Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals NHL Pick – Game 4

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey on Monday night. Four games are up on the board throughout May 9. One of these games will be between the Florida Panthers and the Washington Capitals. These two teams have been strong on the season and will look for a huge win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time on TBS.

Florida earned a record of 58-18-6 in the regular season in route to the President’s Trophy as the best team in the NHL this season. The Panthers have struggled early in this series though and will need to come out faster on the road. Florida will look to tie this series back up before they head home. The Panthers will look for a much better start in Game 4.

The Capitals put up a record of 44-26-12 throughout the regular season, which had them in the last wild card spot. Washington has been strong throughout this series and have had an answer for the Panthers dominant offense. The Capitals will look to remain hot as they eye a huge 3-1 series lead. Washington will look for a big win in this one.

These two teams were strong throughout this season and will look for a big win in Game 4. The Panthers were the better team throughout the regular season, but have struggled getting their offense going in defense tight playoff hockey. Washington will look to continue to strangle Florida’s offense. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Florida Panthers -1 ½ (+135) -175 Over 6 ½ (-130)
Washington Capitals +1 ½ (-160) +150 Under 6 ½ (+110)

 

Team Data Florida Panthers Washington Capitals
Playoff Record 1-2 2-1
Playoff Away/ Home Record 0-1 1-0
Playoff GF/GP 2.67 3.67
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 1.00 6.00
Playoff SV% .904 .918
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .806 .967

Betting Trends

Florida Panthers

  • 11-3 revenging loss to an opponent
  • 21-9 after allowing four goals or more
  • 9-6 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 3-0 after scoring one goal or less
  • 24-14 against team with a winning record

Washington Capitals

  • 0-1 when leading in a Playoff series
  • 15-15 after a win by two goals or more
  • 20-19 after scoring four goals or more
  • 21-22 against team with a winning record

These two teams met up in Game 1 on May 3. T.J. Oshie scored the game winner late in the third, while Vitek Vanecek stopped 30 of 32 shots in route to a 4-2 win. The second game was on May 5. Aleksander Barkov and Carter Verhaeghe both had a goal and an assist as Florida won 5-1. John Carlson, Marcus Johansson and Alex Ovechkin all had a goal and an assist as Washington earned a 6-1 win.

Special Teams

The Panthers were strong on the power play throughout the regular season. Florida scored on 64 of their 262 power play chances, which was a 24.4 percent success rate. The Panthers killed off 206 of their opponent 259 power play attempts, which was a 79.5 percent penalty kill. Florida was 5th on the power play and 16th on the kill.

Washington was solid on the penalty kill in the regular season. The Capitals capitalized on 48 of their 256 power play opportunities, which was an 18.8 percent power play. Washington gave up 44 power play goals on 225 penalties against, which was an 80.4 percent kill rate. The Capitals were 23rd on the man advantage and 12th on the penalty kill.

These two teams were solid on special teams throughout this season. Florida has struggled heavily on special teams in this series so far. Washington has scored on 4 of their 12 power play chances this season. The Panthers have failed to score on all 9 of their power play opportunities. Florida will need to breakthrough in this one if they want to tie this series back up.

Goaltending Comparison

Sergei Bobrovsky will likely get the start in the crease for Florida in this one. Bobrovsky earned a record of 39-7-3 throughout his starts on the regular season. He put up a .913 save percentage and a GAA of 2.67 on the season. Bobrovsky has posted a save percentage of .904 and a 3.03 GAA throughout this series so far.

I expect Ilya Samsonov to get the nod between the pipes for the Capitals. Samsonov started in 39 games this season, going 23-12-5 in those matchups. He posted a save percentage of .896 and a 3.02 GAA in those outings. Samsonov has stopped 46 of 47 shots since stepping into Game 2 and has taken over the starting job in this series.

These two goalies will look to come out fast in Game 4. Bobrovsky has struggled a bit in this series so far and will need to tighten up if the Panthers want to earn the win. Samsonov will look to remain red hot as he looks for a big win in this one. If either goalie can step up early in this one, it could be enough for the win on Monday night.

Pick Overview

These two teams will look for a pivotal win as they meet up on Tuesday night. The Panthers have struggled to switch into the playoff style hockey early in this series and need to make some adjustments. I believe Florida will change things up and come out faster in this one. If the Panthers can grab the early lead, it could be enough for the win.

Bovada has Florida listed as a -175 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Panthers will win this game around 63.6 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but does not have a lot of value. Florida is also listed as a -1 ½ at +135. I think that Panthers will come out quicker in this one. If Florida can grab the early lead, I like their chances to cover the spread.

The Bet
Florida Panthers -1.5
+135
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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