Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings Pick – NHL April 12, 2022

The Ottawa Senators and Detroit Red Wings drop the puck at Little Caesars Arena in downtown Detroit on Tuesday night.

For the Senators and Red Wings, this was a season for progress. That doesn’t mean going to the playoffs and making a run at the Stanley Cup.

The Senators and Red Wings aren’t in a position for competing that far, but progress would be nice for two clubs that haven’t had much to celebrate in recent memory. The Senators had a little something to build on last season.

Ottawa went 23-28-5 with 51 points in the shortened campaign. It was a small improvement from the 25-34-12 season in 2019-2020.

Going into Little Caesars Arena tonight, the Senators are a disappointing 26-40-6 and 58 points. Not much has changed for the Senators over the last few years. This has been another wasted season in Kanata.

Meanwhile, the same can’t be said for the Red Wings, who have shown signs of breaking through this season. They are 28-34-10 and have 66 points entering Tuesday night at home.

This is a team that finished at 17-49-5 with 39 points a couple of seasons back, so Jeff Blashill has been able to cool his hot seat off considerably since then. Blashill had nothing to work with then.

As the Red Wings continue to develop their young talent and attract free agents, they are expected to take strides forward this season. The Red Wings are a team on the rise and likely a good underdog bet in 2022-23.

Head below for our free Senators vs. Red Wings prediction on April 12, 2022.

Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings Betting Odds and Team Statistics:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Ottawa Senators +1.5 (-220) +100 Over 6.5 (+100)
Detroit Red Wings -1.5 (+180) -120 Under 6.5 (-120)
Team Data Ottawa Senators Detroit Red Wings
Overall Record 26-40-6 28-34-10
Puckline Record 38-34 31-41
Away/Home Record 13-19-3 18-13-7
Puckline Away/Home 19-16 20-18
Goals Per Game 2.67 2.86
Goals Against Per Game 3.25 3.82
Shots Per Game 30.22 29.83
Shots Against Per Game 33.04 33.68

Senators vs. Red Wings Prediction:

The Red Wings are not the best team in the league, but at least they’re entertaining to watch on the ice. There is a clear need for improvement for the Red Wings on the blueline and between the pipes.

If the goaltending had some help from the defense, there’d be an improvement. However, the Red Wings also have to find their goaltender for next season and the future.

Thomas Greiss is an unrestricted free agent following this season and it’s unlikely that he’s signing back with the Red Wings. He took more money to sign in Detroit, but gave up a better defense with the Islanders.

Greiss is going into this one with a 3.63 GAA and 0.89 save percentage this season. His effort in his first season with the Wings was better.

He recorded a 2.70 GAA and 0.912 save percentage last year, which is a drop off from his career-high in 2018-19 with a 2.28 GAA and 0.927 save percentage.

The Red Wings are dead last in the NHL with 3.82 goals against per game. This is where Wings games can be fun, but not so much for fans in Hockeytown.

Ottawa Senators vs. Detroit Red Wings Betting Trends:

  • 7-15 overall in their previous 22 games
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus a team with a winning record
  • OVER is 4-0-1 in their previous five games versus the Atlantic Division
  • OVER is 5-0 in their previous five games versus a losing record
  • OVER is 5-1 in their previous six games versus the Red Wings
Red Wings
  • 1-4 overal in their previous five games at home
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games after allowing 5 goals or more
  • OVER is 6-0 in their previous six games as a betting favorite at home
  • OVER is 14-3 in their previous 17 games versus the Eastern Conference
  • OVER is 21-6 in their previous 27 games at home

The Red Wings haven’t seen any relief since the start of the season defensively. It’s only gotten worse. Blashill and the coaching staff have to go back to the drawing board in the offseason.

Detroit has allowed 4.5 goals per game through their last ten attempts. With more than 3 goals scored per game, at least they’ve been having fun scoring the puck.

At home this season, the Red Wings have scored 3.32 goals per game while allowing 3.61 per game. The OVER has gone 8-2 in their last ten outings for good reason.

The Senators are better defensively, but that’s not saying too much. Ottawa has allowed 3.25 goals a game for 23rd in the NHL. On the road, they’ve given up 3.25 goals per game this season.

There has been an average of 7 goals scored in their last three meetings, with all games going OVER the total and the Senators winning. Expect an OVER game at Little Caesars Arena, with a 4-3 final in Detroit.


Senators vs. Red Wings Pick
OVER 6.5
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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