Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Pick – April 23

The NHL is set up with another great slate of hockey throughout Saturday. Twelve games are up on the board on April 23. One of these games will be between the Nashville Predators and the Tampa Bay Lightning. These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 7:00 PM Eastern time on NHL Network.

Nashville has earned a record of 44-28-5 throughout this season, which has them in fourth place of the Central division. The Predators have a four point lead on a wild card spot and will look to get closer to locking it up with a win. Nashville is coming off a win in their last game, but have lost four of their last seven. I expect the Predators to come out fast on the road in this one.

The Lightning have put up a record of 47-22-8 so far this season, which has them in third place of the Atlantic division. Tampa Bay is six points behind the sixth seeded Toronto Maple Leafs with five games left. The Lightning will look to make up some ground with a big win at home. Tampa Bay will look to finish this season strong as they eye their third straight Stanley Cup.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big two points on Saturday night. The Predators have struggled a bit as of late and will look to finish strong with Vegas and Vancouver fighting to get into the postseason. Tampa Bay has been solid and will look to keep it going. If either team can come out hot in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Nashville Predators +1 ½ (-170) +150 Over 6 (-115)
Tampa Bay Lightning -1 ½ (+145) -175 Under 6 (-105)

 

Team Data Nashville Predators Tampa Bay Lightning
Overall Record 44-28-5 47-22-8
Away/ Home Record 19-14-5 25-8-6
Goals Per Game 3.17 3.36
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 3.29 3.38
Save Percentage .908 .907
Save Percentage Away/ Home .902 .910

Betting Trends

Nashville Predators

  • 5-5 in April
  • 9-9 on Saturday’s
  • 5-4 when playing on three or more days rest
  • 15-16 in non-Conference games
  • 13-9 revenging loss against an opponent
  • 4-4 after playing three or more straight home games
  • 19-21 against team with a winning record

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 5-6 in April
  • 9-8 on Saturday’s
  • 15-9 after a divisional game
  • 21-10 in non-Conference games
  • 15-11 after a win by two goals or more
  • 19-14 after scoring four goals or more
  • 18-21 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up once this season on February 26 in Nashville at Nissan Stadium. Filip Forsberg and Tanner Jeannot both scored for the Predators, but it was not enough. Steven Stamkos had a goal and two assists, while Nikita Kucherov had a goal and an assist. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 26 of 28 shots as the Lightning earned a 3-2 win outdoors.

Special Teams

The Predators have been solid on the power play throughout this season. Nashville has scored on 56 of their 236 power play chances, which is a 23.7 percent success rate. The Predators have killed off 208 of their opponents 261 power play attempts, which is a 79.7 percent penalty kill. Nashville is 7th on the power play and 16th on the kill this season.

Tampa Bay has been solid on both sides of special teams this season. The Lightning have capitalized on 54 of their 241 power play opportunities, which is a 22.4 percent power play. Tampa Bay has given up 43 power play goals on 234 penalties against, which is an 81.6 percent kill rate. The Lightning are 11th on both the man advantage and penalty kill this season.

The Lightning have the better overall special teams entering this one. Nashville has a slight edge on the power play, but Tampa Bay has put up the better penalty kill. The Lightning will look to attack the Predators penalty kill in this one. If either team can get a power play goal, it could be enough to lift them to the win on Saturday night.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Juuse Saros to get the start in the crease for Nashville in this one. Saros has started in 65 games this season, going 38-24-3 in those matchups. He has posted a .920 save percentage and a GAA of 2.57 in those games played. Saros finished with 19 saves on 21 shots in his last start against the Calgary Flames, which was enough for the win.

Brian Elliott will likely get the nod between the pipes for the Lightning on Saturday night. Elliott has earned a record of 10-3-3 throughout his 17 games played this season. He has put up a save percentage of .915 and a 2.35 GAA in those outings. Elliott’s last start was against the Winnipeg Jets. He stopped 14 of 18 shots in the winning effort.

These two goalies have been strong throughout this season. Saros has played in a lot more games, but is coming off a big win in his last start. Elliott has won four of his last five starts, but earned a point for his team in all five. Both goalies will look to step up early in this one. If either goalie can set the pace early, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams are competing for playoff positions, which should lead to a good game on Saturday. Tampa Bay has already locked up a playoff spot, while the Predators are still looking to clinch. With the Lightning’s backup goalie in, I think Nashville could take advantage. If the Predators can have a hot start in this one, I like their chances to earn the win.

Bovada has Tampa Bay listed as a -175 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Lightning will win this game around 63.6 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with both teams playing well this season. Tampa Bay will have another big game on Sunday and I think they will rest more in this one. As underdogs, I really like the value on Nashville.

The Bet
Nashville Predators
+150
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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