Ottawa Senators vs Arizona Coyotes NHL Pick – March 5

The NHL is set up with another great slate of action on March 5. Ten games are up on the board throughout Saturday. One of these games will be between the Ottawa Senators and the Arizona Coyotes. These two teams have struggled this season, but will look for a big win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 4:00 PM Eastern time.

Ottawa has earned a record of 19-29-5 throughout this season, which has them sitting in sixth place of the Atlantic division. The Senators have lost three games in a row and five of their last six. Ottawa has struggled to put up any consistency this season, but will look to finish strong. The Senators will look to come out quickly on the road in this one.

The Coyotes have put up a record of 15-35-4 so far this season, which has them in last place of the Central division. Arizona is coming off a win in their last game and have won three of their last five. The Coyotes are near the bottom of the standings, but will look to pick up their pace in this one. I expect Arizona to look for another big two points at home.

These two teams have been struggling throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Senators have struggled to get their offense going at times this season, but have been a bit better. Arizona has struggled from the start to the season. If either team can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win.

Game Overview

The following odds are courtesy of BetOnline:

Teams Spread Money Line Total
Ottawa Senators -1 ½ (+205) -115 Over 5 ½ (-125)
Arizona Coyotes +1 ½ (-245) +104 Under 5 ½ (+113)

 

Team Data Ottawa Senators Arizona Coyotes
Overall Record 19-29-5 15-35-4
Away/ Home Record 9-13-3 8-20-1
Goals Per Game 2.57 2.28
Goals Per Game Away/ Home 2.68 2.38
Save Percentage .907 .898
Save Percentage Away/ Home .901 .900

Betting Trends

Ottawa Senators

  • 0-2 in March
  • 4-11 on Saturday
  • 4-11 after divisional game
  • 7-13 in non-Conference game
  • 9-12 after a loss by two goals or more
  • 7-9 after scoring one goal or less
  • 5-6 after three or more straight losses
  • 7-10 against team with a losing record

Arizona Coyotes

  • 1-0 in March
  • 2-10 on Saturday
  • 6-11 after divisional game
  • 4-18 in non-Conference game
  • 4-4 after three or more straight home games
  • 8-10 when playing team with a losing record

These two teams last met up in the 2019-20 season. Arizona hosted the first game of that season series. Conor Garland had a goal and an assist, while Alex Goligoski had two assists. The Coyotes earned a 5-2 win. The second game shifted to Ottawa on February 13. Vladislav Namestnikov, Nick Paul and Brady Tkachuk all scored as the Senators bounced back with a 3-2 win.

Special Teams

The Senators have had a solid penalty kill throughout the season. Ottawa has scored on 26 of their 162 power play chances, which is a 16.1 percent power play. The Senators have killed off 137 of their opponents 169 power play attempts, which is an 81.1 percent kill rate. Ottawa is 28th on the power play and 12th on the kill this season.

Arizona has struggled on both sides of special teams so far this season. The Coyotes have capitalized on 16 of their 138 power play opportunities, which is an 11.6 percent success rate. Arizona has given up 45 power play goals on 172 penalties against, which is a 73.8 percent penalty kill. The Coyotes are 32nd on the man advantage and 30th on the penalty kill.

These two teams have been struggling on the power play throughout this season. Ottawa has been stronger on the penalty kill though. The Senators will look to get their power play going against a struggling Coyotes penalty kill. If either team can get a power play goal in this one, it could be enough for the win in this one.

Goaltending Comparison

I expect Matt Murray to get the start in the crease for Ottawa in this one. Murray has started in 19 games this season, going 5-11-2 in those matchups. He has posted a .915 save percentage and a GAA of 2.78 in his starts. Murray finished with 17 saves on 22 shots in his last start against the Tampa Bay Lightning, which was not enough for the win.

Scott Wedgewood will likely get the nod between the pipes for the Coyotes on Saturday afternoon. Wedgewood has earned a record of 7-11-2 throughout his 19 starts. He has put up a save percentage of .910 and a 3.05 GAA in his outings. Wedgewood’s last start was against the Winnipeg Jets. He stopped 33 of 37 shots in the losing effort.

These two goalies have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. Murray has lost his last five starts entering this one and will look to bounce back in this one. Wedgewood has won three of his last five starts. If either goalie can come out quickly in this one, it could be enough for the win on Saturday.

Pick Overview

These two teams have been solid throughout this season and will look for a big win in this one. The Senators have struggled as of late, while Arizona has been picking up their play. Ottawa has been the better team this season and I think they can win on the road in this one. If the Senators can step up on special teams and in net, I think they can win this one.

BetOnline has Ottawa listed as a -115 against the money line in this one. This implies that the Senators will win this game around 53.5 percent of the time. I agree with this line as Ottawa is a bit better on the season and are on the road. The Senators will look to bounce back quickly in this one. As slight favorites, I really like the value on Ottawa.

The Bet
Ottawa Senators
-115
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.

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