Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Pick – NHL November 26, 2021

The Seattle Kraken will look to put together a three-game winning streak in Florida on Black Friday. It wouldn’t be just any ordinary winning streak. Another win for the Kraken and they have three in a row against the Capitals, Hurricanes, and Lightning. Not a bad trifecta of teams to beat.

The Kraken most recently beat the Hurricanes on a late 3rd period goal on Wednesday. Marcus Johansson scored his second goal of the year to give the Kraken a 2-1 win. Seattle is up to 6-12-1 and 13 points in the Pacific Division for a point behind Vancouver Canucks. It’s going to be like that for Kraken this season.

In that there are going to be several bright spots, and then really ugly spots for the Kraken this season. That’s the nature of an expansion team in the NHL. What the Vegas Golden Knights did in their first season was not common. The path that the Kraken are following looks a little more usual.

For the Kraken to start winning at a respectable rate, Philipp Grubauer will have to steal some games in Seattle. He was an unreliable mess to open the year, but the former Av has shown plenty of progress in the crease recently. The Kraken were outshot in both of their wins against the Capitals and Hurricanes, but Grubauer stood tall with 37 and 35 saves.

Grubauer could be the difference again between a loss and win against the Lightning. With both of those attempts at home, this should be a tougher assignment for the Kraken on the road in Florida, though. The back-to-back champs go into tonight with a record of 11-4-3 and 25 points.

The Lightning have won five of their last six games, and are coming off a 4-0 win over the Philadelphia Flyers on Tuesday. That was an impressive effort with Andrei Vasilevskiy stopping all 34 shots for his first shutout out of the year. Conversely, Carter Hart struggled with 4 goals allowed on 35 shots for a 0.886 save percentage.

With the Kraken playing with some momentum, the Bolts have to be well prepared for Seattle on Black Friday. Head below for our free Kraken vs. Lightning pick on November 26, 2021.

Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Live Odds and Betting History:

The following odds are courtesy of Bovada:

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Seattle Kraken +1.5 (-165) +150 Over 5.5 (-120)
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+140) -175 Under 5.5 (+100)
Team Data Seattle Kraken Tampa Bay Lightning
Overall Record 6-12-1 11-4-3
Puckline Record 8-11 7-11
Away/Home Record 1-6-1 6-3-1
Puckline Away/Home 3-5 4-7
Goals Per Game 2.84 3.17
Goals Against Per Game 3.63 2.83
Shots Per Game 29.0 29.83
Shots Against Per Game 27.11 27.67

Kraken vs. Lightning Prediction:

The Kraken have been putting on a decent show for their fans at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, but elsewhere, opposing fans haven’t seen much from this team.

Seattle is going into tonight with a record of 1-6-1 on the road. Their only win as a visitor was on October 14 against the Nashville Predators, 4-3. They are coming off a six-game homestand in Seattle.

In their most recent trip on the road, they had a 5-4 loss against the Coyotes, and then 4-2 against the Vegas Golden Knights on November 9. Overall, Seattle is 18th in the NHL with 2.84 goals per game.

However, their goal scoring has dropped to 2.38 goals per game on the road. Even more concerning for the Kraken is that they’re allowing 4.13 goals against per game as opposed to 3.63 goals overall.

Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends:


  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games versus the Eastern Conference
  • 2-5 overall in their previous seven games as an underdog
  • 1-4 overall in their previous five games on one-day rest
  • 0-6 overall in their previous six games on the road
  • 0-4 overall in their previous four games as an underdog on the road


  • 36-15 overall in their previous 51 games in Tampa Bay
  • 4-1 overall in their previous five games in Tampa Bay
  • 35-16 overall in their previous 51 games versus the Pacific Division
  • 99-46 overall in their previous 145 games as a favorite
  • OVER is 17-6-5 in their previous 28 games versus the Western Conference

I’m not confident in the Kraken going on the road and continue to play well against Tampa. Grubauer will have to pull a rabbit out of the hat if Seattle is going to get this one done.

He’s been showing improvement, but his effort on the road has been off. Grubauer has a 2.51 GAA and 0.908 save percentage at home in Seattle, though a 4.25 GAA and 0.85 save percentage on the road.

The Lightning looked slow to open the season, perhaps a bit of a hangover from their Stanley Cup, but they’ve been rounding into shape recently. I’m going with the Bolts to clear the Kraken in regulation tonight.


Kraken vs. Lightning Pick
Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of TheSportsGeek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at TheSportsGeek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, NHL, and horse racing. Prior to writing for TheSportsGeek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily only at TheSportsGeek.

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