Florida Panthers vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Pick – October 19

The NHL is set up with another great slate of action throughout October 19. Eleven games are up on the board throughout Tuesday night. One of these matchups will be between the Florida Panthers and the Tampa Bay Lightning. These two teams are coming off strong seasons last season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time.

Florida has opened up this season with a record of 2-0-0, which has them sitting in the top spot of the Atlantic division. The Panthers went 37-14-5 throughout last season, which had them in second place of the Central. Florida was knocked out in six games to the Tampa Bay Lightning. Now the Panthers will look for some revenge in this matchup.

The Lightning have put up a record of 2-1-0 so far this season, which has them in fifth place of the Atlantic division. Tampa Bay finished the regular season last season with a record of 36-17-3. The Lightning went on to win their second straight Stanley Cup. Now Tampa Bay will look to keep it going with another big win in this one.

These two teams were solid throughout last season and will look for a big win in this one. The Panthers have jumped out to an early start this season, while Tampa Bay has gotten going after an opening night loss. Florida will look for some revenge against their in-state rival on Tuesday night. If either team can come out hot in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Florida Panthers +1 ½ (-220) +100 Over 6 (-116)
Tampa Bay Lightning -1 ½ (+190) -110 Under 6 (+105)


Team Data Florida Panthers Tampa Bay Lightning
Overall Record 2-0-0 2-1-0
Away/ Home Record 0-0-0 0-1-0
Goals Per Game 5.00 3.67
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 2.00
Save Percentage .935 .862
Save Percentage Away/ Home .829

Betting Trends

Florida Panthers

  • 77-60 in last 137 games
  • 22-19 in the first half of the season last three seasons
  • 14-10 in last 24 games on Tuesday night
  • 9-6 when playing on two days of rest
  • 50-33 in last 83 divisional games
  • 20-22 in last 42 games after win of two or more goals
  • 38-29 after scoring four or more goals in last game

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 114-62 in last 176 games
  • 23-18 in first half of season last three seasons
  • 20-11 in last 31 Tuesday night games
  • 11-10 when playing on two days of rest
  • 67-30 in last 97 divisional games

These two teams met up eight times throughout the regular season last season. The Panthers earned a record of 5-2-1 throughout the regular season. These two teams met up in the postseason. Tampa Bay jumped out to a 2-0 series lead. The Panthers won two of the next three games, but lost in Game 6. Now Florida will look to get going early in this season series with a big road win to set a tone.

Special Teams

The Panthers have not had a great start to this season on special teams. Florida has yet to score a power play goal on seven opportunities this season. The Panthers have killed off 10 of their 13 penalties against, which is a 76.9 percent kill rate.

Tampa Bay’s special teams have gotten off to a strong start this season. The Lightning have scored on three of their nine power play attempts, which is a 33.3 percent success rate. Tampa Bay has also given up one power play goal on ten penalties against, which is a 90 percent penalty kill.

These two teams have had opposite starts on special teams this season. I expect Florida to step up on the power play sooner rather than later. If the Panthers can get going in this one, I think it will give them a big edge. The Lightning are without Nikita Kucherov for an extended period of time, which will hurt Tampa Bay’s power play.

Goaltending Comparison

Spencer Knight is expected to get the nod in the net for Florida in this one. Knight played in four games last season, earning a perfect 4-0 record. He posted a save percentage of .919 and a 2.32 GAA in those matchups. Knight also played twice in the postseason. He had a .933 save percentage and a GAA of 2.06 while going 1-1 in those games.

I expect Andrei Vasilevskiy to get the start in the crease for the Lightning in this matchup. Vasilevskiy has opened up this season with a 2-1 record. He has put up a .890 save percentage and a GAA of 3.25 in those games. Vasilevskiy finished with 32 saves on 33 shots in his last win against the Washington Capitals on Saturday night.

These two goalies will look for a huge win in this one. Vasilevskiy has struggled to get going early in this season, but will look to build off Saturday’s win. Knight has yet to lose in the regular season and will look for another win in this one. If either goalie can control the pace in this matchup, I think it will be enough to lead their team to the win.

Pick Overview

Florida has started this season strong and I think they will come out hot in this one. The Panthers are still fresh off that playoff defeat last season and they will come out hungry in this one. Florida will look to come out hot in this matchup. With Tampa Bay missing Kucherov as well, I think the Panthers can take advantage on the road.

BetOnline has Tampa Bay listed as a -110 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Lightning will win this game around 52.4 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate with Tampa Bay being at home. Florida has some extra emotion in this matchup though and I think they will come out hot. After losing in the postseason a season ago, I like the value on the Panthers to pull off the upset in this one.

The Bet
Florida Panthers
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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