New York Rangers vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Pick – Game 6

The NHL is set up with an exciting slate of action throughout June 11. The New York Rangers and Tampa Bay Lightning will meet up in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Saturday night. These two teams have been great in the playoffs and will look for a huge win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 8:00 PM Eastern time on ESPN.

New York has earned a record of 10-9 throughout the postseason as the second seed in the Metropolitan division. The Rangers knocked off the Pittsburgh Penguins and Carolina Hurricanes both in seven games. New York will need to come back in another series if they want to win though as they find themselves down 3-2. The Rangers will look for a quick start on the road in this one.

The Lightning has put up a record of 11-5 so far in the playoffs as the third seed in the Atlantic division. Tampa Bay eliminated the Toronto Maple Leafs in seven games and swept the Florida Panthers. The Lightning have won three games in a row after falling down 2-0 in this series. Tampa Bay will look to make their third straight Stanley Cup with a win on Saturday night.

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Rangers have dropped their last three games after a strong 2-0 start to this series. Tampa Bay has dominated since that point and will look to finish this series off. If either team can come out fast, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
New York Rangers +1 ½ (-180) +155 Over 5 ½ (+125)
Tampa Bay Lightning -1 ½ (+155) -180 Under 5 ½ (-145)

 

Team Data New York Rangers Tampa Bay Lightning
Playoff Record 10-9 11-5
Playoff Away/ Home Record 2-7 6-1
Playoff GF/GP 3.21 3.13
Playoff GF/GP Away/ Home 2.44 3.86
Playoff SV% .923 .923
Playoff SV% Away/ Home .896 .938

Betting Trends

New York Rangers

  • 12-4 on Saturday’s
  • 6-2 when trailing in series
  • 14-7 after a loss by two or more goals
  • 9-7 after scoring one goal or less
  • 2-0 after three or more straight losses

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • 11-8 on Saturday’s
  • 3-0 when leading in series
  • 21-16 after a win by two goals or more
  • 11-10 after three or more straight wins
  • 31-26 against team with a winning record

These two teams have met in an exciting five game series so far. Adam Fox had four assists in the first two games, while Filip Chytil added two goals and an assist as New York won 6-2 and 3-2. Ondrej Palat and Nikita Kucherov both had two goals and two assists in Game’s 3 and 4 as the Lightning won 3-2 and 4-1. Mikhail Sergachev had a goal and an assist in Game 5 as Tampa Bay earned a 3-1 win.

Special Teams

The Rangers have been strong on the power play throughout the postseason. New York has scored on 17 of their 54 power play attempts, which is a 31.5 percent success rate. The Rangers have killed off 43 of their opponents 54 power play chances, which is a 79.6 percent penalty kill. New York is 1st on the man advantage and 2nd on the kill in the field of 3.

Tampa Bay has been solid on both sides of special teams throughout the playoffs. The Lightning have capitalized on 14 of their 61 power play opportunities, which is a 23 percent power play. Tampa Bay has given up 9 power play goals on 55 penalties against, which is an 83.6 percent kill rate. The Lightning are 3rd on the power play and 1st on the penalty kill.

These two teams have been solid on the power play throughout the playoffs, but the Lightning have the better penalty kill. New York’s power play has been lethal, but it has slowed down a bit in the last couple of games. The Rangers will look to get it going though as they face potential elimination. If either team can get a power play goal, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Igor Shesterkin will get the start in the crease for New York in this one. Shesterkin has started in all 19 games, going 10-8 in those matchups. He has posted a .929 save percentage and a GAA of 2.62 in those games. Shesterkin finished with 24 saves on 26 shots in Game 5 of this series, which was not enough for the win in this one.

Andrei Vasilevskiy will get the nod between the pipes for the Lightning on Saturday night. Vasilevskiy has earned a record of 11-5 throughout those 16 games. He has put up a save percentage of .927 and 2.35 GAA in his starts. Vasilevskiy stopped 24 of 25 shots in the last game to give Tampa Bay the lead in the series.

These two goalies have been strong throughout the postseason. Shesterkin has been great as of late, but will need New York to step up in front of him. Vasilevskiy has picked up his play big time after a rough first two starts to the series. If either goalie can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win on Saturday night.

Pick Overview

The Rangers have dropped three games in a row to Tampa Bay and will look to avoid elimination with a win on the road. New York has struggled to get consistent offense since going up 2-0 in Game 3. I think the Rangers will change things up though with their backs against the wall. If New York can come out fast, I think they can earn the win in this one.

Bovada has the Lightning listed as a -185 against the money line in this one. This implies that Tampa Bay will win this game around 64.9 percent of the time. I think that this line should be closer to even with New York pulling out all the stops facing elimination. I think the Rangers will come out strong in this one. As big underdogs, I like the value on New York to force a Game 7.

The Bet
New York Rangers
+160
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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