keep up their special teams success in this one.

The Stars have been strong on the power play so far this season. Dallas has capitalized on 22 of their 94 power play opportunities, which is a 23.4 percent success rate. The Stars have struggled a bit on the penalty kill through this season. Dallas has given up 20 goals on their 89 penalties against, which is a 77.5 percent penalty kill.

These two teams have been strong on the power play throughout this season, but the Lightning have the edge on special teams. Tampa Bay has the better power play and penalty kill in this one. The Stars will need to step up on the kill in this one if they want to earn the win in this one. The Lightning will look to take over with the man advantage to put away Dallas early.

Goaltending Comparison

Andrei Vasilevskiy will likely get the start in the crease for the Lightning in this one. Vasilevskiy has started in 24 games this season, going 20-3-1 throughout those games. He has put up a save percentage of .933 and a 1.86 GAA. Vasilevskiy’s last start was against the Chicago Blackhawks, where he stopped 30 of 31 shots for the win.

I expect Anton Khudobin to get the nod between the pipes for Dallas on Tuesday night. Khudobin has earned a record of 6-8-2 throughout his 16 starts this season. He has posted a .909 save percentage and a GAA of 2.48. Khudobin finished with 19 saves on 23 shots in the Stars shootout loss to the Nashville Predators on Sunday night.

These two goalies have been solid throughout this season, but Vasilevskiy gives Tampa Bay the edge. Vasilevskiy has been playing extremely well this season, winning his last eleven starts. The Stars will need Khudobin to get going in this one if they want to bounce back with a win. I expect a good matchup as these two teams go head to head.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been on different sides of the standings throughout this season series, but I expect a good game on Tuesday night. The Stars have struggled against Tampa Bay this season series, but I think they can grab a big win in this one. Dallas will need Khudobin and the penalty kill to step up to win this one. I expect a great one on Tuesday night between these two teams.

BetOnline has the Lightning listed as a -169 against the money line in this one. This implies that Tampa Bay will win this game around 62.8 percent of the time. I think that the Lightning deserves this line, but I think the Stars have a good chance to knock them off in this one. Dallas will look to play with some intensity as they want to knock off the Lightning.

The Bet
Dallas Stars
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.