Ottawa Senators vs. Vegas Golden Knights NHL Pick – March 6

Coming off of a wild loss last night in Arizona, the Ottawa Senators will continue to make their way through the desert and take on the Vegas Golden Knights this Sunday evening.

Head coach DJ Smith has to be thoroughly puzzled by the inconsistent play of his young and pesky Sens group. On some evenings, this team can play with anyone, while on others, they look like they’d be among the league-worst in the AHL. Injuries have ravaged Ottawa’s run of good play, but on Sunday they’ll be taking on a Vegas group that has more crippling injuries than themselves at the moment.

It’s been tough for Vegas since getting star centre Jack Eichel into their lineup. The Knights have only mustered a 2-4-1 record, and though 23 points separate these teams in the standings, Vegas’ injuries should serve as a big equalizer. While Vegas enters sizeable favourites in tonight’s clash, pressure is starting to catch up to this group that has yet to have a breakthrough in the NHL. Sitting just two points up on a playoff spot, Vegas will be keen to seek out a needed victory vs. the lowly Senators.

Can the Sens put together a complete game and stymie the Knights? Or will Vegas shake off their injuries and ride their depth to success in what would represent a crucial two points? For added insight, answers to those questions, as well as betting news, trends and analysis – keep on reading beneath the current odds as we look to improve our stellar hockey record with another winning wager. Enjoy the Sens/Knights showdown as we blast through a busy Sunday on the ice.

Ottawa Senators vs. Vegas Golden Knights Live Odds & Betting History

*These odds are provided by


  • Ottawa Senators +1.5 (-110)
  • Vegas Golden Knights -1.5 (-110)

  • Ottawa Senators (+240)
  • Vegas Golden Knights (-280)
Total Points:

  • Over 6 (-120)
  • Under 6 (+100)
Overall Record 19-30-5 31-21-4
ATS Record 28-26 24-32
Home/Away Record 9-14-3 15-13-3
Goals Per Game 2.6 3.2
Goals Against Per Game 3.3 2.9
Shots On Goal Per Game 29.8 33.5
Shooting % 8.8 9.5

Ottawa Senators vs. Vegas Golden Knights Prediction:

While the Golden Knights enter as massive favourites, it cannot be because of the rosters heading into Sunday night’s clash. Vegas will be down a wealth of key talents, including Mattias Janmark, Mark Stone, Max Pacioretty, Alex Martinez, Nolan Patrick, and Brayden McNabb. Those are some crushing injuries to a squad that is already pretty top-heavy.

And though Ottawa is playing on a back-to-back, and coming off of a disastrous loss in which they allowed 8 goals to the lowly Coyotes, this Sens team has a knack of bouncing back and keeping matches tight, as indicated by a solid against the spread record. The Sens will continue to be without Drake Batherson, but getting Thomas Chabot and Josh Norris back into the lineup has already boosted the morale and offense of this young Sens team.

The expectation is Ottawa will turn to Anton Forsberg in goal, as he has been the best Sens’ netminder this season. On a defensively porous team, he’s managed to secure a .918 save percentage and keep Ottawa in most of the games he starts. Robin Lehner will be in goal for Vegas, and despite some early success as a Golden Knight, his recent stretches have caused a fair bit of concern.

Like last night’s game for the Sens, this one too should be an offensive affair. With shaky goaltending, depleted blue-lines, and some high-octane talent up front, expect a fair bit of chances and goals for both sides. While the Sens are definitely good value at a pretty wildly inflated price, both Vegas and Ottawa can and should find goals in this contest. With a total of only 6, shaded to the over, good value still exists prior to puck drop.


Sens vs. Golden Knights Trends To Know:

  • Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Senators are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 5 goals or more in their previous game.
  • Golden Knights are 4-1 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation.
  • Over is 7-3 in Senators last 10 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 12-4-2 in Golden Knights last 18 vs. Atlantic.
  • Over is 5-2 in Golden Knights last 7 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation.
  • Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams.


Though Ottawa is in a back-to-back spot, the Golden Knights are a team with a depleted roster playing their third game in four nights.  Ottawa should be able to push the pace on offense and their creative youth should make the Vegas blue-line work for all three periods.  The Sens are a juicy ML underdog, but the Over 6 goals in this contest seems to be a great value play given the quality of netminding we should see, and the recent trends.

My Pick
Over 6
Will S. / Author

Will has been working with The Sports Geek since its early days back in 2010. He began as a soccer specialist, focusing on detailed reports for major international competitions, including the World Cup and European Championships. Since then, he has produced weekly pick articles on both the NFL and English Premier League, while also contributing blog posts on the NHL, MLB, and even WWE wrestling. Will is also an avid sports bettor and daily fantasy player, always eager to share his thoughts and insight on anything going on in the world of sports.

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