New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Pick – Game 3

The NHL is set up with another strong slate of hockey action on Sunday. The New York Rangers and the Tampa Bay Lightning will meet up in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals on June 5. These two teams have been strong throughout the postseason and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 3:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

New York has earned a record of 10-6 throughout the postseason as the second seed in the Metropolitan division. The Rangers knocked off the Pittsburgh Penguins and Carolina Hurricanes both in seven games to reach this point. New York has won their last four games entering this one. The Rangers will look for a fast start on the road to take total control of this series.

The Lightning have put up a record of 8-5 throughout the playoffs as the third seed in the Atlantic division. Tampa Bay eliminated the Toronto Maple Leafs in seven games and swept the Florida Panthers to reach the Conference Finals. The Lightning have lost the first two games of this series, but will look to bounce back at home. Tampa Bay will look for a big win in this one to get back in this series.

These two teams have been solid throughout the postseason and will look for a big win in Game 3 of this series. The Rangers have been strong taking the early lead in this series and will look to carry that momentum on the road. Tampa Bay will look to get going quickly at home. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
New York Rangers +1 ½ (-180) +150 Over 5 ½ (+100)
Tampa Bay Lightning -1 ½ (+155) -175 Under 5 ½ (-120)

 

Team Data New York Rangers Tampa Bay Lightning
Playoff Record 10-6 8-5
Playoff Away/ Home Record 2-5 4-1
Playoff GF/GP 3.56 3.08
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 2.71 4.00
Playoff SV% .925 .917
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .888 .933

Betting Trends

New York Rangers

  • 11-3 on Sunday’s
  • 1-0 when leading in Playoff series
  • 9-11 after three or more straight wins
  • 33-23 against team with a winning record

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 9-2 on Sunday’s
  • 3-1 when trailing in Playoff series
  • 17-8 when revenging loss
  • 28-26 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met in two exciting games so far. Filip Chytil had two goals, while Adam Fox and Alexis Lafreniere both had two assists in Game 1 to give the Rangers a 6-2 win. Chris Kreider and Fox both had two assists in Game 2 of this series. Igor Shesterkin stopped 29 of 31 shots as the Rangers earned a 3-2 win to take the 2-0 series lead.

Special Teams

The Rangers have been strong on the power play throughout the playoffs. New York has scored on 14 of their 46 power play chances, which is a 30.4 percent success rate. The Rangers have killed off 36 of their opponents 45 power play attempts, which is an 80 percent penalty kill. New York is 2nd on the power play and 3rd on the kill in the field of 4.

Tampa Bay has been solid on both sides of special teams throughout the postseason. The Lightning have capitalized on 12 of their 52 power play opportunities, which is a 23.1 percent power play. Tampa Bay has given up 6 power play goals on 47 penalties against, which is an 87.2 percent kill rate. The Lightning are 4th on the man advantage and 1st on the penalty kill.

New York has had the better power play throughout the postseason, while the Lightning have the better penalty kill. Both teams have one power play goal throughout this series and will look for it to step up early in this one. The Lightning will look to be a bit more disciplined in this one as well. If either team can get a power play goal, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Igor Shesterkin will get the start in the crease for New York in this one. Shesterkin has started in all 16 games this season, going 10-5 in those matchups. He has posted a .929 save percentage and a GAA of 2.60 in those games. Shesterkin finished with 29 saves on 31 shots in Game 2 of this series, which was enough for the win.

Andrei Vasilevskiy will likely get the nod between the pipes for the Lightning in Game 3. Vasilevskiy has earned a record of 8-5 throughout his 13 starts. He has put up a save percentage of .921 and a 2.58 GAA in those outings. Vasilevskiy stopped 25 of 28 shots in the last game of this series, which was not enough for the win in this one.

These two goalies have been strong throughout this playoff run and will look for a big win in this one. Shesterkin has been great since a rough start to the postseason and has dominated since. Vasilevskiy will look to shake off a rough first two games of this series. If either goalie can come out strong, it could be enough for the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been great in this playoff run and will look for a huge win in Game 3 of this series. The Rangers have been the better team to start out this series, but will have a tough task as it shifts to Tampa Bay. The Lightning have picked up their pace when down and will look to use their experience. If Tampa Bay can come out quickly, I think they can close the gap in the series.

Bovada has the Lightning listed as a -175 against the money line in this one. This implies that Tampa Bay will win this game around 63.6 percent of the time. I think that this line is accurate, but I do not think it has a lot of value. The Lightning are also listed at -110 against the three-way money line. I think Tampa Bay can take the lead early and hold on for the regulation win.

The Bet
Tampa Bay Lightning 3-Way ML
-110
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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