New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Pick – Game 4

The NHL is set up with another great slate of hockey on Tuesday night. The New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning will meet up in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals on June 7. These two teams have been strong throughout their playoff runs and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 8:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

New York has earned a record of 10-7 throughout the postseason as the second seed in the Metropolitan division. The Rangers knocked off the Pittsburgh Penguins and Carolina Hurricanes to reach the Conference Finals. New York has a lead in this series and will look to take control with another win. The Rangers will look for the quick start in Game 4.

The Lightning have put up a record of 9-5 so far in the playoffs as the third seed in the Atlantic division. Tampa Bay eliminated the Toronto Maple Leafs in seven games and swept the Florida Panthers to reach this point. The Lightning will look for a fast start at home to try and tie this series back up. I expect Tampa Bay to build on their momentum from the end of Game 3.

These two teams have been strong throughout the postseason and will look for a big win as they meet up in Game 4. The Rangers have a slight lead in this series and will look to take the 3-1 lead with a win in this one. Tampa Bay will look to tie the series back up at home. If either team can come out quickly, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
New York Rangers +1 ½ (-180) +150 Over 5 ½ (+105)
Tampa Bay Lightning -1 ½ (+155) -175 Under 5 ½ (-125)

 

Team Data New York Rangers Tampa Bay Lightning
Playoff Record 10-7 9-5
Playoff Away/ Home Record 2-6 5-1
Playoff GF/GP 3.47 3.07
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 2.63 2.50
Playoff SV% .927 .918
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .898 .933

Betting Trends

New York Rangers

  • 9-7 on Tuesday nights
  • 1-1 when leading in Playoff series
  • 17-12 when revenging a loss
  • 33-24 against team with a winning record

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 15-9 on Tuesday nights
  • 4-1 when trailing in Playoff series
  • 1-2 in Conference Finals
  • 29-26 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met up in an exciting three games so far. Filip Chytil had two goals in Game 1, while Adam Fox and Alexis Lafreniere both had two assists as New York won 6-2. Chris Kreider and Fox both had two assists in Game 2 as the Rangers earned a 3-2 win. Nikita Kucherov had a goal and two assists, while Steven Stamkos had a goal and an assist in the third game to give the Lightning a 3-2 win.

Special Teams

The Rangers have been strong on the power play this postseason. New York has scored on 16 of their 51 power play chances, which is a 31.4 percent success rate. The Rangers have killed off 38 of their opponents 49 power play attempts, which is a 77.6 percent penalty kill. New York is 1st on the power play and 2nd on the kill in the remaining field of 3.

Tampa Bay has solid on both sides of special teams in the playoffs. The Lightning have capitalized on 14 of their 56 power play opportunities, which is a 26.7 percent power play. Tampa Bay has given up 8 power play goals on 52 penalties against, which is an 84.6 percent kill rate. The Lightning are 3rd on the man advantage and 1st on the penalty kill.

These two teams have been solid on the power play throughout the postseason. Both teams had two power play goals in Game 3 of this series and will look to keep that momentum going. The Lightning have been better on the penalty kill and will look for that to give them the edge. If either team can get a power play goal, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Igor Shesterkin will get the start in the crease for New York in this one. Shesterkin has started in 17 games, going 10-6 throughout those outings. He has posted a .930 save percentage and a GAA of 2.62 in those games. Shesterkin finished with 49 saves on 52 shots in Game 3, but it was not enough for the Rangers to get the win.

Andrei Vasilevskiy will get the nod between the pipes for the Lightning on Tuesday night. Vasilevskiy has earned a record of 9-5 throughout his 14 starts. He has put up a save percentage of .922 and a 2.54 GAA in his matchups. Vasilevskiy stopped 28 of 30 shots in the last game, which was enough for Tampa Bay to close the gap in the series.

These two goalies have been great throughout the postseason and will look to give their team the edge in this one. Vasilevskiy stepped up in Game 3 after having a below .900 save percentage in Game’s 1 and 2. Shesterkin continues to dominate, but will look for his team to take some pressure off him. If either goalie can come out strong, it could lead their team to the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been great throughout the playoffs and will look for a big win in Game 4. The Rangers took the first two games at home, but dropped Game 3 after giving up a goal in the final minute of play. New York will look to respond early in this one. Both teams will look to come out fast as they play in this pivotal Game 4.

Bovada has Tampa Bay listed as a -175 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Lightning will win this game around 63.6 percent of the time. I think that this line is a bit big with how tight New York has played this series. The Rangers gave up a 2-0 lead in Game 3 and I expect them to bounce back in this one. As big underdogs, I like the value on New York to take a big 3-1 series lead.

The Bet
New York Rangers
+150
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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