Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames NHL Pick – Game 1

The NHL is set up with a great second round of playoff action Two series will open up on Wednesday night. One of these games will be between the Edmonton Oilers and the Calgary Flames. These two teams will meet in the Battle of Alberta in the playoffs for the first time since 1991. This game will drop the puck at around 9:30 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

Edmonton has earned a record of 4-3 throughout this postseason as the second seed in the Pacific division. The Oilers fell down 3-2 in their series against the Los Angeles Kings, but came back to move to the second round. Edmonton picked up their play a lot in that series and will look to build on it. The Oilers will look for a fast start on the road in this one.

The Flames have put up a record of 4-3 as well in the playoffs as the top seed in the Pacific division. Calgary knocked off the Dallas Stars in a tough seven game series. The Flames played strong in that series, but had difficulty beating Jake Oettinger. Calgary will look to step up once again early in this series as they try to set the tone at home.

These two teams have been strong in the postseason and will look for a big win as they meet up in Game 1. The Oilers are coming off back to back wins and an extra day off. Calgary is coming off a big overtime win though and will look to step up early. If either team can come out hot in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Edmonton Oilers +1 ½ (-180) +135 Over 6 (-120)
Calgary Flames -1 ½ (+155) -160 Under 6 (+100)
Team Data Edmonton Oilers Calgary Flames
Playoff Record 4-3 4-3
Playoff Away/ Home Record 2-2 3-1
Playoff GF/GP 3.86 2.14
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 4.00 1.75
Playoff SV% .935 .928
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .935 .943

Betting Trends

Edmonton Oilers

  • 2-6 when playing on three or more days rest
  • 25-8 against divisional opponents
  • 4-1 after shutting out their opponent
  • 22-13 after a win by two or more goals
  • 27-22 against team with a winning record

Calgary Flames

  • 38-22 second half of the season
  • 11-5 when playing on two days rest
  • 16-10 against divisional opponents
  • 26-22 against team with a winning record

These two teams met up four times in the regular season. Connor McDavid scored three goals in the first game as Edmonton won 5-2. Leon Draisaitl had two goals and two assists in the second matchup as the Oilers earned a 5-3 win. Tyler Toffoli scored twice in the third meeting to lead Calgary to a 3-1 win. Johnny Gaudreau had five assists in the fourth and final game as the Flames won 9-5.

Special Teams

The Oilers were strong on special teams throughout the first round. Edmonton scored on 7 of their 19 power play chances, which is a 36.8 percent success rate. The Oilers killed off 21 of their opponents 24 power play attempts, which is an 87.5 percent penalty kill. Edmonton is 2nd on the power play and kill in the remaining field of 8.

Calgary was strong on the penalty kill in the first round. The Flames capitalized on 2 of their 24 power play opportunities, which is an 8.3 percent power play. Calgary also gave up 2 power play goals on 24 penalties against, which was a 91.7 percent kill rate. The Flames are 7th on the man advantage and 1st on the penalty kill in the remaining field of playoff teams.

Edmonton was the better overall team on special teams in the first round. The Oilers were strong on the power play and penalty kill and will look to remain hot in this series. The Flames will look for their own power play to step up in this series. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Mike Smith will get the start in the crease for Edmonton in this one. Smith has earned a record of 4-3 throughout all seven playoff games. He has posted a .938 save percentage and a GAA of 2.29 with two shutouts. Smith stopped all 29 shots against him in Game 7 against the Kings to help the Oilers advance to the second round.

Jacob Markstrom will get the nod between the pipes for the Flames on Wednesday night. Markstrom has started in all seven games as well, going 4-3. He put up a save percentage of .943 and a 1.53 GAA in those outings. Markstrom finished with 26 saves on 28 shots in Game 7 as Calgary earned a win in overtime.

These two goalies were strong throughout the first round and will look to keep it going. Markstrom was tested much less in the first round as the Flames outshot Dallas in all but one game. Smith had to be on his toes as the Kings took a shot any chance they could. If either goalie can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams will open up their series on Wednesday night and it should be a good one. The Flames earned the win in the last two games of the season series, but I think Edmonton will bounce back to open up this series. The Oilers have the better special teams and improved a lot in Game’s 6 and 7. If Edmonton can grab an early lead, I like their chances to win on the road.

Bovada has Calgary listed as a -160 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Flames will win this game around 61.5 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even as both teams are coming off tight seven game series. Edmonton has what it takes to keep pace with this Calgary team. As underdogs, I like the value on the Oilers.

The Bet
Edmonton Oilers
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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