Detroit Red Wings vs Ottawa Senators NHL Pick – April 3

The NHL is set up with another solid slate of games throughout April 3. Nine games are up on the board on Sunday. One of these games will be between the Detroit Red Wings and the Ottawa Senators. These two teams have been struggling throughout the season and will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 1:00 PM Eastern time.

Detroit has earned a record of 26-33-9 throughout this season, which has them sitting in fifth place of the Atlantic division. The Red Wings have lost five games in a row and twelve of their last fourteen. Detroit has fallen far out of the playoff race, but will look to finish the season strong. I expect the Red Wings to come out quickly in this one.

The Senators have put up a record of 24-37-6 so far this season, which has them in seventh place of the Atlantic division. Ottawa is coming off a win in their last game, but have lost seven of their last ten. The Senators are also far out of a playoff spot, but are looking to play spoiler down the stretch. Ottawa will look to knock off Detroit again on Sunday.

These two teams have been struggling throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Red Wings have hit a surge of struggles as of late, but will look to get back on track. Ottawa will look to get their second straight win against Detroit. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win in this one.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Detroit Red Wings +1 ½ (-180) +130 Over 6 (-120)
Ottawa Senators -1 ½ (+155 -150 Under 6 (+100)

 

Team Data Detroit Red Wings Ottawa Senators
Overall Record 26-33-9 24-37-6
Away/ Home Record 9-20-3 12-19-3
Goals Per Game 2.82 2.61
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 2.34 2.53
Save Percentage .885 .902
Save Percentage Away/ Home .880 .907

Betting Trends

Detroit Red Wings

  • 0-1 in April
  • 2-2 on Sunday’s
  • 6-13 after a divisional game
  • 13-15 after allowing four goals or more
  • 14-16 after a loss by two or more goals
  • 5-7 after three or more straight losses
  • 14-13 against team with losing record

Ottawa Senators

  • 1-0 in April
  • 3-3 on Sunday’s
  • 6-13 against divisional opponents
  • 4-14 after divisional game
  • 4-9 after a win by two or more goals
  • 6-14 after scoring four goals or more
  • 11-15 against team with a losing record

These two teams have met up once on April 1 in Detroit. Lucas Raymond scored two goals for the Red Wings, but it was not enough. Mathieu Joseph had three goals and an assist, while Austin Watson and Joshua Norris each scored. Mads Sogaard stopped 27 of 29 shots as the Senators were able to earn a 5-2 win on the road.

Special Teams

The Red Wings have struggled on special teams throughout this season. Detroit has scored on 34 of their 192 power play chances, which is a 17.7 percent power play. The Red Wings have killed off 133 of their opponents 158 power play attempts, which is a 71.9 percent kill rate. Detroit is 27th on the power play and 32nd on the kill this season.

Ottawa has been solid on special teams on the season. The Senators capitalized on 37 of their 197 power play opportunities, which is an 18.8 percent success rate. Ottawa has given up 39 power play goals on 201 penalties against, which is an 80.6 percent penalty kill. The Senators are 23rd on the man advantage and 14th on the penalty kill.

The Senators have the edge on special teams throughout this season. Ottawa had a power play and shorthanded goal in the first meeting with the Red Wings. The Senators will look to step up early in this one. Detroit will look to bounce back on special teams early in this one. If either team can get a power play goal, it could be enough for the win.

Goaltending Comparison

Alex Nedeljkovic will likely get the start in the crease for Detroit in this one. Nedeljkovic has started in 45 games this season, going 17-21-8 in those matchups. He has posted a .900 save percentage and a GAA of 3.31 in his starts. Nedeljkovic finished with 27 saves on 31 shots in his last start against Ottawa, which was not enough for the win.

I expect Anton Forsberg to get the nod between the pipes for the Senators on Sunday afternoon. Forsberg has earned a record of 15-14-3 in his 33 starts on the season. He has put up a save percentage of .919 and a 2.74 GAA in his outings. Forsberg’s last start was against the Nashville Predators. He stopped 28 of 31 shots in the loss.

These two goalies have been solid on the season. Nedeljkovic has lost five starts in a row and will look to bounce back in this one. Forsberg has lost two straight starts and three of his last four. Both goalies will look to bounce back quickly in this one. If either goalie can get into a rhythm early in this one, it could be enough to grab the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have struggled on the season, but will look for a big win in the second half of this back to back. Detroit is coming off a loss to the Senators at home and will look for some revenge on the road. I think the Red Wings will come out much better in this one. If Detroit can grab an early lead, I like their chances to earn a win in this one.

Bovada has Ottawa listed as a -150 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Senators will win this game around 60 percent of the time. I think that this line should be much closer to even with both teams struggling on the season. Detroit has shown some promise at times this season and I think they are the better team. As underdogs in this one, I like the value on the Red Wings.

The Bet
Detroit Red Wings
+130
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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