Edmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Pick – March 27

The NHL is set up with a great slate of hockey throughout Saturday. Eleven games are up on the board throughout March 27. One of these games will be between the Edmonton Oilers and the Toronto Maple Leafs. These two teams have had great starts to this season and will look to keep it going in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time on NHL Network.

Edmonton has put up a record of 21-13-0 to this point in the season, which has them sitting in third place of the North Division. The Oilers have won three games in a row, but have not played since March 20. Edmonton will look to come out hot after their week off, which should lead to a good contest in this one. I expect the Oilers to look well rested entering this game.

The Maple Leafs have started out this season with a record of 21-10-2, which has them sitting in the top spot of the North Division. Toronto is only two points ahead of the Oilers and the Winnipeg Jets. The Maple Leafs will look to further secure their spot on top of the standings with a win. Toronto has won back to back games and will look to keep it going in this one.

These two teams have been strong throughout this season, which should lead to a good game on Saturday night. Both teams are competing near the top of the North Division, which makes them game have some extra importance. The Oilers are coming off a week break and will look to use that to their advantage over their rival.

Previous Matchups

The Oilers and the Maple Leafs have met up seven times throughout this season. The first two games of the season series were in Toronto. Leon Draisaitl had the game winning goal in the first game to lead Edmonton to a 3-1 win. Mitch Marner had a goal and an assist on the night as the Maple Leafs tied up the season series with a 4-2 win.

The third and fourth game of the season series shifted to Edmonton on January 28 and 30. Jason Spezza had a goal and an assist on the night as Toronto grabbed a 4-3 win on the night. Connor McDavid scored two goals and added an assist in the fourth game as the Oilers were able to win 4-3 in overtime to once again tie the season series.

Edmonton also hosted the fifth, sixth and seventh game of the season series between February 27 and March 3. Jack Campbell had a 30 shot shutout in the fifth game as the Maple Leafs earned a 4-0 win. Michael Hutchinson earned a 31 shot shutout in the sixth game as Toronto won 3-0. Jason Spezza had three assists in the seventh game, while Jimmy Vesey scored twice in a 6-1 Maple Leafs win.

These two teams were going back and forth throughout the season series until the three game series in late February. Toronto was able to sweep all three games in that series to take a 5-2 lead in the season series against the Oilers. Edmonton will look to bounce back in this one as they try to come out strong in this one against the Maple Leafs.

Special Teams

The Oilers power play has been strong throughout this season so far. Edmonton has capitalized on 30 of their 111 power play opportunities, which is a 27 percent success rate. The Oilers have struggled a bit on the penalty kill though. Edmonton has killed off 76 of their opponents 100 power play chances, which is a 76 percent penalty kill.

Toronto have also been really strong on the power play throughout this season. The Maple Leafs have scored on 26 of their 97 power play attempts, which is a 26.8 percent power play. Toronto’s penalty kill has also been a bit on the weaker side. The Maple Leafs have given up 22 power play goals on 95 penalties against, which is a 76.8 percent kill rate.

These two teams have put up very similar special team numbers throughout this season. Both teams have been strong on the power play, but have struggled on the penalty kill. If either team can get a couple of power play goals in this one, it could give them the edge. I expect both teams to be aggressive with the man advantage as they look for a win in this one.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Mike Smith to get the start in the crease for Edmonton in this one. Smith has earned a record of 11-3 throughout his starts this season. He has put up a save percentage of .922 and a 2.34 GAA in his games played. Smith’s last start was against the Winnipeg Jets on March 20, where he stopped 29 of 31 shots in the win.

Jack Campbell will likely get the nod between the pipes for the Maple Leafs on Saturday night. Campbell has started in 5 games this season, going 5-0. He has posted a .958 save percentage and a GAA of 1.18 throughout this season. Campbell finished with 29 saves on 31 shots in his last start against the Ottawa Senators, which was enough for the win.

These two goalies have been strong throughout this season. Campbell’s numbers are stronger, but I do not expect Campbell to keep up these stats all season. I think that the Oilers offense can break through on Campbell, especially after he shut them out earlier in the season. Smith has been strong throughout this season and will look to give Edmonton the edge in this one.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been strong throughout this season and I expect another good game on Saturday night. The Oilers have lost three straight to the Maple Leafs, but I expect Edmonton to bounce back in this one. The Oilers have had a week off due to Montreal contracting COVID-19, which should have them well rested in this one. If Edmonton can come out fast, I think they can earn a big win.

BetOnline has Toronto listed as a -159 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Maple Leafs will win this game around 61.4 percent of the time. I think that this line is a little high for two teams at the top of the North Division. I think the Oilers have a good chance to win this one and as underdogs, I really like the value on Edmonton.

The Bet
Edmonton Oilers
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.