The Senators and Stars got into a shootout the other night, as predicted, and we hit another relatively easy winner. The Stars ending up coming back from a deficit early to win the game 5-4 over Ottawa. I didn’t get to re-cap our pick from the previous night, and in that one between the Lightning and Flyers the total flew OVER the total with a final score of 7-3 Flyers. The 5-4 Stars victory didn’t surprise me one bit, but certainly a 7-3 Flyers win is something that caught my attention. The Flyers have been in fluctuation all season long with little to no consistency on their part. We’ll see if that does anything towards their confidence levels moving forward. They have a lot of work to be done if they want to make the playoffs this season, but crazier things have happened, it is still early. The Lightning have been suffering a bit lately with a couple of losses in a row to the Flyers and Bruins. Nothing for a cause of concern in Tampa Bay, however.
Now a loss tonight against the Oilers might be unsettling. But I think this is a good team to be welcoming to your own town after you’ve dropped two losses in a row against much better teams. Usually you may think that the Lightning would take a team like the Oilers lightly in this spot, but after dropping two in a row on the road, I see the Lightning being focused for this game. Despite the two losses the Lightning have a great record of 27-14-0-4 and are still winners of 7 of their last 10 games. Note that the Lightning haven’t lost three straight games this season. Do we believe that the Oilers are going to be able to be the team to do that tonight?
Edmonton Oilers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
All signs point to no, the Oilers shouldn’t be able to pull that off. They haven’t had a bad history against the Lightning at all, but the sample size is not big enough to come to a definite conclusion regarding that. Since the year 2004 they’ve only played each other ten times. I don’t like to take games from around ten years ago into consideration. The Lightning are much better than then and the Oilers are of course much worse. Edmonton did however beat them in both games in 2014. Both of those games were at home in Edmonton, tough. Note that the Oilers have won only 2 games on the road this year, which makes them the worst road team in the NHL. They enter Tampa Bay with a record of only 2-11-5-2. While the Oilers have won the last two games of this series, the Lightning are 4-1 in their last five meetings in Tampa Bay.
The Oilers are last in the NHL in the standings, and are nearly last in every statistical category. Their offense is 27th in the league in scoring, averaging only 2.23 goals per game. Conversely, Edmonton is 29th in goals allowed. The opposition have scored an average of 3.32 goals on them this season. Looking at the Lightning, their offense is on the other side of the stick. They’re scoring 3.22 goals a game, which puts them at 1st in the NHL. Results in the NHL and sports in general don’t always end up making sense. However, I find it hard to believe the Lightning will go on their first three game losing streak at the hands of the Edmonton Oilers. Additionally, I find it hard to believe the Oilers are going to be motivated to travel to play one of the best teams in the league. The Lightning should have their heads focused and into this matchup. Look for an explosive effort out of the Lightning at home, where they are 16-4-0-1. Forget about laying the juice and take them at -1.5
Pick – LIGHTNING -1.5 (+103) 5dimes.eu (Best Odds)