Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers NHL Pick – April 23

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey action on April 23. Twelve games will be up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Florida Panthers. These two teams have been strong this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Toronto has earned a record of 51-21-6 throughout this season, which has them in second place of the Atlantic division. The Maple Leafs are coming off a loss in their last game, which ended a four game winning streak. Toronto has a six point lead on the third seeded Lightning and will look to extend it. The Maple Leafs will look for a fast start on the road in this one.

The Panthers have put up a record of 56-15-6 this season, which has them in first place of the Atlantic division. Florida has locked up the top seed in the Eastern Conference, but will still look to finish the season strong. The Panthers have won twelve games in a row entering this one. Florida will look to remain red hot with a win at home on Saturday.

These two teams have been strong throughout this season and will look to remain hot on Saturday. The Maple Leafs are still looking to lock up home ice in the first round in this one, while Florida is all locked up in the Eastern Conference. If either team can come out quickly in this one though, it could be enough to lead them to the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Toronto Maple Leafs +135 Over 7 (-115)
Florida Panthers -160 Under 7 (-105)

 

Team Data Toronto Maple Leafs Florida Panthers
Overall Record 51-21-6 56-15-6
Away/ Home Record 22-13-4 33-6-0
Goals Per Game 3.83 4.18
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 3.95 4.72
Save Percentage .898 .907
Save Percentage Away/ Home .887 .912

Betting Trends

Toronto Maple Leafs

  • 9-3 in April
  • 13-9 on Saturday’s
  • 14-9 against divisional opponents
  • 16-7 after a divisional game
  • 23-11 after allowing four or more goals
  • 11-6 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 4-3 after scoring one goal or less
  • 27-12 against team with a winning record

Florida Panthers

  • 10-0 in April
  • 13-4 on Saturday’s
  • 17-4 against divisional opponents
  • 17-3 after a divisional game
  • 27-7 after a win by two goals or more
  • 38-9 after scoring four goals or more
  • 20-9 after three or more straight wins
  • 22-20 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up twice this season. Toronto hosted the first game on March 27. Mitch Marner had three assists and John Tavares scored twice as the Maple Leafs won 5-2. The second game was in Florida on April 5. Jonathan Huberdeau had two goals and three assists, while Aleksander Barkov had a goal and three assists. The Panthers erased a 4-0 deficit to earn a 7-6 overtime win.

Special Teams

The Maple Leafs have been strong on both sides of special teams this season. Toronto has scored on 61 of their 222 power play opportunities, which is a 27.5 percent success rate. The Maple Leafs have given up 41 power play goals on 226 penalties against, which is an 81.9 percent penalty kill. Toronto is 1st on the power play and 7th on the kill this season.

Florida has been solid on the power play this season. The Panthers have capitalized on 60 of their 248 power play attempts, which is a 24.2 percent power play. Florida has killed off 193 of their opponents 242 power play chances, which is a 79.8 percent kill rate. The Panthers are 6th on the man advantage and 15th on the penalty kill.

Toronto has the edge on special teams entering this one. The Maple Leafs have put up the better power play and penalty kill numbers on the season. Florida’s power play has also been dangerous though and will look to remain hot in this one. If either team can get a power play goal or two, it could be enough to lift them to the win.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Jack Campbell to get the start in the crease for Toronto in this one. Campbell has started in 45 games this season, going 30-9-5 in those matchups. He has posted a .913 save percentage and a GAA of 2.69 in those outings. Campbell finished with 37 saves on 39 shots in his last start against the Philadelphia Flyers, which was enough for the win.

Sergei Bobrovsky will likely get the nod between the pipes for the Panthers on Saturday night. Bobrovsky has earned a record of 38-6-3 throughout his 51 starts on the season. He has put up a save percentage of .913 and a 2.64 GAA in those outings. Bobrovsky’s last start was against the Detroit Red Wings. He stopped 28 of 30 shots in the winning effort.

These two goalies have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Campbell has won four starts in a row and seven of his last eight. Bobrovsky has won twelve starts in a row and will look to remain hot. If either goalie can set the tone early in this one, it could be enough to lead their team to the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong throughout this season and will look for a big win on Saturday. Florida has locked up the top seed and I think it will allow them to take their foot off the gas a bit entering this matchup. The Maple Leafs are still fighting for the second seed and will look to come out fast. If Toronto can grab an early lead in this one, I like their chances to earn the win.

Bovada has Florida listed as a -160 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Panthers will win this game around 61.5 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with how these two have played. Toronto is coming off an 8-1 loss and will look for a fast start. I also think Florida is due for a loss. As big underdogs in this one, I like the value on the Maple Leafs.

The Bet
Toronto Maple Leafs
+135
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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