Senators vs. Ducks NHL Pick – March 10, 2020

The Ottawa Senators are in Anaheim on Tuesday night for the second stop on a four-game road trip. They came out of San Jose with a win at the Shark Tank on Saturday in a shootout. It’s a rare road win for the Senators in a season that has been filled with a lot of losses on the road. They will avoid finishing last in the league, though, so that’s one positive to take from 2019-20.

With the win on Saturday, the Senators advanced to 25-32-12 on the season with a record of 7-19-6 on the road. They are tied with the Kings at 62 points for next to last in the league. The Red Wings already clinched dead last a while ago. They will have the best odds in the draft lottery to win and have the opportunity to select Alexis Lafreniere in the summer.

Lafreniere and Filip Zadina on the same team is a good starting point for the Red Wings rebuild in Detroit. As far as the Senators are concerned, they’d be better off tanking and upping their odds in the lottery. They will have two high picks in the draft, with the Senators receiving the Sharks’ first-round pick.

That’s big for the Senators, as they hope that the Sharks play poorly in March. The Senators obtained the pick in the deal that saw Erik Karlsson go to the west coast. At that time, there wasn’t any hope at all that it was going to result in a top-5 pick in the draft, but there’s a chance it will if the odds go in their favour. They could very well have two top-5 picks in the upcoming draft.

If the Senators somehow mess this draft up, there will be consequences a couple years down the road. It’s going to be a minimum two or three years before the Senators are thinking about going to the playoffs again. Playing their cards correctly in the draft will have an impact on what happens then. Thomas Chabot is a superstar in the making, and the Senators are going to have a good opportunity of surrounding him with quality talent soon.

The Senators have been playing better recently, with wins in four of their previous five outings. It’s a nice response for them after going on a four-game losing streak. In their only loss in the last five games, they got drilled by the Penguins in a 7-3 game on Thursday night in Pittsburgh. Meanwhile, the Ducks are coming off a tough overtime loss against the Wild on Sunday.

It was a quality effort by the Ducks as they attempted to notch a three straight wins, but the more talented team ended up getting the win there. Leading up to that game, the Ducks had two monster wins against the Maple Leafs and Avalanche. Head below for our free Senators vs. Ducks pick.

Ottawa Senators vs. Anaheim Ducks Betting Odds:

Spread:

  • Senators +1.5 (-210)
  • Ducks -1.5 (+175)
Moneyline:

  • Senators (+115)
  • Ducks (-135)
Total Points:

  • Over 5.5 (-120)
  • Under 5.5 (+100)

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Senators vs. Ducks Prediction:

Both teams have been playing hard recently despite the playoffs way out of sight. As a franchise, it’s all about the future for the Senators and Ducks. The Ducks didn’t look like a 28-32-9 team against the Maple Leafs and Avalanche. Those are two high-power offences that the Ducks were able to beat for a 4-3 and 2-1 win.

Taming the Maple Leafs’ offence isn’t easy, but they made it look so in their 2-1 victory. In any event, the Ducks have allowed 3.4 goals per game, while scoring just 2.5 a game in their previous ten outings. The defence for the Senators has been slightly worse during that stretch, having yielded 3.5 goals per game.

The limited success you’ve seen out of the Senators this season has taken place at the Canadien Tire Centre in Kanata. Things get rather ugly when they face a little bit of adversity on the road. It’s like a different team takes the ice and effort drops tenfold. The Senators have actually resembled a solid team at home.

They have a record of 18-13-6 at the Canadien Tire Centre, so at least the home crowd is getting their money’s worth, most of the time anyway. It’s a totally different world when they are playing elsewhere, though. The Senators have scored just 2.28 goals per game on the road, while getting hammered for 3.69 goals against per contest. They are a mind numbingly terrible 12-40 in their previous 52 tilts on the road.

Craig Anderson has struggled this season with a 3.26 GAA and 0.901 save percentage. It goes without saying that his numbers regress as a visitor. Anderson has posted a 3.59 GAA and 0.889 save percentage on the road as opposed to a 2.87 GAA and 0.914 save percentage in Kanata. The Ducks have won three of their last four meetings against the Senators at the Honda Center. They are also 9-3 over the Sens in their last 12 meetings in Anaheim. The Ducks look like the play.

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Kyle E / Author

Kyle is a veteran of The Sports Geek and has spent nearly a decade providing accurate sports picks and writeups here. He has been a sports handicapper for 10+ years and started sharing his picks and thoughts in 2011 at The Sports Geek. His expertise spans across multiple sports, including the NFL, NCAAF, MLB, and the NHL. Prior to writing for The Sports Geek, Kyle was a fantasy football expert, who ultimately parlayed it into a successful sports betting career. You can find his picks daily at The Sports Geek.