Oilers vs. Flames NHL Pick – February 1, 2020

The Edmonton Oilers will make their fourth attempt to beat the Calgary Flames on Saturday night after three defeats. The Oilers were losers by scores of 4-3 in two meetings in January, along with a 5-1 loss in late December. Edmonton hasn’t beaten Calgary since a 3-1 win last April. It’s been all Flames for the most part, though, with wins in seven of their last ten meetings.

The Oilers must ignore the past and focus on what is ahead of them now and in the future. And what’s going on now is a heated race in the Pacific Division. There are only 4 points between four teams, with the Oilers and Flames both tied at 60 points apiece. They are both trying to catch the Canucks, who are currently leading the Pacific with 62 points.

No one knows where this division is going to go. It’s the closest in the league, and I think the Canucks, Oilers, Flames, and Golden Knights all have an equal chance of winning the Pacific and going to the playoffs. This hasn’t been the best division by far, but it should provide a thrilling conclusion in the regular season nonetheless.

For instance, all 60 points would get the Oilers and Flames in the Atlantic and Metropolitan is 5th and 6th place. They luck out getting to play in a division where no one has been able to take the initiative to go on a huge run. That may still happen, but this division has been tight throughout the year with little movement.

If you look at the Oilers’ roster, then yes, it’s within reason that the Oilers should be in the playoffs. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl on the same team alone should be enough to make the Oilers an automatic playoff club. That clearly isn’t the case, though, and the Oilers have some work to do down the stretch. Despite having the No. 1 and 2 point producers in the NHL, there are no guarantees for the Oilers.

The Flames certainly have a playoff worthy roster as well. This a team that still has their core intact from a 50-25-17 season a year ago. They ultimately won the Pacific Division with that and led the Western Conference. Their efforts didn’t land them a spot in the Stanley Cup Final, though. Meanwhile, in the Eastern Conference the top team there didn’t even win a game in the playoffs, as they got bounced in four games against the Blue Jackets. Head below for our free Oilers vs. Flames pick.

Edmonton Oilers vs. Calgary Flames Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Oilers +1.5 (-105)
  • Flames -1.5 (-115)
Moneyline:

  • Oilers (+135)
  • Flames (-155)
Total Points:

  • Over 6 (-120)
  • Under 6 (+100)

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Oilers vs. Flames Prediction:

The Oilers were victorious last night against the St. Louis Blues, as they were sharp in a 4-2 win. That’s the kind of win for the Oilers that could be a momentum builder. But all of that momentum could be lost if they go out to the Saddledome with no energy. Mikko Koskinen was on point between the pipes, as he stopped 30 of 32 shots sent in his direction.

Leon Draisaitl was the big winner of the night, with a productive night at the office to lead the team in scoring with two goals against Jake Allen. It was a nice response by the Oilers after falling against the Flames on Wednesday by a score of 4-3 in a shootout. The tough losses against the Flames keep piling up, but we’ll see if something gives in Calgary tonight.

Edmonton has been adequate on the road this season, posting a record of 14-10-2 as opposed to 13-8-4 at home. So, they’ve been consistent in that regard across the board. The Oilers have registered an average of 3.14 goals per game on the season for 12th in the league. Defensively there have been some breakdowns, having allowed 3.08 goals a game on the season.

However, we have noticed a better effort on the blueline when they’re not playing in Edmonton. Note that the Oilers have yielded 2.69 goals per game as visitors, so that’s a fairly decent increase in production. If the offence continues to score like they have been recently, then Mike Smith should expect plenty of goal support. The Oilers have netted 4.4 goals per game over the course of the last ten games. They’ve scored at least 3 goals in eight out of those ten games and at least 4 goals in seven of ten.

Their defence has been playing relatively well too, with 2.9 goals against in the last ten outings. The Oilers might be on a back-to-back, but it’s actually helped them this season. They’ve yet to lose a game after playing the day before. Edmonton are a perfect 4-0-0 in that regard and can get to 5-0-0 with a win in Calgary on Saturday night. While the Flames have had success against the Oilers this season, the price on this game looks awfully inflated. I would go with the better value on the underdog and the Oilers in this one. They certainly have a better shot of winning here than the odds suggest.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.