Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers NHL Pick – May 4

The NHL is set up with a solid slate of games throughout May 4. Five games are up on the board throughout Tuesday night. One of these matchups will be between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the Philadelphia Flyers. These two teams will meet for the second straight night in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time on NBCSN.

Pittsburgh has earned a record of 34-16-3 to this point in the season, which has them sitting in second place of the East Division. The Penguins are tied with the Capitals for the top spot in the East, but have played one extra game. Pittsburgh is coming off a loss in their last game, but have won six of their last eight. The Penguins will look to get back on track with a big win in this one.

The Flyers have put up a record of 23-22-7 throughout this season, which has them in sixth place of the East Division. Philadelphia has already been eliminated from the playoffs, but will look to play some spoiler here. The Flyers won their last game, which ended a three game skid. Philadelphia will look to earn a big win in this one.

These two teams are on opposite sides of the standings throughout this season, but I expect them to try and get going in this rivalry matchup. The Penguins are fighting for playoff seeding in the East, while Philadelphia is looking to play spoilers. If either team can come out hot in this one, it could be enough for a big win on Tuesday night.

Previous Matchups

The Penguins and the Flyers have met up seven times throughout this season. Philadelphia hosted the first two games of the season series on January 13 and 15. Joel Farabee had a goal and three assists in the first game as the Flyers won 6-3. Travis Konecny had three goals and an assist in the second game as Philadelphia earned a 5-2 win.

The next three games of the season series were in Pittsburgh between March 2 and 6. Kasperi Kapanen had two goals in the third game as the Penguins bounced back with a 5-2 win. Claude Giroux had two goals and an assist in the fourth game as the Flyers won 4-3. Evgeni Malkin had a goal and an assist in the fifth game to help lead Pittsburgh to a 4-3 win at home.

The sixth game of the season series was sin Pittsburgh on April 15. Sidney Crosby opened up the scoring on the night, but Jakub Voracek tied up the game in the third period. Claude Giroux and Sean Couturier each scored in the shootout to help give the Flyers the win. Carter Hart stopped 31 of the 32 shots against him as Philadelphia won 2-1.

Philadelphia hosted the seventh and most recent game of the season series on May 3. Sidney Crosby and Jason Zucker each scored for the Penguins, but it was not enough. Joel Farabee scored one goal and added two assists, while Jakub Voracek had three assists. Alex Lyon stopped 35 of 37 shots on the night to lift the Flyers to a 7-2 win.

Special Teams

Pittsburgh has been solid on the power play throughout this season. The Penguins have capitalized on 33 of their 144 power play opportunities, which is a 22.9 percent success rate. Pittsburgh has struggled on the penalty kill though. The Penguins have given up 34 power play goals on 151 penalties against, which is a 77.5 percent penalty kill.

The Flyers have not been great on either side of special teams throughout this season. Philadelphia has scored on 31 of their 158 power play chances, which is a 19.6 percent power play. The Flyers have killed off 114 of their opponents 157 power play attempts, which is a 72.6 percent kill rate. Philadelphia will look to step up on special teams in this one.

The Penguins have been stronger on special teams throughout this season. Pittsburgh has put up the better power play and penalty kill. The Penguins will need their special teams to take over in this one if they want to bounce back from last night’s loss. Philadelphia will look to stay out of the box after allowing two power play goals on Monday night.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Tristan Jarry to get the start in the crease for the Penguins in this one. Jarry has started in 36 games this season, going 23-9-3. He has put up a save percentage of .912 and a 2.67 GAA throughout his starts. Jarry’s last start was against the Washington Capitals where he stopped all 24 shots he faced to help give Pittsburgh the win.

Brian Elliott will likely get the nod in the net for Philadelphia on Tuesday night. Elliott has earned a record of 13-8-2 throughout his 23 starts this season. He has posted a .890 save percentage and a GAA of 3.02 so far. Elliott finished with 17 saves on 21 shots against the New Jersey Devils in his last start, which was not enough for the win.

Pittsburgh has the edge in net on Tuesday night with Jarry getting the start. Jarry had to step in on Monday, where he stopped 5 of 7 shots in the third period. The Penguins will look to attack Elliott as he has struggled this season. If either goalie can get into a rhythm quickly though, I think it will be enough to lift their team to the win.

Pick Overview

The Flyers have won the season series already, winning five of the first seven games against Pittsburgh. Philadelphia will look to finish out strong with another win in this one. I think that the Penguins will bounce back in this one though. Pittsburgh has been better on special teams and in net this season and I think they will have a big bounce back performance.

BetOnline has the Penguins listed as a -160 against the money line in this one. This implies that Pittsburgh will win this game around 61.5 percent of the time. I think that the Penguins will dominate this game, but there is not a lot of value on this line. Pittsburgh is also listed at -1 ½ for +150, which I think has a lot of value. I expect the Penguins to come out hot in this one as they need these two points.

Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.