Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers NHL Pick – Game 5

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey action on May 11. Three games are up on the board throughout Wednesday night. One of these games will be between the Pittsburgh Penguins and the New York Rangers. These two teams have been solid this series and will look for a huge win in Game 5. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

Pittsburgh earned a record of 46-25-11 throughout the regular season, which had them finish in third place of the Metropolitan division. The Penguins have jumped out to a big lead in this series and will look to finish it off with a big win in Game 5. Pittsburgh will look to carry momentum onto the road. The Penguins will look for a fast start in this one.

The Rangers put up a record of 52-24-6 during the regular season, which had them grab the second seed in the Metropolitan division. New York has struggled early in this series and will look to turn it around. The Rangers will look to step up as the series shifts back home. I expect New York to change things up as they face elimination in Game 5.

These two teams will look for a big win on Wednesday night. The Penguins have been the better team throughout this series and will look to finish it off with a big win in this one. New York will look to change things up as they face elimination at home. If either team can come out fast in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Pittsburgh Penguins +1 ½ (-225) +115 Over 6 (-120)
New York Rangers -1 ½ (+185) -135 Under 6 (+100)

 

Team Data Pittsburgh Penguins New York Rangers
Playoff Record 3-1 1-3
Playoff Away/ Home Record 1-1 1-1
Playoff GF/GP 5.00 3.50
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 3.00 4.00
Playoff SV% .917 .901
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .926 .952

Betting Trends

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • 17-13 against divisional opponents
  • 16-13 after a divisional game
  • 1-1 when leading in Playoff series
  • 21-12 after a win by two or more goals
  • 20-17 after scoring four goals or more
  • 24-22 against team with a winning record

New York Rangers

  • 17-13 against divisional opponents
  • 18-11 after a divisional game
  • 1-1 when trailing in Playoff series
  • 17-7 after allowing four or more goals
  • 11-6 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 24-20 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up four times in this series. Bryan Rust had a goal and two assists in Game 1 as Pittsburgh won 4-3 in triple overtime. Artemi Panarin and Frank Vatrano both had a goal and an assist in the second game as the Rangers won 5-2. Sidney Crosby had a goal and four assists over Game’s 3 and 4 as the Penguins won 7-4 and 7-2.

Special Teams

The Penguins were solid on special teams throughout this season. Pittsburgh scored on 50 of their 248 power play chances, which was a 20.2 percent power play. The Penguins killed off 179 of their opponents 212 power play attempts, which was an 84.4 percent kill rate. Pittsburgh was 19th on the power play and 3rd on the kill.

New York was strong on both sides of special teams in the regular season. The Rangers capitalized on 55 of their 218 power play opportunities, which was a 25.2 percent success rate. New York gave up 40 power play goals on 226 penalties against, which was an 82.3 percent penalty kill. The Rangers were 4th on the man advantage and 7th on the penalty kill.

These two teams have been solid on special teams during this series, but Pittsburgh has been a bit better. The Penguins have scored on 4 of their 12 power play chances. The Rangers have capitalized on 2 of their 9 power play attempts. Both teams have done a good job staying out of the box and will look to keep it up in Game 5.

Goaltending Comparison

Louis Domingue remains the starter in the crease for Pittsburgh with Jarry and DeSmith out. Domingue only started twice for the Penguins in the regular season, going 1-1 with a .952 save percentage and a GAA of 2.02. Domingue has posted a save percentage of .906 and a 3.40 GAA throughout this series, which is enough for the series lead.

The Rangers will stick with Igor Shesterkin despite his struggles in the last two games. Shesterkin earned a record of 36-13-4 throughout the regular season. He posted a save percentage of .935 and a 2.07 GAA in those games. Shesterkin has put up a .905 save percentage and a GAA of 4.26 throughout this series so far.

These two goalies have struggled at times in this series and will look for a big win in this one. Shesterkin has been pulled in back to back games, but I think he will bounce back in front of the home crowd. New York has solved Domingue in this series, but will need to tighten up their own defense. If Shesterkin can come out hot in this one, it could give the Rangers some hope.

Pick Overview

These two teams will meet in a huge Game 5 on Wednesday night as Pittsburgh tries to put this series away. The fourth game is the hardest to win though and I think New York will fight back. Shesterkin is a favorite for the Vezina Trophy this season and I think he will put up a much better performance. If the Rangers can grab an early lead, I think they can hold on for the win.

Bovada has New York listed as a -135 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Rangers will win this game around 57.5 percent of the time. I think that this line could be bigger with New York coming off back to back blowout losses. The Rangers were the better team in the regular season and I expect them to fight back. As slight favorites, I like the value on New York in this one.

The Bet
New York Rangers
-135
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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