Ottawa Senators vs Edmonton Oilers NHL Pick – March 10

The NHL is set up with another great night of action throughout March 10. Five games are up on the board throughout Wednesday night. One of these games will be between the Ottawa Senators and the Edmonton Oilers. These two teams have had opposite starts to the season, but will look for a win in this one. This game will drop the puck at around 8:00 PM Eastern time.

Ottawa has stared out this season with a record of 9-18-1, which has them sitting in last place of the North Division. The Senators are coming off a loss in their last game and have lost three of their last four. Ottawa will look to bounce back with a win in this one. The Senators have struggled against Edmonton throughout this season, but will look to earn a big win in this one.

The Oilers have put up a record of 16-11-0 throughout this season, which has them in second place of the North Division. Edmonton has won back to back games, which ended a three game losing streak. The Oilers have been solid to this point in the season, but will look to keep the wins coming in this one. I expect Edmonton to have a better start in this one.

These two teams have put up very different records throughout this season, but I expect a good game between the two on Wednesday night. The Senators have not been able to break through on Edmonton yet this season, but they will look to turn the tides on Wednesday night. I expect Ottawa to try and have a quick start in this one as they look for the win.

Previous Matchups

The Senators and the Oilers have met up five times this season. The first two game set was in Edmonton on January 31 and February 2. Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid each had a goal and six assists in the two games. Tyson Barrie had a goal and three assists as well. The Oilers were able to earn an 8-5 and 4-2 win at home to take the first two games.

The third and fourth game of the season series shifted to Ottawa on February 8 and 9. Evgenii Dadonov had two goals over the two games, but it was not enough. Leon Draisaitl and Josh Archibald each had a goal and an assist over the two games. Mike Smith had 27 saves on 28 shots, while Mikko Koskinen turned away 40 of 42 shots in the other meeting. Edmonton earned a 3-1 and 3-2 win over these two meetings.

The fifth and most recent game of the season series was hosted by Edmonton on March 8. Evgenii Dadonov and Tim Stutzle each scored, while Thomas Chabot had two assists. It was not enough for the Senators though. Connor McDavid had two assists on the night. Alex Chiasson, Leon Draisaitl and Kailer Yamamoto each had a goal as well. Mikko Koskinen stopped 26 of 28 shots as the Oilers won 3-2.

Edmonton has won all five of their games against the Senators so far this season. The Oilers have been in some tight games with Ottawa this season, but Edmonton has found a way to get the win in all of their meetings. The Senators will look to finally break through on the Oilers in this one. Ottawa will look to come out hot and keep the pressure on early in this one as they try to knock off Edmonton.

Special Teams

The Senators have not been great on either side of special teams this season. Ottawa has capitalized on 14 of their 97 power play chances, which is a 14.4 percent power play. The Senators have killed off 68 of their opponents 91 power play attempts, which is a 74.7 percent kill rate. Ottawa will look to step up on special teams in this one.

Edmonton has been strong on the power play throughout this season. The Oilers have scored on 23 of their 90 power play opportunities, which is a 25.6 percent success rate. Edmonton’s penalty kill has not been doing quite as well. The Oilers have given up 20 power play goals on 85 penalties against, which is a 76.5 percent penalty kill.

The Oilers have the edge on the power play so far this season. Edmonton has the better power play and penalty kill entering this matchup. Ottawa will look to shut down the Oilers power play in this one. If the Senators can score on the power play it could shift the edge their way. I expect Ottawa to switch things up on special teams in this one.

Goaltending Comparison

Matt Murray will likely get the start in the crease for Ottawa on Wednesday night. Murray has started in 19 games this season, going 7-11-1 throughout his starts. He has put up a .885 save percentage and a GAA of 3.66. Murray’s last start was against the Calgary Flames where he stopped 31 of 34 shots in a winning effort.

I expect Mike Smith to get the nod between the pipes for the Oilers in this one. Smith has earned a record of 7-2 through his starts so far this season. He has posted a save percentage of .925 and a 2.29 GAA in his games played. Smith stopped 34 of the 36 shots against him in Edmonton’s win over the Calgary Flames on March 6.

Edmonton has been the better goalie starting in this one as well. Mike Smith has done a great job since coming back from injury early in the season. Smith will look to keep it up in this one as he faces off against the Senators for the second time this season. Murray will need to step up his game against the Oilers in this one. If Murray can have a strong performance, it could lead Ottawa to the win.

Pick Overview

These two teams have had very different starts to the season, but I think that the Senators can earn a win in this one. Ottawa has struggled this season, but they have been a bit better as of late. The Senators have not beaten the Oilers yet this season, but I think they will knock off Edmonton at least once this season.

BetOnline has the Oilers listed as a -224 against the money line in this one. This implies that Edmonton will win this game around 69.1 percent of the time. The Oilers have been the better team, but this line seems to big to me. I think that the Senators are much better than this line implies. I really like the value on Ottawa in this one to earn a win.

The Bet
Ottawa Senators
Andruw Burling / Author

Andruw Burling has been writing sports picks since 2017, covering mainly NHL and NBA content, but doing work in other sports as well. Andruw grew up in Las Vegas and has been around sports since a young age. He grew up a huge NHL and NBA fan and continues to use that knowledge in his content today.