Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames NHL Pick – Game 2

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey throughout Friday night. Two games will be up on the board throughout May 20. One of these games will be between the Edmonton Oilers and the Calgary Flames. These two teams have been strong in the postseason and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 10:30 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

Edmonton has earned a record of 4-4 throughout the postseason after earning the second seed in the Pacific division. The Oilers are coming off a disappointing performance in Game 1 of this series and will look to bounce back in this one. Edmonton finished the first round strong, winning two in a row to erase a 3-2 deficit. The Oilers will look to get some of that momentum back in this one.

The Flames have put up a record of 5-3 so far these playoffs, which has them in the top spot of the Pacific division. Calgary is coming off a win in Game 1 of this series, but still have things to tighten up on. The Flames have won their last two and will look to keep it going. I expect Calgary to come out fast as they look to take a 2-0 lead before going on the road.

These two teams have been strong throughout the postseason and will look for a big win in Game 1. The Oilers are coming off a tough loss to open up this series, but Calgary did not have a great game in that one either. Both teams will look for their defenses to tighten up in Game 2. If either team can come out strong, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Edmonton Oilers +1 ½ (-160) +150 Under 6 ½ (-120)
Calgary Flames -1 ½ (+135) -175 Under 6 ½ (+100)
Team Data Edmonton Oilers Calgary Flames
Playoff Record 4-4 5-3
Playoff Away/ Home Record 2-2 4-1
Playoff GF/GP 4.13 3.00
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 4.50 3.20
Playoff SV% .916 .910
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .901 .905

Betting Trends

Edmonton Oilers

  • 7-3 on Friday nights
  • 25-9 against divisional opponents
  • 22-11 after a divisional game
  • 2-0 when trailing in a series
  • 18-15 after allowing four or more goals
  • 13-11 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 27-17 after scoring four goals or more
  • 27-23 against team with a winning record

Calgary Flames

  • 2-5 on Friday nights
  • 17-10 against divisional opponents
  • 16-10 after a divisional game
  • 0-2 when leading in a series
  • 15-9 after allowing four goals or more
  • 25-17 after a win by two or more goals
  • 30-15 after scoring four or more goals
  • 27-22 against team with a winning record

These two teams met up in a crazy Game 1 on May 18. Connor McDavid had a goal and three assists, while Leon Draisaitl had a goal and two assists. It was not enough for the Oilers through. Matthew Tkachuk had three goals. Rasmus Andersson and Andrew Mangiapane both had a goal and two assists as Calgary earned a 9-6 win.

Special Teams

The Oilers have been solid on special teams throughout these playoffs. Edmonton has scored on 7 of their 23 power play chances, which is a 30.4 percent success rate. The Oilers have killed off 23 of their opponents 27 power play attempts, which is an 85.2 percent penalty kill. Edmonton is 2nd on the power play and 3rd on the kill in the remaining field of 8.

Calgary has had a great penalty kill in the postseason. The Flames have capitalized on 3 of their 27 power play opportunities, which is an 11.1 percent power play. Calgary has given up 2 power play goals on 28 penalties against, which is a 92.9 percent kill rate. The Flames are 7th on the man advantage and 1st on the penalty kill in the playoffs.

Edmonton has had the more rounded special teams in the postseason, but the Flames have been dominant on the penalty kill. The Oilers will look to find a way to break through on Calgary’s kill in Game 2 as they try to gain an edge. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Mike Smith will likely get the start again for Edmonton in Game 2 of this series. Smith has started in all eight games this postseason, going 4-3 with a no decision in Game 1 on Wednesday. He has posted a .930 save percentage and a GAA of 2.68 in those games. Smith struggled early in Game 1, stopping 7 of 10 shots before getting pulled in the first period.

Jacob Markstrom will get the nod between the pipes for the Flames on Friday night. Markstrom has earned a record of 5-3 throughout the playoffs. He has put up a save percentage of .923 and a 2.08 GAA in his outings. Markstrom stopped 22 of 28 shots in Game 1, which was not great, but it was enough to help Calgary earn the win.

These two goalies are coming off rough performances in Game 1 of this series and will look to bounce back on Friday night. Both goalies have been strong throughout this postseason and will look to tighten up in Game 2. Smith has been a bit better and Edmonton has had Markstrom’s number in the past. If the Oilers can grab the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams are coming off a high scoring affair in Game 1, but I expect scoring to slow down tremendously in this one. Both coaches are not happy with their teams defensive performance and I expect them to put an emphasis on it in Game 2. I expect another tight matchup, but this time by a much loser score.

Bovada has the over/ under line set at 6 ½ with the over being listed at -120. This implies that we will have another high scoring affair in Game 2. I think that this line is an overreaction to Game 1’s score. Both teams cannot maintain this high scoring of a series. At +100 odds, I think there is great value on the scoring to come back down to earth and the under to hit.

The Bet
Under 6.5
+100
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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