Florida Panthers vs Washington Capitals NHL Pick – Game 6

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey throughout May 13. Three potential elimination games are up on the board on Friday night. One of these games will be between the Florida Panthers and the Washington Capitals. These two teams have met up in a tight series so far and will look for a win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:30 PM Eastern time on TBS.

Florida earned a record of 58-18-6 throughout the regular season, which marked them as the top seed in the NHL. The Panthers are coming off a huge come from behind win in Game 5 of this series and will look to build on it in this one. Florida will look to step up early in this one as they try to book their spot in the second round.

The Capitals put up a record of 44-26-12 during the regular season, which had them in fourth place of the Metropolitan division. Washington has given up back to back leads to lose the last two games. The Capitals will need to shake it off and look to bounce back at home. I expect Washington to switch things up as they face elimination in this one.

These two teams have been strong throughout this series and will look for a big win in this one. The Panthers have won the last two games to take a 3-2 series lead. Washington will look to tie this series back up as it shifts to their home ice. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win in this one.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Florida Panthers -1 ½ (+130) -185 Over 6 ½ (-125)
Washington Capitals +1 ½ (-150) +160 Under 6 ½ (+105)
Team Data Florida Panthers Washington Capitals
Playoff Record 3-2 2-3
Playoff Away/ Home Record 1-1 1-1
Playoff GF/GP 3.20 3.20
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 2.00 3.00
Playoff SV% .890 .905
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .830 .935

Betting Trends

Florida Panthers

  • 8-2 on Friday nights
  • 28-9 after a win by two or more goals
  • 39-12 after scoring four goals or more
  • 26-14 against team with a winning record

Washington Capitals

  • 10-3 on Friday nights
  • 19-12 after allowing four or more goals
  • 11-6 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 21-24 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met in a tight series so far. Washington earned a 4-2 win in Game 1, but the Panthers bounced back in Game 2 with a 5-1 win. The Capitals took the series lead back with a 6-1 victory in the third game. Carter Verhaeghe had two goals in Game 4 as Florida won 3-2 in overtime. Verhaeghe had two goals and three assists in Game 5 to give the Panthers a 5-3 win.

Special Teams

The Panthers had a strong power play throughout the regular season. Florida scored on 62 of their 262 power play chances, which was a 24.4 percent success rate. The Panthers killed off 206 of their opponents 259 power play attempts, which was a 79.5 percent penalty kill. Florida has gone 0-16 on the power play throughout this series.

Washington had a solid penalty kill during the regular season. The Capitals capitalized on 48 of their 256 power play opportunities, which was an 18.8 percent power play. Washington gave up 44 power play goals on 225 penalties against, which was an 80.4 percent kill rate. The Capitals have scored on 6 of their 20 power play chances in the series.

Florida had the better power play on the regular season, while the Capitals had the better penalty kill. The Panthers have been shut down on the power play in this series though, failing to score a single power play goal. Washington will look to stay strong on the penalty kill in this one. If either team can score a power play goal, it could give them the edge.

Goaltending Comparison

Sergei Bobrovsky will get the start in the crease for Florida in this one. Bobrovsky earned a record of 39-7-3 throughout the regular season. He put up a save percentage of .913 and a 2.67 GAA in those outings. Bobrovsky has posted a .902 save percentage and a GAA of 2.78 throughout this series, which has allowed the Panthers to grab the lead.

Ilya Samsonov will likely get the nod between the pipes for the Capitals on Thursday. Samsonov put up a record of 23-12-5 during the regular season. He put up a .896 save percentage and a GAA of 3.02 in those matchups. Samsonov has posted a save percentage of .923 and a 2.68 GAA since stepping into Game 2 for Washington.

Bobrovsky was the better goalie in the regular season, but Samsonov has been strong in this series. Washington will look to take some pressure off of him early in this one. Bobrovsky will look to pick up his game as Florida looks to make a second round appearance. If either goalie can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

The Panthers will look to earn a big win in Game 6 to finish off Washington. The Capitals have many veterans from their Stanley Cup run a few years ago though and I think they will put up a fight. Washington has lost their last two games after having lead and will look to play tighter in this one. If the Capitals can grab the early lead, I like their chances to earn the win.

Bovada has Florida listed as a -185 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Panthers will win this game around 64.9 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with how close the series has been and Washington back at home. As big underdogs in this one, I really like the value on the Capitals.

The Bet
Washington Capitals
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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